Last updated through wk 14 (Sun Dec 3)

First up would be the countdown to Bowl selection day on December 3rd by keeping up with who's in.

AAC: 7 IN (12W, 10W, 9W, 2 7W, 2 6W)

ACC: 10 IN (11W, 10W, 9W, 2 8W, 2 7W, 3 6W)

XII: 8 IN (12W, 10W, 9W, 3 7W, 2 6W)

B1G: 8 IN (12W, 2 10W, 2 9W, 8W, 7W, 6W)

C-USA: 10 IN (10W, 9W, 3 8W, 7W, 4 6W)

Ind.: 2 IN (9W, 8W)

MAC: 7 IN (11W, 3 8W, 7W, 2 6W)

MWC: 6 IN (2 10W, 9W, 2 7W, 6W)

Pac-12: 9 IN (11W, 10W, 2 9W, 3 7W, 2 6W)

SEC: 9 IN (12W, 11W, 10W, 9W, 2 8W, 3 7W)

SBC: 5 IN (10W, 8W, 7W, 2 6W)
========
G5 (62): 35 IN (12W, 11W, 5 10W, 3 9W, 7 8W, 7 7W, 11 6W)

Ind. (4): 2 IN (9W, 8W)

P5 (64): 44 IN (4 12W, 3 11W, 5 10W, 7 9W, 5 8W, 12 7W, 8 6W)
========
TOTALS (130): 81 IN (5 12W, 4 11W, 10 10W, 11 9W, 13 8W, 19 7W, 19 6W)

☆ 81 in for 78 spots

The Sunbelt is BAD

53 in, but only 54 still possible starting Saturday play.

AAC changed to 3 out when Cincinnati lost Friday night.
SEC has been at 1 out since February when Ole Miss self-imposed a bowl ban.

After November 11 games, 59 teams are bowl eligible. 27 teams are out, so that leaves 44 teams trying to reach 6 wins.

1 team (Arkansas State) has 5 wins with 3 games left
18 teams have 5 wins with 2 games left
1 team (Colorado) has 5 wins with 1 game left (at Utah)
3 teams have 4 wins with 3 games left
19 teams have 4 wins with 2 games left
2 teams (Florida State and Idaho) have 3 wins with 3 games left

Ahh yes..

(11-11-2017 02:45 PM)FriscoDawg Wrote:  SEC has been at 1 out since February when Ole Miss self-imposed a bowl ban.

updated through week 11

Teams still fighting for eligibility by conference with their remaining games. I did this rather quickly so there may be mistakes

As stated in earlier posts....78 bowl spots and 59 have clinched. Here’s the 44 teams fighting for the final 19 spots.

AAC - 6 teams in
Temple (5-5) - UCF (9-0), @Tulsa (2-8)
Tulane (4-6) - Houston (6-3), @SMU (6-4)

ACC - 7 teams in
Georgia Tech (5-4) - @Duke (4-6), Georgia (9-1)
BC (5-5) - UConn(3-7), @Syracuse (4-6)
Syracuse (4-6) - @Louisville (6-4), BC (5-5)
Pittsburgh (4-6) - @VT (7-3), Miami (9-0)
Duke (4-6) - Georgia Tech (5-4), @Wake Forest (6-4)
FSU (3-6) - Delaware St (FCS), @Florida (3-6), UL Monroe (4-6)

Big 12 - 5 teams in
Texas (5-5) - @WVU (7-3), Texas Tech 5-5)
Texas Tech (5-5) - TCU (8-2), @Texas (5-5)
Kansas State (5-5) - @Oklahoma St (8-2), Iowa St (6-4)

Big 10 - 7 teams in
Minnesota (5-5) - @Northwestern (7-3), Wisconsin (10-0)
Rutgers (4-6) - @Indiana (4-6), Michigan St (7-3)
Indiana (4-6) - Rutgers (4-6), @Purdue (4-6)
Maryland (4-6) - @Michigan St (7-3), Penn St (8-2)
Nebraska (4-6) - @Penn St (8-2), Iowa (6-4)
Purdue (4-6) - @Iowa (6-4), Indiana (4-6)

