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https://chapelboro.com/sports/optimistic...ealignment
Could the ACC’s days be numbered?
The recent moves by USC and UCLA from the Pac-12 to the Big Ten have kicked off another wave of speculation about large-scale conference realignment. Texas and Oklahoma’s move to the SEC, possibly as soon as 2024, could lay the groundwork for it and the Big Ten to morph into two “superconferences,” leaving smaller leagues in the dust financially.
It was less than a decade ago that another wave of conference realignment turned the NCAA on its head. The old Big East, once a college basketball staple, collapsed with the exits of Syracuse, Louisville and Connecticut, among others. The ACC went through its own transition, losing Maryland but adding the Orange and Cardinals, as well as Pittsburgh and Notre Dame.
But once the dust settled, it appeared things were set in stone for a while. Now, new changes on the horizon promise to be even more earth-shaking.
The Big Ten and SEC, growing more lucrative by the minute, are set up for a bidding war for teams from the less successful ACC, Pac-12, Big 12 and other smaller conferences. And due to its brand recognition across the country, UNC is seen as one of the most desirable programs in the ACC.
Experts see either budding superconference as a logical fit for Carolina, but UNC chancellor Kevin Guskiewicz told 97.9 The Hill’s Aaron Keck all the talk right now is speculation.
“People know the ACC is somewhat hamstrung, and in perhaps a weakened position because of the media contract that we’re being held to until 2036,” Guskiewicz said. “So that’s what’s leading to a lot of the speculation… I would say that I’m committed, [athletic director] Bubba Cunningham is committed to maintaining a strong ACC presence. And they’re doing everything possible to improve our contract so that we can remain competitive with schools that are in these other conferences.”
As Guskiewicz explained, the ACC’s grant of rights means UNC’s and other conference members’ TV revenue through ESPN is the property of the conference all the way through 2036, regardless of whether the school remains in the ACC. That means any departing school could potentially forfeit the opportunity to have its home games broadcast on national television in that time span.
Add in a reported $120 million exit fee, and the conference is going to make it as painful as possible for any institution to leave. Charter members like UNC, Clemson or Virginia bolting for greener pastures would almost surely signal the end of the nearly 70-year-old league. And in a college athletics world driven by money, the ACC has fallen behind.
Nevertheless, Guskiewicz said he remains hopeful UNC and the league could work out a new deal.
“I’m optimistic we’re gonna get a better contract,” he said. “I think ESPN recognizes the importance of a strong ACC, which it really is. It’s an incredibly strong conference. One thing that I’m proud of as chancellor of UNC-Chapel Hill is the ACC is… well-known in excellence in academics and in athletics. I think we’ve proven that, and I think this is the right fit for Carolina.”
No official realignment moves have been made since USC and UCLA stunned the country with their moves in late June. But the rumblings of potential moves have been near ubiquitous since then. There’s no guarantee the ACC as we know it will exist in a year’s time, or even in a month. But Carolina is well-positioned to go wherever it wants, and may carry the fate of an historic conference with it.