Herbie and the panel spent a lot of time talking positively about UCF tonight. It's very odd.

Tosh tonight. Goes off on P5. UCF fans need to watch it

Tosh tweeted this out last week when ESPN was setting up GameDay:

(11-20-2018 11:01 PM)Foreverandever Wrote:  

(11-20-2018 07:49 PM)TampaTom Wrote:  How I see it happening...

#1 Alabama wins out and defeats Auburn and Georgia. (IN)
#2 Clemson wins against USC, but gets upset in the ACC Championship by Pittsburgh (OUT?)
#3 Notre Dame wins out and defeats USC. (IN)
#4 Michigan loses to Ohio State and misses the Big Ten Championship (OUT)
#5 Georgia wins against Georgia Tech, but loses to Alabama in the SEC Championship. (OUT)
#6 Oklahoma wins out and defeats West Virginia and Texas. (IN)
#7 LSU wins their final game, but will fall in the rankings due to other teams moving up. (OUT)
#8 Washington State collapses and loses the Apple Cup to Washington, and misses the Pac-12 Championship. (OUT)
#9 UCF wins out and defeats USF and Houston/Memphis. (IN)
#10 Ohio State wins out and defeats Michigan and Northwestern, but left out by the committee. (OUT)



The College Football Playoff is...

#1 Alabama vs #4 UCF
#2 Notre Dame vs #3 Oklahoma

Nice try, but how about this

#1 Alabama wins out and is in
#2 Clemson is upset by Pitt
#3 Notre Dame loses to a USC team desperate to get bowl eligible.
#4 Michigan loses to OSU, who they have issues with
#5 Georgia loses to Alabama
#6 Oklahoma loses to W. Virginia after looking very beatable.
#7 LSU gets taken down by ol Jimbo
#8 Wazzu goes down in the Apple Cup
#9 UCF wins out in convincing fashion.
#10 Ohio St beats Michigan but is upset by a surging NW team in the Big Ten title game. OSU has struggled away from home.

Results

#1 Alabama vs #4 Clemson
#2 UCF vs #3 Georgia

Talk about threading a needle lol.

(11-20-2018 11:03 PM)HuskyU Wrote:  Herbie and the panel spent a lot of time talking positively about UCF tonight. It's very odd.

Instead of mindlessly blasting a team from a conference they never watch, they actually got to see UCF's team this past weekend and see our campus/fanbase. Herbie even admitted that he was shocked by what he found at UCF.

Imagine if they had stopped commenting with their eyes closed weeks ago? If only Herbie had tuned in to see UCF utterly dominate Pitt (he didn't).

My take is that UCF is one spot short of making an 8 team playoff, if it ever goes to that. They will not make a 4 team playoff if they didn't make it last year or this year. Only Boise, with long reputation, might crash a 4 team playoff from a G5 conference, although UCF is starting to earn that reputation too.

(11-21-2018 08:16 AM)mikeinoki Wrote:  

It amazes me how far UCF has come come from a year ago............. to the point of talking heads arguing for and against them. Who would have thought Herbie would be in UCF's corner.

(11-21-2018 08:36 AM)otown Wrote:  

(11-21-2018 08:16 AM)mikeinoki Wrote:  

It amazes me how far UCF has come come from a year ago............. to the point of talking heads arguing for and against them. Who would have thought Herbie would be in UCF's corner.

The thing is- people always frame this as UCF vs Bama but that's really not what's relevant here.

What's relevant is UCF vs ND or Michigan who will occupy the 2 last spots. I am 100% certain that UCF could play with and beat both teams.

(11-21-2018 08:39 AM)The Knight Time Wrote:  

(11-21-2018 08:36 AM)otown Wrote:  

(11-21-2018 08:16 AM)mikeinoki Wrote:  

It amazes me how far UCF has come come from a year ago............. to the point of talking heads arguing for and against them. Who would have thought Herbie would be in UCF's corner.

The thing is- people always frame this as UCF vs Bama but that's really not what's relevant here.

What's relevant is UCF vs ND or Michigan who will occupy the 2 last spots. I am 100% certain that UCF could play with and beat both teams.

Thats true. I also never thought of the LSU arguement of we already saw them get their asses handed to them, why do we want to see it twice.

(11-21-2018 08:33 AM)sfink16 Wrote:  My take is that UCF is one spot short of making an 8 team playoff, if it ever goes to that. They will not make a 4 team playoff if they didn't make it last year or this year. Only Boise, with long reputation, might crash a 4 team playoff from a G5 conference, although UCF is starting to earn that reputation too.

Boise would not either. The glass ceiling is real.

(11-20-2018 08:14 PM)MagicKnightmare Wrote:  

(11-20-2018 08:12 PM)8BitPirate Wrote:  Conference get more cash if UCF invades the playoffs? Asking for a friend.

Marginal. I think a NY6 payday is $2 million. Semi-final is $4 million. CFP title game is $6 million.

A big part of the restructuring was taking the money out of the games themselves and just giving it to the power conferences no matter what.

That is why the G4 conferences were excited about the new playoff payout system. They got a huge increase in pay for essentially doing nothing. The AAC went way down from an automatic spot in the BCS. Really the only conference to get screwed by the new format. The $4 million dollar payment does very little. Expenses come out of that and if you don't make your allotment money comes out of that too. When all is said and done maybe $2 million gets distributed around the conference assuming the allotment is sold out. So less than $200K each.

(11-20-2018 07:25 PM)glay83 Wrote:  

(11-20-2018 07:11 PM)TampaTom Wrote:  

If we win out I don't see us sniffing the playoffs but maybe we get another Colley Matrix as we jumped to #6

Someone will end up without a loss this year amongst playoff boys. We wont sniff Colley Matrix this year.