CUSA - 6 teams in
UTSA (5-4) - Marshall (7-3), @LT (4-6)
MT (5-5) - @WKU (5-5), ODU (4-6)
WKU (5-5) - MT (5-5), @FIU (6-3)
ODU (4-6) - Rice (1-9), @MT (5-5)
LT (4-6) - @UTEP (0-10), UTSA (5-4)

Independent - 2 teams in
No bubble teams

MAC - 5 teams in
Akron (5-5) - Ohio (8-2), Kent St (2-8)
Miami (4-6) - EMU (3-7), Ball St (2-8)
Buffalo (4-6) - @Ball St (2-8), Ohio (8-2)

MWC - 5 teams in
Utah St (5-5) - Hawaii (3-7), @Air Force (4-6)
Air Force (4-6) - @Boise St (8-2), Utah St (5-5)
UNLV (4-6) - @New Mexico (3-7), @Nevada (2-8)

PAC 12 - 5 teams in
Oregon (5-5) - Arizona (7-3), Oregon St (1-9)
Cal (5-5) - @Stanford(7-3), @UCLA (5-5)
Arizona St (5-5) - @Oregon St (1-9), Arizona (7-3)
UCLA (5-5) - @USC (9-2), Cal (5-5)
Utah (5-5) - @Washington (8-2), Colorado (5-6)
Colorado (5-6) - @Utah (5-5)

SEC - 8 teams in
Missouri (5-5) - @Vandy (4-6), @Arkansas (4-6)
Tennessee (4-6) - LSU (7-3), Vandy (4-6)
Vanderbilt (4-6) - Missouri (5-5), @Tennessee (4-6)
Arkansas (4-6) - Ms State (7-3), Missouri (5-5)

Sun Belt - 3 teams in
Arkansas St (5-3) - Texas St (2-8), @ULM (4-5), Troy (8-2)
UL Monroe (4-5) - @Auburn (8-2), Ark St (5-3), @Florida St (3-6)
New Mexico St (4-5) - @ULL (4-5), Idaho (3-6), USA (4-6)
South Alabama (4-6) - @Ga Southern (0-9), @NMSU (4-5)
ULL (4-5) - NMSU (4-5), Ga Southern (0-9), @App St (6-4)
Idaho (3-6) - Coastal Carolina (1-9), @New Mexico St (4-5), @Georgia St (6-3)

I used teamrankings.com's win-loss projections to come up with the most likely number of teams that will be eligible for each conference, and CBS' projections for New Year's Six bowls. With those two resources, here are the extra bowl slots that will be open as well as the number of extra teams for each conference. In short, there are 78 teams projected to be eligible for 78 slots.

Open Slots
Frisco vs AAC (must be CUSA/MAC/SBC)
Belk vs ACC
Birmingham vs AAC
Independence vs ACC
Heart of Dallas vs B1G
Heart of Dallas vs B12
Quick Lane vs ACC
Quick Lane vs B1G
Cure vs SBC

Extra Teams
Pac12
Pac12
MWC
MAC
MAC
CUSA
CUSA
CUSA
CUSA

Taking a stab at this, assuming MT/WKU/LT/UTSA all get eligible. I'm assuming UAB and FAU would not want to play in their home stadiums for a bowl game. I wouldn't.

Armed Forces - North Texas
New Mexico - UTSA
Boca Raton - FIU
Bahamas - FAU
New Orleans - USM
Gasparilla - UAB
Cure - WKU
Birmingham - MT
Heart of Dallas - LT
Independence - Marshall

I think overall, that'd be a very nice bowl schedule for the conference.

I added in the Sagarin projection results for each team in bold after current records.

(11-12-2017 01:57 PM)usm99 Wrote:  Teams still fighting for eligibility by conference with their remaining games. I did this rather quickly so there may be mistakes

As stated in earlier posts....78 bowl spots and 59 have clinched. Here’s the 44 teams fighting for the final 19 spots.

