Florida is ranked Number 5, but they're 111th in the RPI. I'm sure they were way worse the 5th in RPI before playing Loyola-Chicago. Florida's last three games and next two games are against five teams with only 3 losses combined. Then they host James Madison.

Loyola-Chicago is off to a great start, but the Missouri Valley is better than usual, and as shown by Illinois State winning 20 of their last 22 games before Selection Sunday and being snubbed, no team from outside the top six conferences can be an at-large lock (maybe Gonzaga as an exception). None of Loyola-Chicago's 8 wins (7 vs. Division I) are against teams in the Top 100 of the RPI. Five of their nine Division I opponents have a winning percentage under .300. Their out of conference strength of schedule is 270th, which is much worse than Illinois State's 126th last season. The Missouri Valley being better this season could make up some of that gap, but probably not all of it. If Loyola-Chicago splits their last two out of conference games (losing at Milwaukee who's 100th in the RPI), goes 15-3 in the Missouri Valley (which will be hard considering they have the fourth best RPI in the Missouri Valley), and goes 2-1 in the Missouri Valley Tournament, they will be 26-6 vs. Division I on Selection Sunday, which is the same as Illinois State was last season.