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MAC Announces Men's Basketball Preseason Coaches Poll & All-MAC Teams - Printable Version

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MAC Announces Men's Basketball Preseason Coaches Poll & All-MAC Teams - kreed5120 - 10-31-2019 11:16 AM

As the title suggests, the preseason MAC coaches poll has been released. As a Zips fan I'm looking forward to moving past football season and discuss basketball. What, if any, snubs do you guys see? Whose your sleeper team?


Men’s Basketball East Division Predictions (First Place Votes)
Bowling Green - 69 (9)
Buffalo - 58 (3)
Kent State - 43
Miami - 37
Akron - 33
Ohio - 12

Men’s Basketball West Division Predictions (First Place Votes)
Toledo - 69 (11)
Northern Illinois - 52
Ball State - 51 (1)
Central Michigan - 41
Western Michigan - 23
Eastern Michigan - 16

East Division Preseason All-MAC Team
Justin Turner, Bowling Green, R-Jr., G
Dylan Frye, Bowling Green, Sr., G
Phillip Whittington, Kent State, Sr., F
Nike Sibande, Miami, Jr., G
Jayvon Graves, Buffalo, Jr., G

West Division Preseason All-MAC Team
Eugene German, Northern Illinois, Sr., G
Tahjai Teague, Ball State, R-Sr., F
Marreon Jackson, Toledo, Jr., G
Luke Knapke, Toledo, Sr., C
Michael Flowers, Western Michigan, Jr., G
Dave DiLeo, Central Michigan, Sr., F

https://getsomemaction.com/news/2019/10/30/mac-announces-mens-basketball-preseason-coaches-poll-preseason-all-mac-teams.aspx


RE: MAC Announces Men's Basketball Preseason Coaches Poll & All-MAC Teams - cleveland - 10-31-2019 11:54 AM

(10-31-2019 11:16 AM)kreed5120 Wrote:  As the title suggests, the preseason MAC coaches poll has been released. As a Zips fan I'm looking forward to moving past football season and discuss basketball. What, if any, snubs do you guys see? Whose your sleeper team?


Men’s Basketball East Division Predictions (First Place Votes)
Bowling Green - 69 (9)
Buffalo - 58 (3)
Kent State - 43
Miami - 37
Akron - 33
Ohio - 12

Men’s Basketball West Division Predictions (First Place Votes)
Toledo - 69 (11)
Northern Illinois - 52
Ball State - 51 (1)
Central Michigan - 41
Western Michigan - 23
Eastern Michigan - 16

East Division Preseason All-MAC Team
Justin Turner, Bowling Green, R-Jr., G
Dylan Frye, Bowling Green, Sr., G
Phillip Whittington, Kent State, Sr., F
Nike Sibande, Miami, Jr., G
Jayvon Graves, Buffalo, Jr., G

West Division Preseason All-MAC Team
Eugene German, Northern Illinois, Sr., G
Tahjai Teague, Ball State, R-Sr., F
Marreon Jackson, Toledo, Jr., G
Luke Knapke, Toledo, Sr., C
Michael Flowers, Western Michigan, Jr., G
Dave DiLeo, Central Michigan, Sr., F

https://getsomemaction.com/news/2019/10/30/mac-announces-mens-basketball-preseason-coaches-poll-preseason-all-mac-teams.aspx

While I have not particular argument with these 'preseason' poll observations ... I would expect both Ball State and Akron to finish higher than predicted ... possibly CMU too.


RE: MAC Announces Men's Basketball Preseason Coaches Poll & All-MAC Teams - zibby - 10-31-2019 12:32 PM

What happened to the guy who always votes CMU #1 in every sport every year?


RE: MAC Announces Men's Basketball Preseason Coaches Poll & All-MAC Teams - Bull_In_Exile - 10-31-2019 01:07 PM

(10-31-2019 12:32 PM)zibby Wrote:  What happened to the guy who always votes CMU #1 in every sport every year?