AAC - 6 teams in
Temple (5-5, 6-6) - UCF (9-0), @Tulsa (2-8)
Tulane (4-6, 4-8) - Houston (6-3), @SMU (6-4)

ACC - 7 teams in
Georgia Tech (5-4, 6-5) - @Duke (4-6), Georgia (9-1)
BC (5-5, 6-6) - UConn(3-7), @Syracuse (4-6)
Syracuse (4-6, 5-7) - @Louisville (6-4), BC (5-5)
Pittsburgh (4-6, 4-8) - @VT (7-3), Miami (9-0)
Duke (4-6, 4-8) - Georgia Tech (5-4), @Wake Forest (6-4)
FSU (3-6, 6-6) - Delaware St (FCS), @Florida (3-6), UL Monroe (4-6)

Big 12 - 5 teams in
Texas (5-5, 7-5) - @WVU (7-3), Texas Tech 5-5)
Texas Tech (5-5, 5-7) - TCU (8-2), @Texas (5-5)
Kansas State (5-5, 5-7) - @Oklahoma St (8-2), Iowa St (6-4)

Big 10 - 7 teams in
Minnesota (5-5, 5-7 APR) - @Northwestern (7-3), Wisconsin (10-0)
Rutgers (4-6, 4-8) - @Indiana (4-6), Michigan St (7-3)
Indiana (4-6, 5-7) - Rutgers (4-6), @Purdue (4-6)
Maryland (4-6, 4-8) - @Michigan St (7-3), Penn St (8-2)
Nebraska (4-6, 4-8) - @Penn St (8-2), Iowa (6-4)
Purdue (4-6, 5-7) - @Iowa (6-4), Indiana (4-6)

CUSA - 6 teams in
UTSA (5-4, 5-6) - Marshall (7-3), @LT (4-6)
MT (5-5, 6-6) - @WKU (5-5), ODU (4-6)
WKU (5-5, 7-5) - MT (5-5), @FIU (6-3)
ODU (4-6, 5-7) - Rice (1-9), @MT (5-5)
LT (4-6, 6-6) - @UTEP (0-10), UTSA (5-4)

Independent - 2 teams in
No bubble teams

MAC - 5 teams in
Akron (5-5, 6-6) - Ohio (8-2), Kent St (2-8)
Miami (4-6, 5-7) - EMU (3-7), Ball St (2-8)
Buffalo (4-6, 5-7) - @Ball St (2-8), Ohio (8-2)

MWC - 5 teams in
Utah St (5-5, 6-6) - Hawaii (3-7), @Air Force (4-6)
Air Force (4-6, 5-7 APR) - @Boise St (8-2), Utah St (5-5)
UNLV (4-6, 5-7) - @New Mexico (3-7), @Nevada (2-8)

PAC 12 - 5 teams in
Oregon (5-5, 6-6) - Arizona (7-3), Oregon St (1-9)
Cal (5-5, 5-7) - @Stanford(7-3), @UCLA (5-5)
Arizona St (5-5, 6-6) - @Oregon St (1-9), Arizona (7-3)
UCLA (5-5, 6-6) - @USC (9-2), Cal (5-5)
Utah (5-5, 6-6) - @Washington (8-2), Colorado (5-6)
Colorado (5-6, 5-7) - @Utah (5-5)

SEC - 8 teams in
Missouri (5-5, 7-5) - @Vandy (4-6), @Arkansas (4-6)
Tennessee (4-6, 5-7) - LSU (7-3), Vandy (4-6)
Vanderbilt (4-6, 4-8) - Missouri (5-5), @Tennessee (4-6)
Arkansas (4-6, 4-8) - Ms State (7-3), Missouri (5-5)

Sun Belt - 3 teams in
Arkansas St (5-3, 8-3) - Texas St (2-8), @ULM (4-5), Troy (8-2)
UL Monroe (4-5, 4-8) - @Auburn (8-2), Ark St (5-3), @Florida St (3-6)
New Mexico St (4-5, 7-5) - @ULL (4-5), Idaho (3-6), USA (4-6)
South Alabama (4-6, 5-7) - @Ga Southern (0-9), @NMSU (4-5)
ULL (4-5, 5-7) - NMSU (4-5), Ga Southern (0-9), @App St (6-4)
Idaho (3-6, 4-8) - Coastal Carolina (1-9), @New Mexico St (4-5), @Georgia St (6-3)

Akron in, #60

Also, my top post, #1, is updating

Quote:MAC: 6 IN (2 8W, 2 7W, 2 6W); 2 ? (2 4W); 4 OUT

http://www.shreveporttimes.com/story/spo...858808001/

Tech goes 6-6, goes to the Independence Bowl and plays Florida State

(11-15-2017 09:26 AM)Dawgxas Wrote:  http://www.shreveporttimes.com/story/spo...858808001/

I could see this happening. Y'all would probably bring a ton of fans too. I am hoping we get the New Orleans Bowl. It would be on a Saturday and is an easy drive.

