(08-10-2022 02:54 PM)Hallcity Wrote: (08-10-2022 02:30 PM)GoWulfPak Wrote: ESPN is going to put pieces in place where they will make them the most money. I see WVU and Cincy going to the ACC along with two other teams...probably some combo of Houston, Baylor, TCU and SMU.
People have been predicting this sort of thing for years but it never happens. Why? Probably, because it wouldn't increase net revenues per ACC school not to mention that it would be a geographic mess and not to mention that it would violate numerous contracts some of these schools have with the B12 and not to mention that those B12 schools can probably make about as much in the B12 as in the ACC giving them no motivation to switch conferences. But keep on dreaming, although it seems like a pathetic dream to me. We're not talking about U.S.C. or Texas here.
This is how I know you don't follow expansion very closely.
Times have changed. ESPN has a vested interest in the ACC network. That is new since the last round of expansion. Because of this, ESPN has every reason in the world to build more quality inventory and put the ACCN at full rate in new states. Texas has a few people that would translate into more money for the ACC and ESPN.
Baylor is a good brand in Texas and a Baptist U like WF. They move the needle in terms of football and basketball. So does Cincy which puts the ACCN in Ohio. WVU has historic rivals in the ACC and owns a HUGE fan base that will fill up every stadium in which they play.
Jim Phillips is on record as saying everything about the ACC going forward must be football driven. Of those the ACC will be able to add..... Cincy, Baylor (and/or other Texas schools) and WVU helps football. I like Okie State as well but who knows about them. They pull pretty good TV numbers just like WVU relative to the rest of the schools in the XII.
Additionally, ESPN cares very little about the PAC and even less about the XII. They would rather move the quality pieces around instead of paying competitive money for crappy viewership in both. Take out OU and Tex from the XII and it's worth about 50% of what it once was .... take out USC and the PAC is worth a lot less.
But...you put Texas Tech and Okie State into the PAC then you have two/three time zones worth of inventory and the PACN (that I predict ESPN will take over) in Texas. Result? ESPN gets the SECN, ACCN (Baylor, TCU et al) and the newfound PACN courtesy of the Red Raiders. Hell throw Kansas out west too just so ESPN can say they own all the blue blood basketball programs.
Will these new configurations pull SEC/B1G money? No....but it gets them a lot closer than what we see today and that is the point.
The PAC has an exposure problem because they play so late. Put some games in the CTZ and you get more exposure. The XII has a population problem but decent size fan bases (Okie State, Kansas, Iowa State, Tex Tech) which will be of interest to streaming partners. Merger complements both.
ESPN is not going to let the ACC die on the vine. There will be monetary corrections to keep the ACC happy. The last thing ESPN wants is half the ACC squirming and talking to FOX about moving to the B1G one day.
This is ESPN vs everyone else and ESPN is gonna win. They always do.
I can't get over the comments seen nationally on this topic. It's like nothing I've ever seen.