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Be nice to have that FG

(10-09-2022 10:03 PM)bearcatmark Wrote:  Things don't always work out perfectly. It doesn't make it the wrong decision. One strategy gives a win percentage of just over 50%, one of just under 50%....so yea... neither is perfect.

Factor that, a loss!!!!!

18-35-1.....the moronic playcalling and decision making were on full display for the world to see tonight....

The Bengals defense hasn't given up 21 points all season (Pittsburgh had a pick 6 so Pittsburgh scored more than 21)... the Bengals are 2-3. The Bengals offense is poorly coached. They have lost games by 3,3 and 2 points. With basic competence from the offensive staff the Bengals are 5-0 and one of the favorites. Really frustrating season.

(10-09-2022 10:37 PM)bearcatmark Wrote:  The Bengals defense hasn't given up 21 points all season (Pittsburgh had a pick 6 so Pittsburgh scored more than 21)... the Bengals are 2-3. The Bengals offense is poorly coached. They have lost games by 3,3 and 2 points. With basic competence from the offensive staff the Bengals are 5-0 and one of the favorites. Really frustrating season.

The NFL is designed for parity (or mediocrity depending on perspective).

Bengals will be fine. 9 wins will win that blah division.

(10-10-2022 06:53 AM)rath v2.0 Wrote:  

(10-09-2022 10:37 PM)bearcatmark Wrote:  The Bengals defense hasn't given up 21 points all season (Pittsburgh had a pick 6 so Pittsburgh scored more than 21)... the Bengals are 2-3. The Bengals offense is poorly coached. They have lost games by 3,3 and 2 points. With basic competence from the offensive staff the Bengals are 5-0 and one of the favorites. Really frustrating season.

The NFL is designed for parity (or mediocrity depending on perspective).

Bengals will be fine. 9 wins will win that blah division.

I think the bigger issue is, if the Bengals can make the playoffs, the Bills look so darn good most games this year.

(10-09-2022 09:38 PM)bearcatmark Wrote:  

(10-09-2022 09:30 PM)doss2 Wrote:  Taylor is stupid. Kick the FG!

Taylor is stupid. But going for it was the right call. Win Expectancy going for it 53.4%. Win Expectancy kicking 47.7%.

Now the whole sequence of play calls down there (other than 3rd down which they had to run because of the insane 2nd down play) was awful.

Awful calls, awful execution. Boyd's got to throw it out the back of the end zone. Set that aside. When you are lined up inside the five and you resort to the philly special, you're sending a message to both sidelines: That Baltimore is the more physical team. That possession was the most glaring example but they were running it down our throats the entire night.

PFF agreeing with what we all see with regard to the abysmal playcalling, but giving us the DATA to back it up.

Quote:This is still the biggest reason that the Bengals have flat-out failed to adjust their offense in numerous ways this season. They’re not giving enough help to an overmatched offensive line, pounding a putrid running game in unfavorable situations and still running verticals into two-high safeties.

The latter point is the hardest to ignore. The Bengals offense has been brought to its knees by two-high shells in 2022. On 150 snaps against some variation of two-high coverage (Cover 2, Cover 2 man, quarters, Cover 6), the Cincinnati offense has averaged -.104 EPA per play. And that’s with them picking up 185 yards on 39 rushes (.123 EPA per rush) against those shells.

It’s almost comical how Cincinnati’s offense has had no way of generating big plays against two deep safeties. They've tallied only 11 explosive pass plays (15-plus yard gains) on 118 such dropbacks compared to 16 explosive pass plays on only 106 dropbacks against single high. Defenses have taken the go-ball away, and head coach Zac Taylor hasn’t found a way to respond. Until the above chart changes, defenses will only live in two-high more against this Bengals offense and watch the unit try to crawl downfield.

https://www.pff.com/news/nfl-cincinnati-...zac-taylor

Two deep safeties until further notice.....