I predict this rule will have a huge upside for midmajors. Right now P5 schools get the cream of the crop across the board, but especialy talented big men. They are also the hardest to predict at the P5 level and can get stuck behind more talented big men. And once they get stuck, they are forced to sit one year and tie up a scholarship, so other P5 schools don't want to take the risk. And, the highly touted big men don't want to sit a year to play at a mid major school.

Think about the number of grad transfer big men that show up at mid-majors. Why? Because P5's aren't going to take a one year grad transfer and play and start them in front of other bigs already on the roster. But a mid major will gladly take them and let them play and start immediately. I predict this is what will happen with the transfer rules and no wait. More quality big men at Mid Majors who got stuck behind better players at P5's.

The downside to midmajors will be small. Guards are our biggest loss potentially, and even that won't be significant since the difference in P5 schools and mid major guards is size. Big guards with skills go P5. Smaller guards with skills go midmajor. Unless those smaller guards turn out to be phenomenal scorers, they won't be of much interest to P5 schools since they will be a huge liability defending equally talented but much bigger guards at the P5 level.

I predict we will see a lot more big men transfer from P5's on to CAA teams and not many more transfer out than already do. And that's a win for the CAA.