(05-17-2014 11:47 AM)arkstfan Wrote:  

(05-17-2014 11:41 AM)GoAppsGo92 Wrote:  

(05-17-2014 11:36 AM)arkstfan Wrote:  

(05-17-2014 11:25 AM)GoAppsGo92 Wrote:  

(05-17-2014 10:08 AM)WhitetailWizard Wrote:  Doubt? I'm a Troy fan and I never had any doubt about stAte's competitiveness.I think your gonna find on your tour of the Sun Belt this year several competitive nooks along the way!

The doubt removed was about UMASS and the commitment to get to 12. He still used a loser's argument on why he personally does not want a championship game.

FWIW, among the non-power leagues, when one or more teams comes into a conference championship game ranked, the higher rated team is 7-7 all-time. If you use a neutral site or alternate hosting between divisions or any other format where the highest rated team isn't at home the higher rated team will lose most of the time.

The only way you can do a title game and statistically give the highest rated team a good chance of improving their standing is to have the highest rated team host without regard to any other factor (ie. if East champ is 7-1 in league but 11-1 overall and the West champ is 8-0 in league but 9-3 overall you have to have the east champ host)

I like and want the championship game hosted on the highest ranked team's field. That's the way all of these championship games should be in my opinion. It should be a reward and revenue generator for the best team, and should guarantee a solid attendance to boot... Plus the national exposure of the game on your campus is an added bonus, and it's cheaper to do as well. If it has the stats support it, that's even better.

Assuming all G5 leagues do a title game at the home field of the highest ranked teams on average one home team loses every year and about every three or four years, two will lose. But of course reality rarely conforms to stats so more likely one year none will lose and then one year three will lose.

So the odds at the base level indicate a 75% chance of victory for the hosting team. That mitigates the risk quite a bit understanding there are all kinds of factors involved when trying to handicap a college football game.