Miami (Ohio) out, #28 out.

42 teams vying for 18 spots.

AAC - 4 teams are out now - I got 5 being out
Temple (5-5, 6-6) - UCF (9-0), @Tulsa (2-8)
Tulane (4-6, 4-8) - Houston (6-3), @SMU (6-4)

ACC - 1 team is out now - I got 4 being out
Syracuse (4-6, 5-7) - @Louisville (6-4), BC (5-5)
Pittsburgh (4-6, 4-8) - @VT (7-3), Miami (9-0)
Duke (4-6, 4-8) - Georgia Tech (5-4), @Wake Forest (6-4)
FSU (3-6, 6-6) - Delaware St (FCS), @Florida (3-6), UL Monroe (4-6) - I got them winning out

Big 12 - 2 teams are out now - I got 4 being out
Texas (5-5, 7-5) - @WVU (7-3), Texas Tech 5-5) - It's either Tech or the Longhorns
Texas Tech (5-5, 5-7) - TCU (8-2), @Texas (5-5) - It's either Tech or the Longhorns
Kansas State (5-5, 5-7) - @Oklahoma St (8-2), Iowa St (6-4) - I got em losing out.

Big 10 - 1 team is out now - I got 7 being out
Minnesota (5-5, 5-7 APR) - @Northwestern (7-3), Wisconsin (10-0) - They don't win this weekend - Done
Rutgers (4-6, 4-8) - @Indiana (4-6), Michigan St (7-3) - They are done this week.
Indiana (4-6, 5-7) - Rutgers (4-6), @Purdue (4-6) - Gotta win out, If Rutgers wins, they are done
Maryland (4-6, 4-8) - @Michigan St (7-3), Penn St (8-2) - Done this week.
Nebraska (4-6, 4-8) - @Penn St (8-2), Iowa (6-4) - Done this week.
Purdue (4-6, 5-7) - @Iowa (6-4), Indiana (4-6) - They are done this week.

CUSA - 3 teams are out now - I got 6 possibly being out. Wouldn't be surprised by 5.
UTSA (5-4, 5-6) - Marshall (7-3), @LT (4-6)
MT (5-5, 6-6) - @WKU (5-5), ODU (4-6)
WKU (5-5, 7-5) - MT (5-5), @FIU (6-3)
ODU (4-6, 5-7) - Rice (1-9), @MT (5-5)
LT (4-6, 6-6) - @UTEP (0-10), UTSA (5-4)

Independent - 2 teams out
No bubble teams

MAC - 5 teams are out now - I got 6 being out
Miami (4-7, 5-7) - EMU (3-7), Ball St (2-8) - They are out. EMU beat em tonight.
Buffalo (4-6, 5-7) - @Ball St (2-8), Ohio (8-2) - I got them out vs. Ohio as well.

MWC - 4 teams are out - I got 5 being out
Air Force (4-6, 5-7 APR) - @Boise St (8-2), Utah St (5-5) - They gone this week
UNLV (4-6, 5-7) - @New Mexico (3-7), @Nevada (2-8) - If they win this week, they will go.

PAC 12 - 1 team is out - I got 3 being out
Cal (5-5, 5-7) - @Stanford(7-3), @UCLA (5-5) - Losing out
Utah (5-5, 6-6) - @Washington (8-2), Colorado (5-6) - It's either CU or UTAH
Colorado (5-6, 5-7) - @Utah (5-5) - It's either CU or UTAH

SEC - 1 team is out Ole Miss is ineligible for cheating - I got 5 being out
Missouri (5-5, 7-5) - @Vandy (4-6), @Arkansas (4-6) - They are the wrecking ball - They are going! GO MIZZOU!!!
Florida (3-6 right now) They have UAB and FSU - FSU takes em out
Tennessee (4-6, 5-7) - LSU (7-3), Vandy (4-6) - They are done this week.
Vanderbilt (4-6, 4-8) - Missouri (5-5), @Tennessee (4-6) - They are done this week
Arkansas (4-6, 4-8) - Ms State (7-3), Missouri (5-5) - They are done this week