That's a media guy, this is the coaches poll


RE: MAC Announces Men's Basketball Preseason Coaches Poll & All-MAC Teams - axeme - 10-31-2019 03:22 PM

(10-31-2019 11:54 AM)cleveland Wrote:  
(10-31-2019 11:16 AM)kreed5120 Wrote:  As the title suggests, the preseason MAC coaches poll has been released. As a Zips fan I'm looking forward to moving past football season and discuss basketball. What, if any, snubs do you guys see? Whose your sleeper team?


Men’s Basketball East Division Predictions (First Place Votes)
Bowling Green - 69 (9)
Buffalo - 58 (3)
Kent State - 43
Miami - 37
Akron - 33
Ohio - 12

Men’s Basketball West Division Predictions (First Place Votes)
Toledo - 69 (11)
Northern Illinois - 52
Ball State - 51 (1)
Central Michigan - 41
Western Michigan - 23
Eastern Michigan - 16

East Division Preseason All-MAC Team
Justin Turner, Bowling Green, R-Jr., G
Dylan Frye, Bowling Green, Sr., G
Phillip Whittington, Kent State, Sr., F
Nike Sibande, Miami, Jr., G
Jayvon Graves, Buffalo, Jr., G

West Division Preseason All-MAC Team
Eugene German, Northern Illinois, Sr., G
Tahjai Teague, Ball State, R-Sr., F
Marreon Jackson, Toledo, Jr., G
Luke Knapke, Toledo, Sr., C
Michael Flowers, Western Michigan, Jr., G
Dave DiLeo, Central Michigan, Sr., F

https://getsomemaction.com/news/2019/10/30/mac-announces-mens-basketball-preseason-coaches-poll-preseason-all-mac-teams.aspx

While I have not particular argument with these 'preseason' poll observations ... I would expect both Ball State and Akron to finish higher than predicted ... possibly CMU too.

So which East and West teams do you then think will be further down than expected?05-stirthepot


RE: MAC Announces Men's Basketball Preseason Coaches Poll & All-MAC Teams - MaddDawgz02 - 10-31-2019 05:26 PM

(10-31-2019 03:22 PM)axeme Wrote:  
(10-31-2019 11:54 AM)cleveland Wrote:  
(10-31-2019 11:16 AM)kreed5120 Wrote:  As the title suggests, the preseason MAC coaches poll has been released. As a Zips fan I'm looking forward to moving past football season and discuss basketball. What, if any, snubs do you guys see? Whose your sleeper team?


Men’s Basketball East Division Predictions (First Place Votes)
Bowling Green - 69 (9)
Buffalo - 58 (3)
Kent State - 43
Miami - 37
Akron - 33
Ohio - 12

Men’s Basketball West Division Predictions (First Place Votes)
Toledo - 69 (11)
Northern Illinois - 52
Ball State - 51 (1)
Central Michigan - 41
Western Michigan - 23
Eastern Michigan - 16

East Division Preseason All-MAC Team
Justin Turner, Bowling Green, R-Jr., G
Dylan Frye, Bowling Green, Sr., G
Phillip Whittington, Kent State, Sr., F
Nike Sibande, Miami, Jr., G
Jayvon Graves, Buffalo, Jr., G

West Division Preseason All-MAC Team
Eugene German, Northern Illinois, Sr., G
Tahjai Teague, Ball State, R-Sr., F
Marreon Jackson, Toledo, Jr., G
Luke Knapke, Toledo, Sr., C
Michael Flowers, Western Michigan, Jr., G
Dave DiLeo, Central Michigan, Sr., F

https://getsomemaction.com/news/2019/10/30/mac-announces-mens-basketball-preseason-coaches-poll-preseason-all-mac-teams.aspx

While I have not particular argument with these 'preseason' poll observations ... I would expect both Ball State and Akron to finish higher than predicted ... possibly CMU too.

