(04-14-2014 08:33 AM)arkstfan Wrote:  

(04-13-2014 07:58 PM)BruceMcF Wrote:  

(04-13-2014 11:42 AM)The4thOption Wrote:  Oh, I didn't miss that. But took it as evidence of his delusion. Adding those ttwo teams is going to generate 100M? Come on. This guy is full of it.

Its possible that I was being a bit dry in my sarcasm there.

The Big East contract was actually was worth quite a bit to FS1, since they had a gap in their scheduling, and with MLB coming on board, they had more need for college BBall as filler than they needed college FB as filler. But that's a longer term valuation, not where they are right now. FS1 is overpaying on their short term valuation by more than any incremental benefit of adding SLU and Dayton, so the increment would be more like $00m than $100m.

So 80%+ of that crystal ball gazing followed as a direct or knock on consequence from what seems like fantasy sports economics.

Except Fox gave Big East a contract and said we will bump the value X dollars if you add two more teams because two more teams gives us more inventory in a spot we need.

Here's the view from the A-10.

1) Every A-10 fanbase except those at SLU and Dayton expect both of them to get a bid to the Big East, and for both of them to take those bids, within 3 years.

2) SLU's and Dayton's fanbases think that a Big East bid for their schools is unlikely in the near term.

3) The A-10 is reluctant to add teams outside the Atlantic seaboard because they are afraid of ending up with outliers (such as Wichita State).

4) UMass is seen as defection threat, but not in the short run, as they would only leave the A-10 for the AAC (and their football product is not desirable to the AAC at this time). VCU is not seen as a defection threat due to fit issues for the Big East (public school) - UR would be the more logical Big East defection threat - but UR had a 'downish' year last year. If the AAC took basketball onlys, then there would be a real threat for defections, but the general consensus is that AAC is not looking to start the same issue that caused the old Big East to collapse (football vs basketball)

5) The overall perception is that any team in the A-10 would take a bid to the Big East or AAC if offered, but also that being in the A-10 doesn't really prevent any A-10 school from competing at the highest level and achieving/maintaining a national profile. No one is clamoring for the exits, but might be induced to leave if they saw a better opportunity. The conference believes that it has established itself on the right side of any split in D1. Eleven NCAA bids in the last two years, and sending 12 of your teams to the dance in the last 4 years will do that for you.