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RE: ESPN lost over 13 million subscribers - will have 3rd round of layoffs by December
(10-31-2017 11:18 AM)Attackcoog Wrote: (10-31-2017 10:41 AM)fanhood Wrote: (10-31-2017 10:00 AM)Bull Wrote: (10-31-2017 09:49 AM)fanhood Wrote: (10-31-2017 08:57 AM)Bull Wrote: Welcome to talk sports here, but if you want to talk politics of money... worry about your own beat up house.
We want something 'fair' that allows us to keep up with the P5. On their current deals, we may hope for 7-10... but the landscape is changing. Market forces will dictate what we get... so we try to stay as attractive as possible. We want to play with the big boys. It's too bad the G4 don't have that same aspiration.
I understand you want what is "fair." I think we all all people, want what is fair in every aspect of life. Certainly, and unfortunately, that is not always the case.
This is certainly a sports related topic. Do you think the 7-10 million number is something that is attainable? If so, how so?
What I mean by 'fair' is not any predetermined value... just an appropriate and legitimate assessment of market value of an 'intact conference' by working market forces.
Basically, when the AAC negotiated it's TV deal, it had just be ripped apart by realignment, and just replaced all the losses with new additions. Then we lost/sold the 'Big East' name, and didn't even have a new replacement name yet. Further, the entire world was speculating that we would continue to be ripped apart... and likely not survive. Yet ahead of the first season, we still needed a TV deal.
So, ESPN made us an absolutely ridiculous offer... and we had no recourse but to accept. What I mean by 'fair' is a now established (and named) AAC, with a few years of history and success. I want to see what 'THIS' AAC is offered... should be interesting.
Stop asking us to endorse 7-10 million... we don't have a crystal ball, and it sounds like you just want us to commit to a number so you can come back and gloat later. All we can do is win on the field, get our stadiums full as possible, get as many viewers as possible... then send our media shark Commissioner in to negotiate. We'll see what happens.
All fair points here.
One thing to note, $7-10 million has been said here many times, and I have commented that that number is insane. People have then shouted me down. I think the Memphis President said the $10 million number as well. I just want to know if people here still think that is close to possible.
As always, I have said that ~$3 million is probably likely. $5 million would be a HUGE victory, and I would laud the AAC for it.
3 million is about as ridiculous as 10 million. CBS spends 12 million for a MW package that includes no Boise home games (which is the biggest MW TV draw). We know, even including Boise, AAC games draw more viewers than MW games. We also know CBS paid that 7 million for CUSA games--yet preferred to buy AAC games from ESPN over showing all the CUSA games they had purchased. Thus, we know CBS Sports is willing to pay more for the AAC than 7 million. CUSA didnt have USF, Cinci, UConn, Temple, or Navy in that old CBS deal. We also know CBS was paying seperately for Navy rights---so it should also be noted that the current AAC ESPN deal didnt include Navy for most years (those rights remained with CBS-Sports until after 2018).
Id also mention that AAC basketball, now with Wichita, UConn, Cinci, Temple, SMU, Memphis, etc is going to be a very attractive college basketball property. The BE gets 4 million a team just for basketball. I doubt we get that for basketball---but there is significant value in AAC basketball. Thats a lot of good winter inventory for a sports network.
So a moderate raise from ESPN for the games they actually show coupled with the ACC regaining their 2nd tier rights to sell to CBS (or NBC) will easily get the AAC to 4 million a team. Thats the rock bottom floor. The top depends on how aggressive the bidding gets. If NBC is involved (and I think they will be), things could get interesting.
We'll see. I hope you are right. I would laud anything at ~$5 million.
I am not convinced that basketball matters at all, but I don't know.
The AAC's contract will set the market, so I am uniquely interested here. If I recall, the AAC is prior to BYU's renewal, the MW, as well as the rest of the market, correct?
(This post was last modified: 10-31-2017 11:27 AM by fanhood.)
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