So which East and West teams do you then think will be further down than expected?05-stirthepot

Here is how see the MAC West and East playing out, may have posted this awhile ago but just want to put it here so I can compare at end of season

Expected Conference Wins/Chances of Winning the MAC Championship

MAC East

1. Bowling Green 11.6/18%
2. Buffalo 10.9/13%
3. Kent State 10.8/11%
4. Akron 9.3/3%
5. Miami-OH 7.7/1%
6. Ohio 5.3/0.1%

MAC West

1. Ball State 12.2/24%
2. Toledo 12.0/18%
3. Central Michigan 10.1/6%
4. Northern Illinois 9.4/4%
5. Western Michigan 4.5/<0.1%
6. Eastern Michigan 4.4/<0.1%

Division comparison Expected Wins/Chance of Champion from Division

1. MAC West 52.4/53%
2. MAC East 55.6/47%

Early thought of mine would be MAC East deeper...MAC West a little better at the top


RE: MAC Announces Men's Basketball Preseason Coaches Poll & All-MAC Teams - cleveland - 10-31-2019 05:47 PM

(10-31-2019 03:22 PM)axeme Wrote:  
(10-31-2019 11:54 AM)cleveland Wrote:  
(10-31-2019 11:16 AM)kreed5120 Wrote:  As the title suggests, the preseason MAC coaches poll has been released. As a Zips fan I'm looking forward to moving past football season and discuss basketball. What, if any, snubs do you guys see? Whose your sleeper team?


Men’s Basketball East Division Predictions (First Place Votes)
Bowling Green - 69 (9)
Buffalo - 58 (3)
Kent State - 43
Miami - 37
Akron - 33
Ohio - 12

Men’s Basketball West Division Predictions (First Place Votes)
Toledo - 69 (11)
Northern Illinois - 52
Ball State - 51 (1)
Central Michigan - 41
Western Michigan - 23
Eastern Michigan - 16

East Division Preseason All-MAC Team
Justin Turner, Bowling Green, R-Jr., G
Dylan Frye, Bowling Green, Sr., G
Phillip Whittington, Kent State, Sr., F
Nike Sibande, Miami, Jr., G
Jayvon Graves, Buffalo, Jr., G

West Division Preseason All-MAC Team
Eugene German, Northern Illinois, Sr., G
Tahjai Teague, Ball State, R-Sr., F
Marreon Jackson, Toledo, Jr., G
Luke Knapke, Toledo, Sr., C
Michael Flowers, Western Michigan, Jr., G
Dave DiLeo, Central Michigan, Sr., F

https://getsomemaction.com/news/2019/10/30/mac-announces-mens-basketball-preseason-coaches-poll-preseason-all-mac-teams.aspx

While I have not particular argument with these 'preseason' poll observations ... I would expect both Ball State and Akron to finish higher than predicted ... possibly CMU too.

So which East and West teams do you then think will be further down than expected?05-stirthepot

GOOD QUESTION ... but I don't have an answer. Like I said, have no real issues with the poll, just have more faith by the end of the season BSU, Akron, maybe CMU could be better than expected. All of those are Jr/Sr teams that usually do well in the MAC.


RE: MAC Announces Men's Basketball Preseason Coaches Poll & All-MAC Teams - MaddDawgz02 - 10-31-2019 05:48 PM

There is an 80 percent chance that the championship game features one of these matchups

Toledo vs Ball State 14.5%
Bowling Green vs Ball State 14.4%
Bowling Green vs Toledo 12.4%
Buffalo vs Ball State 11.0%
Buffalo vs Toledo 9.4%
Buffalo vs Bowling Green 9.4%
Ball State vs Kent State 9.3%


RE: MAC Announces Men's Basketball Preseason Coaches Poll & All-MAC Teams - cleveland - 10-31-2019 06:26 PM

(10-31-2019 05:48 PM)MaddDawgz02 Wrote:  There is an 80 percent chance that the championship game features one of these matchups

Toledo vs Ball State 14.5%
Bowling Green vs Ball State 14.4%
Bowling Green vs Toledo 12.4%
Buffalo vs Ball State 11.0%
Buffalo vs Toledo 9.4%
Buffalo vs Bowling Green 9.4%
Ball State vs Kent State 9.3%

INTERESTING ... based on this Ball State (4 of 7) has the best chance to play for a title followed by Bowling Green-Buffalo-Toledo (3 of 7) with a slight chance of Kent State (1 of 7).


