Quote:For sure. On paper it's much easier to build a 9-4 Minnesota team into a playoff* team then it is, say, a 5-7 Minnesota team.
That's my Point. That is what made it happen. Minnesota's controversies allowed him to go there despite our Yuge offer -- and yes, he should have. ONLY because of that. NO WAY would a B1G on their way up hire him, as no Good Offers came his way (bites yes, but, more like nibbles). BUT, it was more Minnesota's controversy having to let their HC go, not ours that reeled him in.
Quote:Maybe a year or so of 9-4 and then into the playoff* in 2019, and BOOM - suddenly a Notre Dame or Florida or Georgia or Oregon come knocking with HUGE $$$$$.
Whoah, tho. See, chances of that is a Stretch. In a year or so? No. BUT, hitting the ground running to be a B1G "East" power? Yeah. You're working with what you got, so if you don't get totally over the hump, you want to err on the side of being at a B1G than MAC. Yes. Something to put on the wall, etc. Good reasons for that, all things even being close to equal. But no, I wouldn't say that he has a bigger chance of making the Playoffs around the corner than us going to a(nother) BCS Bowl around the corner and establishing ourselves as a Boise. Both would get into ND. Again, it's about where you err on the side of. If in the end, you stumble a bit from "stardom" -- Hey, I coached a B1G. You still have chips on the table.
But I'll say this -- he wouldn't do it for Indiana or Syracuse. As you point out, it's Minn @9-4. When you have the baton to take at a high-note --- you take it. And that he understandably did.
Quote:Dave Doreen didn't even coach in NIU's Orange Bowl
Thing is, we offered a better offer, as far as "job security + money" is concerned. Dave Doreen, if he had what WE offered Fleck VS NC State -- he'd still be coaching NIU right now. :) $3m a year for 10 years is what we did for Fleck. He couldn't get close to that at NC State!
Quote:I thought it was a done deal: he'd be back.
Because everyone was pretty much hired/fired. BUT, it was Minnesota's controversey + Huge $$ (for Minn & being B1G + $$ to spend in general on the program) -- with a 9-4 record -- that got him going. He didn't run to a 6-6 B1G for $2m a year for 4 years. That'd be STUPID, with our offer and OUR trend going. And he didn't. He WOULD be back -- but, as I said, the Minn thing, understandably, crashed our party.
Quote:No one really scares me on our schedule outside of USC and Toledo.
I'd add @MSU. Yeah, there's last year. But they could have beat OSU and went for 2 instead of tie. Anyway, they were a mess, and despite that, better than record indicated (and more beatable than one would have assumed if you weren't UM/OSU). They will be better, but how much? Dunno. They could fold, they could rise. In the early season, they are Not going to do what they did last time, mentally. So it will be a Lion's Den. We went to a Cotton Bowl -- while NIU had a better chance in a down season to make a bowl last year by qualifications. Oh, they're p!ssed.
@USC, @Toledo, @MSU, @EMU -- our toughest ones. Combine @EMU with CMU and Idaho -- combined within, to not get a loss, it's on the level of @Toledo or @MSU, in and of itself, easy.
9-3 isn't super-crazy, no. If we had our whole coaching staff there, or Lester was, say, our OC last year -- and our QB coming in played backup some, etc -- yeah, Less worried, that's for sure. But it's a Transition + Tougher Schedule. 8-4 if we're good, without bad luck... 9-3 if so, with positive luck. 7-5 if we're not good, or good with bad luck.