(02-16-2018 09:21 AM)bricksnivy Wrote:  

(02-15-2018 09:54 PM)solohawks Wrote:  Things went our way tonight

Looking at the Saturday games
Charleston is a must win IMO if we want that 6th seed. We could probably still get it with a loss but it's unlikely

Drexel @ Hofstra - Hofstra should win and that would give us breathing room with Drexel. The higher Hofstra finishes the better it is for our tiebreaker

William and Mary @ Northeastern - Should be a good game. Doesn't really impact UNCW that much but we can still get a win over the Tribe so them winning would be slightly more helpful

Elon @ Delaware - If we beat Charleston, a Delaware win would put us in that 6th slot heading to the last week. If we don't, an Elon win helps keep us from falling into a tie with Delaware

JMU @ Towson - If we beat, Charleston a JMU win put us 1 game behind Towson for the 5th slot. If we lose to Charleston, a Towson win keeps us ahead of JMU

Saturday is a big weekend. I hope we continue the momentum from tonight. We still have a good chance to avoid Saturday play in

Saturday is not a must-win, but it would be a huge win. We have to finish 2-1, and if we do that, we finish 6th. I'm not counting on Towson losing all three, and we have Drexel on our schedule, so that 's in our control. To me, the 6th spot is b/w us and Elon, and it's ours if we go 2-1.

I agree we have to finish 2-1 over the next 3 games to get the 6th seed bye. However, if we cannot beat Charleston at home where we have been solid, I do not see us beating W&M on the road, where we have not.

Also, if somehow JMU or Drexel wins out and we finish 2-1 we would be tied with them. First tiebreaker is wins over #1 seed, so beating CoC would help us with that tiebreaker, particularly with Drexel who has beaten CoC.

You also have to look out at Delaware from behind for an outside chance at that 6th seed. There is a very good chance that they win out. If they do and we go 1-2 they very well may get that 6th seed bye due to the tiebreaker they have over us.

From a practical standpoint, winning against CoC and Drexel are pretty much must do's if we want the 6th seed, especially factoring in tiebreakers.