(08-12-2014 06:17 PM)WinstonTheWolf Wrote:  For what it is worth, Montana State was only a 10.5 point dog @ SMU last year in the game they led in very late.

So the line is NOT unreasonable. I think there are so many questions about A-State. This is the first time we've lost a Coach, a QB, and A Defensive Coordinator all at the same time, and with the late loss of center Giddens, who knows. We are probably going to have 4 freshman linemen in the 2 deep - two on each side of the ball.

That said, it wouldn't surprise me to see that line bet up past 10 as high as 14 closer to game time.



stAte had Ryan Aplin when we faced UCA last in 2011, and we opened up a 17 point favorite and the line went to 20.5. UCA's QB was out and we pulled away and won 53-24.
The week before that UCA took La Tech to the wire in Ruston ( OT if I recall ) in a game in which they were 17 point dogs.

I don't think it went to OT, but we were lucky to get out of that game with a win. FCS teams beat FBS teams every year. It isn't at all unusual. FCS teams usually enter those games with something to prove while the FBS team is looking ahead. That is always a mistake. Ask Michigan.