(11-20-2018 08:11 PM)The Knight Time Wrote:  So 9-2 Cincy gets punished for losing 38-13 to Top 10 UCF while Pitt moves in after losing 45-14 to UCF.

For the record I want them both in and think they both deserve it, but the rules are so different and BS for our programs

Pitt didn't just lose to UCF this week though. They're on a 4 game winning streak, and winning 5 of the last 6 with the loss being against #3 ND. Cincy is coming off a loss, so they move down.

UCF ends #7-8 no matter how good or how bad teams do in front or behind them. A couple teams in front will lose but UCF will be leap frogged by a couple teams behind that won.

(11-20-2018 10:47 PM)TampaTom Wrote:  

(11-20-2018 10:39 PM)BullsBEAST Wrote:  

(11-20-2018 07:49 PM)TampaTom Wrote:  How I see it happening...

#1 Alabama wins out and defeats Auburn and Georgia. (IN)
#2 Clemson wins against USC, but gets upset in the ACC Championship by Pittsburgh (OUT?)
#3 Notre Dame wins out and defeats USC. (IN)
#4 Michigan loses to Ohio State and misses the Big Ten Championship (OUT)
#5 Georgia wins against Georgia Tech, but loses to Alabama in the SEC Championship. (OUT)
#6 Oklahoma wins out and defeats West Virginia and Texas. (IN)
#7 LSU wins their final game, but will fall in the rankings due to other teams moving up. (OUT)
#8 Washington State collapses and loses the Apple Cup to Washington, and misses the Pac-12 Championship. (OUT)
#9 UCF wins out and defeats USF and Houston/Memphis. (IN)
#10 Ohio State wins out and defeats Michigan and Northwestern, but left out by the committee. (OUT)



The College Football Playoff is...

#1 Alabama vs #4 UCF
#2 Notre Dame vs #3 Oklahoma

Delusional to think osu beats Michigan and doesn't move ahead of you.

I do not think it is so far-fetched if we obliterate the Bulls at RayJay, then win the title. I think they keep us ahead of them.

You flatter me. But beating usf this year is a low quality win. No way it's enough to hold off beating #4

(11-21-2018 09:12 AM)KnightNasty Wrote:  

(11-20-2018 08:11 PM)The Knight Time Wrote:  So 9-2 Cincy gets punished for losing 38-13 to Top 10 UCF while Pitt moves in after losing 45-14 to UCF.

For the record I want them both in and think they both deserve it, but the rules are so different and BS for our programs

Pitt didn't just lose to UCF this week though. They're on a 4 game winning streak, and winning 5 of the last 6 with the loss being against #3 ND. Cincy is coming off a loss, so they move down.

THe problem with this line of thinking is the fact that even if Bama loses to Auburn, you know the CFP still keeps them in the Top 4.

Cincy should have been Top 20 before our game and remained Top 25 after. It makes no sense to declare a prior Top 25 team no longer worthy of being ranked simply because they lost to a Top 10 team at home.

(11-21-2018 06:33 AM)otown Wrote:  

(11-20-2018 11:01 PM)Foreverandever Wrote:  

(11-20-2018 07:49 PM)TampaTom Wrote:  How I see it happening...

#1 Alabama wins out and defeats Auburn and Georgia. (IN)
#2 Clemson wins against USC, but gets upset in the ACC Championship by Pittsburgh (OUT?)
#3 Notre Dame wins out and defeats USC. (IN)
#4 Michigan loses to Ohio State and misses the Big Ten Championship (OUT)
#5 Georgia wins against Georgia Tech, but loses to Alabama in the SEC Championship. (OUT)
#6 Oklahoma wins out and defeats West Virginia and Texas. (IN)
#7 LSU wins their final game, but will fall in the rankings due to other teams moving up. (OUT)
#8 Washington State collapses and loses the Apple Cup to Washington, and misses the Pac-12 Championship. (OUT)
#9 UCF wins out and defeats USF and Houston/Memphis. (IN)
#10 Ohio State wins out and defeats Michigan and Northwestern, but left out by the committee. (OUT)



The College Football Playoff is...

#1 Alabama vs #4 UCF
#2 Notre Dame vs #3 Oklahoma

Nice try, but how about this

#1 Alabama wins out and is in
#2 Clemson is upset by Pitt
#3 Notre Dame loses to a USC team desperate to get bowl eligible.
#4 Michigan loses to OSU, who they have issues with
#5 Georgia loses to Alabama
#6 Oklahoma loses to W. Virginia after looking very beatable.
#7 LSU gets taken down by ol Jimbo
#8 Wazzu goes down in the Apple Cup
#9 UCF wins out in convincing fashion.
#10 Ohio St beats Michigan but is upset by a surging NW team in the Big Ten title game. OSU has struggled away from home.

Results

#1 Alabama vs #4 Clemson
#2 UCF vs #3 Georgia

Talk about threading a needle lol.

I would say Clemson losing to Pitt and USC beating Notre Dame are really the only two reaches in that scenario and they really aren't much of a reach. Clemson has yet to be challenged and Pitt has faced some very good teams to prepare them. USC/Notre Dame is a rivalry game. USC has loads of talent and need the win to make the bowl.

I would say the rest of my scenarios aren't only possible but probable out comes.

(11-20-2018 11:13 PM)KnightLight Wrote:  Tosh tweeted this out last week when ESPN was setting up GameDay:

He would have been glorious on game day.

Thoughts to all the people dealing with the wild fires.