Sun Belt - 3 teams are out - I got 7 being out
UL Monroe (4-5, 4-8) - @Auburn (8-2), Ark St (5-3), @Florida St (3-6) - Done.
New Mexico St (4-5, 7-5) - @ULL (4-5), Idaho (3-6), USA (4-6) - USA and Idaho puts em out.
ULL (4-5, 5-7) - NMSU (4-5), Ga Southern (0-9), @App St (6-4) - They win the next 2 and lose the last.
Idaho (3-6, 4-8) - Coastal Carolina (1-9), @New Mexico St (4-5), @Georgia St (6-3) - Ga. St. puts em down.

If all of this happens, I believe that's 53-54 teams out which means you'd have 75-76 eligible for 78 spots. We could have some uh oh's but I think most of this is happening.

Quote:MAC: 6 IN (9W, 2 8W, 7W, 2 6W); 1 ? (4W); 5 OUT

(11-16-2017 02:32 AM)BlueraiderJT Wrote:  SEC - 1 team is out Ole Miss is ineligible for cheating - I got 5 being out
Missouri (5-5, 7-5) - @Vandy (4-6), @Arkansas (4-6) - They are the wrecking ball - They are going! GO MIZZOU!!!
Florida (3-6 right now) They have UAB and FSU - FSU takes em out
Tennessee (4-6, 5-7) - LSU (7-3), Vandy (4-6) - They are done this week.
Vanderbilt (4-6, 4-8) - Missouri (5-5), @Tennessee (4-6) - They are done this week
Arkansas (4-6, 4-8) - Ms State (7-3), Missouri (5-5) - They are done this week

Unless Florida scheduled an additional game or gets a waiver due to the hurricane cancellation they will not get 6 wins as they only have 2 left so they are done already.

(11-16-2017 09:17 AM)usm99 Wrote:  

(11-16-2017 02:32 AM)BlueraiderJT Wrote:  SEC - 1 team is out Ole Miss is ineligible for cheating - I got 5 being out
Missouri (5-5, 7-5) - @Vandy (4-6), @Arkansas (4-6) - They are the wrecking ball - They are going! GO MIZZOU!!!
Florida (3-6 right now) They have UAB and FSU - FSU takes em out
Tennessee (4-6, 5-7) - LSU (7-3), Vandy (4-6) - They are done this week.
Vanderbilt (4-6, 4-8) - Missouri (5-5), @Tennessee (4-6) - They are done this week
Arkansas (4-6, 4-8) - Ms State (7-3), Missouri (5-5) - They are done this week

Unless Florida scheduled an additional game or gets a waiver due to the hurricane cancellation they will not get 6 wins as they only have 2 left so they are done already.

I hope Florida beats FSU and keeps them out too.

(11-12-2017 02:10 PM)MTowho Wrote:  I used teamrankings.com's win-loss projections to come up with the most likely number of teams that will be eligible for each conference, and CBS' projections for New Year's Six bowls. With those two resources, here are the extra bowl slots that will be open as well as the number of extra teams for each conference. In short, there are 78 teams projected to be eligible for 78 slots.

Open Slots
Frisco vs AAC (must be CUSA/MAC/SBC)
Belk vs ACC
Birmingham vs AAC
Independence vs ACC
Heart of Dallas vs B1G
Heart of Dallas vs B12
Quick Lane vs ACC
Quick Lane vs B1G
Cure vs SBC

Extra Teams
Pac12
Pac12
MWC
MAC
MAC
CUSA
CUSA
CUSA
CUSA

Taking a stab at this, assuming MT/WKU/LT/UTSA all get eligible. I'm assuming UAB and FAU would not want to play in their home stadiums for a bowl game. I wouldn't.

Armed Forces - North Texas
New Mexico - UTSA
Boca Raton - FIU
Bahamas - FAU
New Orleans - USM
Gasparilla - UAB
Cure - WKU
Birmingham - MT
Heart of Dallas - LT
Independence - Marshall

I think overall, that'd be a very nice bowl schedule for the conference.

