(05-25-2020 04:30 PM)dbackjon Wrote:  

(05-23-2020 11:29 AM)Rube Dali Wrote:  I'm of the opinion that if the P6 do leave to form their own basketball tournament, the value of the NCAA's contract would instantly drop 90%. I would not be surprised if CBS and Turner invoke a clause to cancel the contract if it ever came to that.

Agreed. Maybe not 90%, but the value of the tourney is in the "Everyone has a shot" format.

If the P6 did try a power move breakaway, it will be the end of college athletics.

Nah. The bottom 22 conferences have over 250 members, less than 10% get in and only 1 in 10 of those 20 win a game in the round of 64. So 248 of the bottom 250 are gone by the Friday. The ratings go up on the weekend, and go up more as they whittle down to the big boys.

College Sports wont die anymore than any other sport died when sanctioning bodies changed. That doesn't matter. It just means a bunch of FBS schools will be the equivalent of I-AA by remaining outside the "Premier League". Schools at the very top of G5 will have to evaluate whether to continue to spend money or give up on making the jump. It will be more focused.

What I do think it could bring an end to is the high deficit athletics, as many schools will decide they wont cross that bridge in the next 30 to 50 years, so they'll scale back.

There are 10-12 schools I think will still try.