RE: MAC Announces Men's Basketball Preseason Coaches Poll & All-MAC Teams - H2Oville Rocket - 11-02-2019 10:40 AM

(10-31-2019 05:48 PM)MaddDawgz02 Wrote:  There is an 80 percent chance that the championship game features one of these matchups

Toledo vs Ball State 14.5%
Bowling Green vs Ball State 14.4%
Bowling Green vs Toledo 12.4%
Buffalo vs Ball State 11.0%
Buffalo vs Toledo 9.4%
Buffalo vs Bowling Green 9.4%
Ball State vs Kent State 9.3%

I’m no statistician but it seems like the percent chance of any two teams meeting in the final would be identical. Or, perhaps, impossible to determine.


RE: MAC Announces Men's Basketball Preseason Coaches Poll & All-MAC Teams - DICK - 11-02-2019 08:08 PM

(11-02-2019 10:40 AM)H2Oville Rocket Wrote:  
(10-31-2019 05:48 PM)MaddDawgz02 Wrote:  There is an 80 percent chance that the championship game features one of these matchups

Toledo vs Ball State 14.5%
Bowling Green vs Ball State 14.4%
Bowling Green vs Toledo 12.4%
Buffalo vs Ball State 11.0%
Buffalo vs Toledo 9.4%
Buffalo vs Bowling Green 9.4%
Ball State vs Kent State 9.3%

I’m no statistician but it seems like the percent chance of any two teams meeting in the final would be identical. Or, perhaps, impossible to determine.

That would be true if all teams were equal. He is giving higher value to certain teams which he thinks are better.


RE: MAC Announces Men's Basketball Preseason Coaches Poll & All-MAC Teams - H2Oville Rocket - 11-03-2019 03:51 PM

(11-02-2019 08:08 PM)DICK Wrote:  
(11-02-2019 10:40 AM)H2Oville Rocket Wrote:  
(10-31-2019 05:48 PM)MaddDawgz02 Wrote:  There is an 80 percent chance that the championship game features one of these matchups

Toledo vs Ball State 14.5%
Bowling Green vs Ball State 14.4%
Bowling Green vs Toledo 12.4%
Buffalo vs Ball State 11.0%
Buffalo vs Toledo 9.4%
Buffalo vs Bowling Green 9.4%
Ball State vs Kent State 9.3%

I’m no statistician but it seems like the percent chance of any two teams meeting in the final would be identical. Or, perhaps, impossible to determine.

That would be true if all teams were equal. He is giving higher value to certain teams which he thinks are better.

Which has absolutely no merit. A simple rank order prediction is fine but assigning a percent chance based on perceived quality seems nonsensical.


RE: MAC Announces Men's Basketball Preseason Coaches Poll & All-MAC Teams - MaddDawgz02 - 11-03-2019 05:57 PM

(11-03-2019 03:51 PM)H2Oville Rocket Wrote:  
(11-02-2019 08:08 PM)DICK Wrote:  
(11-02-2019 10:40 AM)H2Oville Rocket Wrote:  
(10-31-2019 05:48 PM)MaddDawgz02 Wrote:  There is an 80 percent chance that the championship game features one of these matchups

Toledo vs Ball State 14.5%
Bowling Green vs Ball State 14.4%
Bowling Green vs Toledo 12.4%
Buffalo vs Ball State 11.0%
Buffalo vs Toledo 9.4%
Buffalo vs Bowling Green 9.4%
Ball State vs Kent State 9.3%

I’m no statistician but it seems like the percent chance of any two teams meeting in the final would be identical. Or, perhaps, impossible to determine.

