(11-18-2018 09:00 PM)Georgia_Power_Company Wrote: According to Team Rankings here are the projected number of Bowl elegible teams per conference
AAC - 7
ACC - 9
Big 12 - 6
Big 10 - 8
CUSA - 8
Ind - 3 (plus Liberty if needed)
MAC - 7
MWC - 6
Pac 12 - 7
SEC - 10
Sun Belt - 7
Total projected to be eligible = 78 which is the exact number needed. If Team Rankings projections come to pass the Sun Belt's extra two teams will have a slot somewhere.
Here's the breakdown
There are 25 teams that need one win to Bowl Eligibility. 71 are currently eligible
Of the 25 teams, there are 3 matchups of 5-6 teams, so one is in for sure, and the other out. Those 3 are: Baylor vs Texas Tech in Dallas, Tennessee at Vanderbilt, and Purdue at Indiana
Of the remaining 19 teams, there are 4 games, which will be heavily favored:
FAU hosts Charlotte.
Miami (OH) hosts Ball State
Southern Miss plays at UTEP
Tulane Hosts Navy. (Of the heavy favorites, this would be the best chance at an upset)
There are 2 teams which are favorites, but upsets are possible
Coastal Carolina at South Alabama (I don't expect it, but it's not like CCU is playing well)
Wyoming plays at New Mexico
There are three Toss ups:
TCU hosts Oklahoma State
Arizona hosts Arizona State
SMU plays at Tulsa
From there, the odds are low:
USC has to win against #3 Notre Dame...not happening
Florida State has to beat a Top 20 Florida...very unlikely
Colorado has to win at Cal (Nope)
Kansas State has to win at Iowa State (doubtful)
Wake Forest has to win at Duke (Duke is actually good now)
Minnesota has to win at Wisconsin (LOL)
Maryland must win at Penn State (I doubt they sneak up on two straight)
Akron must win at Ohio and At South Carolina on Dec 1 (double lol)
(VTU and Liberty can still get there, but VTU must find an FBS school willing to play Dec 1 to get there, and that's IF they beat Virginia)
My guess is 80 total. 2 stay home. One of those is probably coastal.