Its looking like FAU is going to win CUSA this season, if that's the case they get first pick and I doubt they will choose the Bahamas....

(11-16-2017 12:23 PM)WKUFan518 Wrote:  

(11-12-2017 02:10 PM)MTowho Wrote:  I used teamrankings.com's win-loss projections to come up with the most likely number of teams that will be eligible for each conference, and CBS' projections for New Year's Six bowls. With those two resources, here are the extra bowl slots that will be open as well as the number of extra teams for each conference. In short, there are 78 teams projected to be eligible for 78 slots.

Open Slots
Frisco vs AAC (must be CUSA/MAC/SBC)
Belk vs ACC
Birmingham vs AAC
Independence vs ACC
Heart of Dallas vs B1G
Heart of Dallas vs B12
Quick Lane vs ACC
Quick Lane vs B1G
Cure vs SBC

Extra Teams
Pac12
Pac12
MWC
MAC
MAC
CUSA
CUSA
CUSA
CUSA

Taking a stab at this, assuming MT/WKU/LT/UTSA all get eligible. I'm assuming UAB and FAU would not want to play in their home stadiums for a bowl game. I wouldn't.

Armed Forces - North Texas
New Mexico - UTSA
Boca Raton - FIU
Bahamas - FAU
New Orleans - USM
Gasparilla - UAB
Cure - WKU
Birmingham - MT
Heart of Dallas - LT
Independence - Marshall

I think overall, that'd be a very nice bowl schedule for the conference.

Its looking like FAU is going to win CUSA this season, if that's the case they get first pick and I doubt they will choose the Bahamas....

I realize it's comparing apples to oranges but USM won CUSA in 2011, went 11-2 (going into the bowl season), was ranked 18 or so and chose the Hawaii Bowl. Some of the rumored "circumstances" though was USM coaching staff (who had just taken the UNC job) wanted a trip to Hawaii moreso than the players along with not wanting to play Penn St in Dallas as Penn St was going through the Sandusky situation so USM didn't want all the attention on that....so to say FAU wouldn't choose the Bahamas could be a stretch.

(11-16-2017 12:39 PM)usm99 Wrote:  

(11-16-2017 12:23 PM)WKUFan518 Wrote:  

(11-12-2017 02:10 PM)MTowho Wrote:  I used teamrankings.com's win-loss projections to come up with the most likely number of teams that will be eligible for each conference, and CBS' projections for New Year's Six bowls. With those two resources, here are the extra bowl slots that will be open as well as the number of extra teams for each conference. In short, there are 78 teams projected to be eligible for 78 slots.

Open Slots
Frisco vs AAC (must be CUSA/MAC/SBC)
Belk vs ACC
Birmingham vs AAC
Independence vs ACC
Heart of Dallas vs B1G
Heart of Dallas vs B12
Quick Lane vs ACC
Quick Lane vs B1G
Cure vs SBC

Extra Teams
Pac12
Pac12
MWC
MAC
MAC
CUSA
CUSA
CUSA
CUSA

Taking a stab at this, assuming MT/WKU/LT/UTSA all get eligible. I'm assuming UAB and FAU would not want to play in their home stadiums for a bowl game. I wouldn't.

Armed Forces - North Texas
New Mexico - UTSA
Boca Raton - FIU
Bahamas - FAU
New Orleans - USM
Gasparilla - UAB
Cure - WKU
Birmingham - MT
Heart of Dallas - LT
Independence - Marshall

I think overall, that'd be a very nice bowl schedule for the conference.

Its looking like FAU is going to win CUSA this season, if that's the case they get first pick and I doubt they will choose the Bahamas....

I realize it's comparing apples to oranges but USM won CUSA in 2011, went 11-2 (going into the bowl season), was ranked 18 or so and chose the Hawaii Bowl. Some of the rumored "circumstances" though was USM coaching staff (who had just taken the UNC job) wanted a trip to Hawaii moreso than the players along with not wanting to play Penn St in Dallas as Penn St was going through the Sandusky situation so USM didn't want all the attention on that....so to say FAU wouldn't choose the Bahamas could be a stretch.

Even if we were to assume that FAU would not want to play in our own stadium, why would we want to play in Bahamas if we could be playing in New Orleans?