That would be true if all teams were equal. He is giving higher value to certain teams which he thinks are better.

Which has absolutely no merit. A simple rank order prediction is fine but assigning a percent chance based on perceived quality seems nonsensical.

There are some valid points here, there are a few statistical no no's I violated with the actual percentages on the matchups. Much more accurate to say these are the most likely matchups for MACC without the percentages

Toledo vs Ball State
Bowling Green vs Ball State
Bowling Green vs Toledo
Buffalo vs Ball State
Buffalo vs Toledo
Buffalo vs Bowling Green
Ball State vs Kent State

Of course these these matchup likelihoods are based on my pre-season rankings for the teams. My initial power ranks with Mac champion probs are:

1. Ball State 24%
2. Bowling Green 18%
3. Toledo 18%
4. Buffalo 13%
5. Kent State 11%
6. Central Michigan 6%
7. Northern Illinois 4%
8. Akron 3%
9. Miami-OH 1%
10. Ohio .1%
11. Western Michigan <.1%
12. Eastern Michigan <.1%

Much more accurate to say there is a 73% chance your MAC champion will be Ball State, BGSU, Toledo, or Buffalo.(again based on this ranking system).


RE: MAC Announces Men's Basketball Preseason Coaches Poll & All-MAC Teams - MaddDawgz02 - 11-03-2019 06:04 PM

(10-31-2019 05:47 PM)cleveland Wrote:  
(10-31-2019 03:22 PM)axeme Wrote:  
(10-31-2019 11:54 AM)cleveland Wrote:  
(10-31-2019 11:16 AM)kreed5120 Wrote:  As the title suggests, the preseason MAC coaches poll has been released. As a Zips fan I'm looking forward to moving past football season and discuss basketball. What, if any, snubs do you guys see? Whose your sleeper team?


Men’s Basketball East Division Predictions (First Place Votes)
Bowling Green - 69 (9)
Buffalo - 58 (3)
Kent State - 43
Miami - 37
Akron - 33
Ohio - 12

Men’s Basketball West Division Predictions (First Place Votes)
Toledo - 69 (11)
Northern Illinois - 52
Ball State - 51 (1)
Central Michigan - 41
Western Michigan - 23
Eastern Michigan - 16

East Division Preseason All-MAC Team
Justin Turner, Bowling Green, R-Jr., G
Dylan Frye, Bowling Green, Sr., G
Phillip Whittington, Kent State, Sr., F
Nike Sibande, Miami, Jr., G
Jayvon Graves, Buffalo, Jr., G

West Division Preseason All-MAC Team
Eugene German, Northern Illinois, Sr., G
Tahjai Teague, Ball State, R-Sr., F
Marreon Jackson, Toledo, Jr., G
Luke Knapke, Toledo, Sr., C
Michael Flowers, Western Michigan, Jr., G
Dave DiLeo, Central Michigan, Sr., F

https://getsomemaction.com/news/2019/10/30/mac-announces-mens-basketball-preseason-coaches-poll-preseason-all-mac-teams.aspx

While I have not particular argument with these 'preseason' poll observations ... I would expect both Ball State and Akron to finish higher than predicted ... possibly CMU too.

So which East and West teams do you then think will be further down than expected?05-stirthepot

GOOD QUESTION ... but I don't have an answer. Like I said, have no real issues with the poll, just have more faith by the end of the season BSU, Akron, maybe CMU could be better than expected. All of those are Jr/Sr teams that usually do well in the MAC.

I agree in your identification of BSU, Akron, and CMU as the three teams probably better than this poll indicates, particularly BSU. Otherwise, I kind of think this preseason poll makes some sense.