(08-11-2018 09:47 AM)P5PACSEC Wrote:  

(08-10-2018 06:20 PM)JRsec Wrote:  I've been giving a great deal of thought as to what would be the most efficient way for the SEC to add schools should we grow again.

There are three acceptable pairs that require no analysis per se:

Texas and Oklahoma

Texas and Kansas

Oklahoma and Kansas

Texas and Texas Tech would rank as a fourth most valuable paring.

If we can't land one of the first three pairs, then our most efficient option would be to take Texas and Texas Tech and for these reasons:

1. They would ad the fourth most value. Remember we are no longer in a new market subscription fee driven value system. Content which means brand on brand play, and the actual number of eyeballs on an event will now be what drives payouts. Tapping 28 million potentially 3 times a week pays. And will pay for all sports.

2. They would be an addition that ESPN shouldn't balk over because it gives ESPN/SECN/& the SEC a monopoly over the P5 state schools in Texas. That's 28 million viewers which most week would have a reason to tune in as many as 3 times to watch games involving their schools. If you double dip the Oklahoma school (a pairing that would be 7th in value out of the Big 12) then you double dip a state of 4 million. If you take the two Texas schools you triple dip 28 million. So that add gives ESPN and the SEC the hold on the highest possible advertising rates in that state with a region of interest that stretches into Arkansas and Louisiana.

3. Even if Baylor and T.C.U. find P5 homes their recruiting advantage of being in the same conference as UT would be over. And it distances the 2 Oklahoma schools from having the same cachet in Texas as they had by being in the same conference. So things should pick up for Texas, and remain strong for A&M and improve for Tech. Arkansas and L.S.U. would pick up the inside track on Oklahoma and Oklahoma State.

Therefore it should benefit Texas in that it reduces effectively the number of Texas P5 schools they compete with for recruits from 5 to 3.

4. It adds to ESPN's repertoire of Spanish language games of interest thereby boosting attention to the 22 stations in Mexico that carry the Spanish version of the SECN.

I've been okay with OSU / OU as a pairing. But Texas/Texas Tech would be a superior pairing in terms of earning potential in almost every way.

So if we can't land one of the first 3 pairings, I think our push ought to be for Texas and Texas Tech.

Adding Tech and UT locks down the state of Texas for the SEC. UT, A&M and Tech have the 3 largest fan bases in Texas and this state will bleed SEC.

I keep wondering, which schools are in preliminary discussions with which conferences, off the record of course. With the GoR in the B12 expiring in a few years, I expect chit-chats and back channel overtures are already occurring. They will break conference rules if such discussions get disclosed.

There's little to nothing out there in terms of substantiated rumors. I believe some sports writers and fans, look at the power centers and communicate what appears to be the realistic options. When it comes down to it, there are only 4 or 5 scenarios that would be near plausible at this point.

What the SEC does would relate to what the BIG tries to do or declines doing. Whether or not the PAC attempts a bold leap, is unclear. The ACC may or may not get involved.