dbackjon
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RE: Top 25: FF’s ‘Race to NY6’ (Week 7) *App St, Cincy move up to 3 & 4
(10-14-2019 04:31 PM)b0ndsj0ns Wrote: (10-14-2019 04:25 PM)Chappy Wrote: (10-14-2019 04:18 PM)dbackjon Wrote: (10-14-2019 04:05 PM)CliftonAve Wrote: (10-14-2019 12:19 PM)dbackjon Wrote: An undefeated App State would have wins over North Carolina AND South Carolina.
Can any AAC team top that?
1. Temple has wins over Georgia Tech and Maryland. However they have a bad loss (Buffalo).
2. Memphis has a win over Ole Miss and Temple, still have to play undefeated SMU, Top 25 Tulane, Top 25 Cincinnati, and Houston.
3. SMU is undefeated, has beaten TCU and still has to play Temple, Houston, Navy and Tulane.
4. Cincinnati beat UCLA and UCF, still to play Temple and Memphis.
5. Tulane still to play Memphis, Navy, Temple, UCF and SMU.
In other words, if an AAC team comes out undefeated (SMU) or one loss, they will have a resume of more quality opposition than Appy State and possibly two or more wins better than UNC and South Carolina.
The Citadel beat Ga Tech. Maryland is a semi-ok win. But Temple lost to Buffalo. Buffalo is 2-4. Nope, not above an undefeated App State
Memphis would have one P5 win that is not nearly as good as either USC or UNC. Nope, not above undefeated App State
SMU - if undefeated, would be likely above App State on conference rep alone. TCU is rated about the same as either UNC or USC, but a one loss SMU would be below ASU
Cincy's "Big Win" is over a team barely in the top 100
Tulane's big win is what? Missouri State? FIU?
Going off Massey Composite rankings, Cincinnati (16), SMU (20), UCF (28), Memphis (29), Tulane (31), and Navy (33) are all ranked higher than South Carolina (38) and North Carolina (43) and Temple (50) is not far behind.
Whomever wins the American could have several wins better than South Carolina and North Carolina in conference play, depending how all these teams finish the season.
I'm guessing he's putting zero stock in AAC wins meaning anything, but yeah anyone who gets thru the AAC with even 1 loss is going to have to beat probably 3 teams in conference rated higher than those 2, and maybe more.
Conference wins are a closed feedback loop - the same loop that always benefits the SEC (well, we beat each other up, so we are all good).
As stated above, undefeated SMU will get in ahead of undefeated App State, in part because of an overall tougher schedule.
It will be hard to deny App though, if they are the only undefeated G5 team, especially since they would have wins over two P5 teams, including the team that just took out one of the MNC contenders.
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10-14-2019 04:43 PM |
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