(10-23-2023 04:37 PM)Hambone10 Wrote: (10-23-2023 03:45 PM)GoodOwl Wrote: (10-23-2023 03:21 PM)Hambone10 Wrote: (10-23-2023 02:27 PM)GoodOwl Wrote: [quote='Hambone10' pid='19190131' dateline='1696441706']
the deportation of 30mm (or whatever it is) illegal aliens would have numerous effects... some good, some bad.
among them.
1) housing as you suggested.
2) many lower to middle wage jobs would open up... SOME could be exported, but many/most could not.
3) for those that could not be exported, you'd likely see upward wage pressures and technology innovations.
4) crime would decrease/police's ability to focus on other crime would be helped... not saying these people are more prone to be criminals... they are more prone to be victims.... often surviving in a world that hides from the police... can't go to them for help, but police have to show up when there is a shooting or death or fire or what have you. The number of un-reported crimes, some of them HORRIBLE has got to be massive.,
I mean, its not really practical to deport 30mm people especially when you don't know who/where they are... but the concept is correct and steps could be taken.
So, are you implying it's more practical to allow the presence of 30mm+ illegals here to destroy our economy, drastically increase our crime rate, destabilize our nation and pi$$ on our Constitution? I disagree, strongly. It is VERRY practical to deport them all, all 30mm+ illegals, and help actual Legal American Citizens who abide by our laws and Constitution instead. VERY Practical.
Not at all what I suggested.
I said 'good and bad'.... but if you look at the examples I gave... every one of them has the good outweighing the bad IMO.
The 'worst' thing I mentioned is that despite jobs opening up and some jobs would be exported, technology would probably push wages higher. We probably still lose net more manufacturing jobs because wages and regulations and environmental issues make it all but impossible to compete in many arenas globally, but I'm okay with losing manufacturing of most 'non-necessities'.... and that is where most illegal immigrants work. They aren't generally building cars or airplanes.
I'm looking more at the overall effects of having so many illegal people within our Republic's borders.
(10-23-2023 04:37 PM)Hambone10 Wrote: Didn't I answer that? Generally I said, there are pros and cons... and the sheer magnitude of the effort would be an issue, but generally the pros of deporting them would outweigh the cons.
My bad. I do agree the pros outweigh the cons, perhaps to a greater extent than you see, but we agree.
(10-23-2023 04:37 PM)Hambone10 Wrote: (10-23-2023 02:27 PM)GoodOwl Wrote: I'm not convinced that losing manufacturing of most 'non-necessities' as you call them, is necessarily okay.
Okay.... so are you implying that its more practical to allow 30mm illegal aliens to remain here than to make things better? That's a bit tongue in cheek... but it seems you're trying to argue with me when I haven't said anything that you have argued with.
No, no no I want illegals all gone from within our borders... Let me try to be more clear. I might have read what you wrote wrong. I thought you meant you would be fine with not manufacturing what you called 'non-necessities' here and thereby presumably importing them instead (to what extent you didn't say, but it seemed like most or all). You mean "manufacturing" when you say "make" in the above (as in efficiency) or do you mean "make things better" by deporting the illegals?
I was meaning I think we
can manufacture things, both essential and 'non-necessities'
without needing illegals here at all. IOW, I don't think we have to give up making 'non-essentials' if we don't have illegals here. I think we agree, but again I may have read your meaning wrong when I posted.
(10-23-2023 04:37 PM)Hambone10 Wrote: (10-23-2023 02:27 PM)GoodOwl Wrote: We seem to have a big enough market to handle those ourselves with only peripheral imports versus massive trade-deficit level ones.
It's not about the size of the market, but about the size of the labor population. It is already a struggle to hire remotely competent help in some markets... and if significant portions of 'local' labor pool gets deported, they have to be replaced... either by technology or 'legal' local labor, which drives up priced for local labor.... and makes it tougher to compete with now 30mm more (mostly) laborers in Mexico.
I'd expect more fast food joints to employ kiosks.... more stores going to self-checkout or even RFID scans... I'd expect more lawn mowing 'bots'... more farm technology... etc etc etc. Not a HUGE change, but a change. You're talking 10% of the population (roughly).... and probably even more of the labor market.
I don't think the labor situation is to where allowing illegal labor is our only or best option. I understand that that mentality is how some try to "justify" its presence here, if you will.
I think the costs of illegal labor being here outweigh any perceived 'benefits'. Prices are going up, and to me a big part of it has much more to do with the massive amounts of non-American citizens here distorting our markets and increasing our carrying costs. Illegals from wherever generally don't pay for themselves and they cost us overall in the end. It's indirect effect, but it's not worth it to us overall (though certainly seems so to some individuals who use them.)
Yes, I realize about 10% of the population is illegal, and that's a big number, but I do think we can compensate with extended work lifetimes, reclaiming many of our "lost" citizens from addiction, crime, divorce, et cetera and increasing the use of technology that s good, like robots for agriculture and some of the other things you mentioned. Let's face it, the "migrant" worker thing isn't really as necessary anymore when AI and robots can now step in. Of course, our relatively abysmal education model will have to improve. I'm not sure the Left wants better educated workers unless it's more woke, social justice and gender-theory nonsense that is anti-productive and useless.
(10-23-2023 04:37 PM)Hambone10 Wrote: (10-23-2023 02:27 PM)GoodOwl Wrote: The macro effect on the unnecessary expansion of government and related services is what is most troublesome, along with the greatly increased crime from folks who are already skirting the law by definition and opening themselves and others up to increased risk of criminal situations and behaviors. To me there's just no upside to having illegal people here, wherever they come from, but there's tremendous downside, and it will only get worse unless we start massive deportations.
Didn't I say precisely that??
I'm trying to figure out what you're disagreeing with.
Best I can tell, you're more aggressive about it in terms of 'damn the torpedoes'... but I agree that we need to 'do it'. I just don't think you can decide to simply 'round them up'.... we don't know where most of them are/don't have the manpower to do so... there may be other legal issues as in, they marry a citizen or they have a child 'here' who is now a Citizen or they are part of a lawsuit and their deportation would deprive a citizen of justice etc etc .... but despite these issues, it still needs to be done imo.
We do largely agree and yes, I do think we should and can be a LOT more aggressive. Part of the issue is that while some folks agree this is a problem, there is no united will to do something abut it. The platitudes like "fix our broken immigration system" mean little when too many offer sanctuary, government payments, jobs, pathways to citizenship, free education for children, free hospital and medical treatment, id cards, local election voting, et cetera. Yeah, I do think you can simply 'round them up.' It seems past time to make anyone illegal fear being deported instead of being hand-held and spoon-fed by the government that essentially needs them to justify its over-bloated social system largesse. We have manpower, but they have been actively prevented from enforcing the law by dumb judges and frivolous lawsuits. These folks don't have any Constitutional rights here. We need to stop acting like they do. They marry a citizen has been a tradition, but that Amendment originally was written for and applied only to former enslaved. We have the laws. We have the manpower, but leaders don't really want to let anyone actually do it because they make too much money and gain too much power from it existing here. Same as slavery. It's just a new name for it. End it. If it still needs to be done then just do it and don't need to apologize.
I'd want folks like you and me to spend more energy and though on how to deport illegals here as efficiently and expediently as possible, especially since we seem to agree in general.
{Brackets are problematic when responding like this, but I wanted to break it out as you did above. Thanks for your patience.}