(10-10-2017 09:16 PM)Fighting Muskie Wrote: (10-09-2017 10:34 PM)chargeradio Wrote: (10-09-2017 08:38 PM)Fighting Muskie Wrote: (10-09-2017 06:44 PM)chargeradio Wrote: What would it take to bust the ACC GOR? Would there be any value in a mass defection to the remnants of the Big 12?
It probably means 10 of the 15 schools have a landing spot elsewhere where the can make more money.
If the SEC had its eyes on two schools and so did the Big Ten, a block of 6 of the remaining 11 might find the Big 12 preferable to staying with the other 5.
The trouble is that the 5 schools left out and without a conference because the other 10 disbanded it would have a strong legal case for damages as a result of collusion. There would certainly be a paper trail a mile long that could be accessed with a simple public records request (unless you let privates like Duke and Miami be the ringleaders and go between agents)
I guess if someone wanted to outspend the four-letter network:
Texahoma four to PAC
Virginia, UNC to B1G
NCSU, Virginia Tech to SEC
XII adds FSU, Miami, Georgia Tech, Louisville, Clemson, Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Duke
West - TCU, Baylor, Kansas, Kansas State, Iowa State, Louisville, FSU
East - Miami, Georgia Tech, Clemson, Duke, Pittsburgh, WVU, Syracuse
Notre Dame probably tags along with its current arrangement.
Boston College and Wake Forest join the American.
The ACC, without those 4 schools is still a better league than the Big 12 without the Texlahoma 4. I see the ACC raiding the Big 12, possibly taking all 6, as more probable.
About the only way I see ACC schools joining the Big 12 is if Florida St and their likeminded compatriots who are not Big Ten or SEC targets, strike up a deal with the schools who are on those radars in a plan to disband the league and land the major players in higher paying leagues.
As the paradigm shifts away from cable subscribership I think the SEC might some day see the advantage of adding programs like Florida St and Clemson because overall viewership and popularity is more important. in the future I don't think it will matter so much where the fans are just how many of them are there.
The ACC GoR makes this scenario implausible in the next 10 years, but here's how it might look:
ACC
East: Clemson, Duke, Georgia Tech, Wake Forest
North: Boston College, Pittsburgh, Syracuse, West Virginia
South: Baylor, Florida State, Miami-FL, TCU
West: Iowa State, Kansas, Kansas State, Louisville
Big Ten
East: Michigan, Michigan State, Ohio State, Penn State
North: Illinois, Indiana, Northwestern, Purdue
South: Maryland, North Carolina, Rutgers, Virginia
West: Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Wisconsin
Pac-16
East: Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Texas, Texas Tech
North: Oregon, Oregon State, Washington, Washington State
South: Arizona, Arizona State, Colorado, Utah
West: California, Stanford, UCLA, USC
SEC
East: Florida, Georgia, NC State, South Carolina
North: Kentucky, Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Virginia Tech
South: Alabama, Auburn, Mississippi State, Ole Miss
West: Arkansas, LSU, Missouri, Texas A&M
For this to occur, the Big 12 would have to survive the expiration of their current GoR intact and adopt a new one that lasts until around the time the ACC GoR expires in 2035-36. The NC and VA schools wouldn't defect too far before then, if at all.