I'm going to go with Toledo who I think makes it to 3-0 before falling to Miami.

Eastern Michigan

Ohio

Ohio for sure....

Nevada looked solid versus a supposed 8 to 10 win NW team, and has UT has them in their home opener. Luckily Tulsa doesn't look as scary as they could. Miami looked slow AF versus Bethune Cookman. Nevada is a trap and as scary to me as the other two. We don't have to prove anything versus Miami.

With my own personal chances of winning %:

Ohio: @Purdue (40%), Kansas (60%), @EMU (55%)
CMU: @Kansas (30%), @Syracuse (20%), Miami-OH (45%)
Toledo: @Nevada (50%), Tulsa (40%), @Miami-FL (20%)
EMU: @Rutgers (30%), bye week, Ohio (45%), @Kentucky (35%) [1 week later]

I'd have to say EMU has the best chance due to the early bye -- if they beat @Rutgers, it'd be the same chance as Toledo beating @Nevada + Tulsa. Rutgers looks improved.... but EMU only has that game to survive.

No way CMU. After this past week's game -- no way.

I would say surely Ohio has the best chance -- but Purdue looked Good against Louisville. It's so hard to say overall. All things being equal, EMU has a huge advantage to survive 2 more weeks undefeated with one of those being a bye... but Rutgers looks pretty decent and EMU didn't impress anyone needing much of the time at home to solidly beat mistake-driven newbie Charlotte.