Here are my way-too-early tiered rankings as it stands.

Tier 1 - Final 4 Contenders
1. Houston
2. Kansas

Tier 2 - Second Weekend Contenders
3. Baylor
4. BYU

Tier 3 - NCAA Locks
5. TCU
6. Texas
7. Oklahoma
8. Texas Tech

Tier 4 - Bubble Teams
9. Cincinnati
10. Iowa State
11. Kansas State

Tier 5 - No March Madness
12. Oklahoma State
13. West Virginia
14. UCF

I like to believe TCU is a NCAA lock, but hard to tell with how pathetically weak TCUs OOC schedule has been to date. I guess i am taking solace in the fact that there is at least one starter from last year's NCAA tourney team that is coming off the bench this year and the fact that two of our HS recruits are red-shirting as a fact that Dixon has high confidence that this team will get to the post season.

Tier 1: Proven conference front runners
Baylor, Kansas

Tier 2: Tourney teams and possible contenders
OU, Texas, UH, BYU

Tier 3: Bubble Boys
ISU, Tech, TCU, Cincy, KSU

Tier 4: Basement Dwellers
OSU, WVU, UCF

(11-28-2023 01:16 PM)tcufrog86 Wrote:  I like to believe TCU is a NCAA lock, but hard to tell with how pathetically weak TCUs OOC schedule has been to date. I guess i am taking solace in the fact that there is at least one starter from last year's NCAA tourney team that is coming off the bench this year and the fact that two of our HS recruits are red-shirting as a fact that Dixon has high confidence that this team will get to the post season.

Yeah, their schedule has been crap thus far but they've also been blowing the doors off their opponents which is more than a lot of teams can say against similar competition.

TCU and Cincy are the two most unproven Big 12 teams at this point but there is a lot to like on both rosters.

I like your tiers, but I think these are better.

Tier 1 - National Championship Contenders
1. Houston
2. Kansas

Tier 2 - Final Four Contenders
3. Baylor
4. BYU
5. Oklahoma

Tier 3 - NCAA tournament caliber teams
6. TCU
7. Texas
8. Cincinnati
9. Iowa State
10. Texas Tech
11. Kansas State

Tier 4 - Hope we can get it together
12. UCF
13. Oklahoma State
14. West Virginia

Hoping that UCF can somehow get an at-large NCAA tournament bid in this very deep conference, but we shall see.

(11-28-2023 02:15 PM)bearcatmark Wrote:  I like your tiers, but I think these are better.

Tier 1 - National Championship Contenders
1. Houston
2. Kansas

Tier 2 - Final Four Contenders
3. Baylor
4. BYU
5. Oklahoma

Tier 3 - NCAA tournament caliber teams
6. TCU
7. Texas
8. Cincinnati
9. Iowa State
10. Texas Tech
11. Kansas State

Tier 4 - Hope we can get it together
12. UCF
13. Oklahoma State
14. West Virginia

I find both of them equally outstanding

Big week for Big 12 basketball coming up! The men are about to separate themselves from the boys.

Houston - @Xavier
UConn - @Kansas
BYU - @Utah
TCU - Clemson (Neutral)
Iowa - @Iowa State
Texas - @Marquette
Providence - @Oklahoma
Oklahoma - Arkansas (Neutral)
Villanova - @Kansas State
Kansas State - @LSU
Cincy - @Xavier

(11-28-2023 08:12 PM)Golden Jedi Knight Wrote:  Hoping that UCF can somehow get an at-large NCAA tournament bid in this very deep conference, but we shall see.

(11-28-2023 08:12 PM)Golden Jedi Knight Wrote:  Hoping that UCF can somehow get an at-large NCAA tournament bid in this very deep conference, but we shall see.

Quality losses add up, right?

(12-02-2023 02:25 PM)whiteman Wrote:  

(11-28-2023 08:12 PM)Golden Jedi Knight Wrote:  Hoping that UCF can somehow get an at-large NCAA tournament bid in this very deep conference, but we shall see.

Quality losses add up, right?

Typically a B12 team needed to have at least 7 conference wins (out of 18 conf games), or nearly .500 and at least 17 wins overall to have a chance to make the Big Dance. Previously 6-7 teams would make it in annually (out of 10), or slightly more than half the teams.

I'm projecting below, based on past selection results, that a team will still need similar results and that possibly up to 9 teams may be invited now. (we still play 18 conf games, and now have 14 teams, so assuming about half the teams will be at least .500, plus possibly a couple of teams just under .500)

I.E. - try to win at least 7 conf games, and 17 wins overall, that should get you on the cusp of an at large invite. (there is also SOS, quadrant wins, etc., that could affect the final selections)

Can we put ucf lower after seeing Stetson get crushed by the lone independent in d1, Chicago State?

(11-28-2023 01:00 PM)UCbball21 Wrote:  Here are my way-too-early tiered rankings as it stands.

Tier 1 - Final 4 Contenders
1. Houston
2. Kansas

Tier 2 - Second Weekend Contenders
3. Baylor
4. BYU

Tier 3 - NCAA Locks
5. TCU
6. Texas
7. Oklahoma
8. Texas Tech

Tier 4 - Bubble Teams
9. Cincinnati
10. Iowa State
11. Kansas State

Tier 5 - No March Madness
12. Oklahoma State
13. West Virginia
14. UCF

Need to move Cincy down to 12. Seeing us lose to Eggsaver and Dayton this team is no better ready for Big 12 than our FB team was. Apologies to the Big 12.

(12-04-2023 11:44 AM)maybeimhere Wrote:  Can we put ucf lower after seeing Stetson get crushed by the lone independent in d1, Chicago State?

Sure, put us at the bottom for now, but we have chances left to move up. UCF lost to an undefeated Ole Miss team by two points (a basket that would've forced overtime didn't count because time had run out). In the Stetson and Ole Miss games, we played to the level of the competition. No more nights off. We need to maintain 40 minutes of the same intensity throughout. Get out of the recent free throw shooting slump. Make sure to protect the basketball. Keep up the good things we've done such as shot blocking. We can do better.

(12-17-2023 07:35 AM)doss2 Wrote:  

(11-28-2023 01:00 PM)UCbball21 Wrote:  Here are my way-too-early tiered rankings as it stands.

Tier 1 - Final 4 Contenders
1. Houston
2. Kansas

Tier 2 - Second Weekend Contenders
3. Baylor
4. BYU

Tier 3 - NCAA Locks
5. TCU
6. Texas
7. Oklahoma
8. Texas Tech

Tier 4 - Bubble Teams
9. Cincinnati
10. Iowa State
11. Kansas State

Tier 5 - No March Madness
12. Oklahoma State
13. West Virginia
14. UCF

Need to move Cincy down to 12. Seeing us lose to Eggsaver and Dayton this team is no better ready for Big 12 than our FB team was. Apologies to the Big 12.

First time we have agreed this year.....