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Tealblood Offline
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Post: #1
NCAA baseball tourney
With 2 weekends left how many and who is in?
05-08-2017 02:28 PM
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Tealblood Offline
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Post: #2
RE: NCAA baseball tourney
I don't think we make it without winning SB tourney although if say we win 7 of 8 and lose in championship game I could see them throwing the defending Champ a bid
05-08-2017 02:31 PM
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Artemis Silver Bow Offline
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Post: #3
RE: NCAA baseball tourney
2 teams
Its a balanced League. It really could be anybody!
05-08-2017 02:49 PM
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BirdofParadise Offline
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Post: #4
RE: NCAA baseball tourney
It's a one bid league this year.
05-08-2017 02:53 PM
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FoUTASportscaster Offline
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RE: NCAA baseball tourney
Best chance is if UTA wins out, or loses just one more home game, advances to the SBC final, but loses a close one to USA. UTA might get an at-large in that scenario. Needless to say, there is too much might and I'm not rooting for that at all. In all likelihood, unless all pieces fall into place, the SBC gets one in this year.
05-08-2017 03:09 PM
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bullitt_60 Offline
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Post: #6
RE: NCAA baseball tourney
The league is slightly better positioned RPI-wise than it was last year and we sent two teams to the tournament. If USA wins the tournament, it will be whoever can get their RPI in the 40s or get to 40 wins. Otherwise it will be the winner of the tournament plus USA.

I've been frustrated, particularly this year, of the undervaluation of the RPI in this league. There's a homer-hot take for ya.
05-08-2017 03:11 PM
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EigenEagle Offline
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RE: NCAA baseball tourney
(05-08-2017 03:09 PM)FoUTASportscaster Wrote:  Best chance is if UTA wins out, or loses just one more home game, advances to the SBC final, but loses a close one to USA. UTA might get an at-large in that scenario. Needless to say, there is too much might and I'm not rooting for that at all. In all likelihood, unless all pieces fall into place, the SBC gets one in this year.

GS can still reach 40 regular-season wins with remaining series against Ark State and Georgia State - arguably easier than facing Coastal and Troy. If that were to somehow happen (I doubt it will) it won't matter what we do in the conference tournament.

We've also been stronger in the latter part of the season much like UTA (23-6 over the last 29 games).

I don't think either GS or UTA are eliminated arithmetically yet, but neither of us are overly likely to get enough wins to get into at-large territory.
(This post was last modified: 05-08-2017 03:15 PM by EigenEagle.)
05-08-2017 03:15 PM
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SkullyMaroo Online
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Post: #8
RE: NCAA baseball tourney
(05-08-2017 03:11 PM)bullitt_60 Wrote:  The league is slightly better positioned RPI-wise than it was last year and we sent two teams to the tournament. If USA wins the tournament, it will be whoever can get their RPI in the 40s or get to 40 wins. Otherwise it will be the winner of the tournament plus USA.

I've been frustrated, particularly this year, of the undervaluation of the RPI in this league. There's a homer-hot take for ya.

USA fans are not convinced we would get an at-large bid this year. We have a bad record against good teams. We have a series left against App, Troy, one midweek against LSU tomorrow, and the conference tourney. Even USA might need to reach the finals to have an at-large chance. Losing to Little Rock at home killed us and dropped our RPI about 10 spots.
05-08-2017 04:16 PM
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USAJag2011 Offline
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Post: #9
RE: NCAA baseball tourney
(05-08-2017 02:53 PM)BirdofParadise Wrote:  It's a one bid league this year.

I think you're right. Unless our next loss is the Tournament final (even that would be questionable), I think only one team gets in.
05-08-2017 04:34 PM
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bullitt_60 Offline
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Post: #10
RE: NCAA baseball tourney
(05-08-2017 04:16 PM)SkullyMaroo Wrote:  
(05-08-2017 03:11 PM)bullitt_60 Wrote:  The league is slightly better positioned RPI-wise than it was last year and we sent two teams to the tournament. If USA wins the tournament, it will be whoever can get their RPI in the 40s or get to 40 wins. Otherwise it will be the winner of the tournament plus USA.

I've been frustrated, particularly this year, of the undervaluation of the RPI in this league. There's a homer-hot take for ya.

USA fans are not convinced we would get an at-large bid this year. We have a bad record against good teams. We have a series left against App, Troy, one midweek against LSU tomorrow, and the conference tourney. Even USA might need to reach the finals to have an at-large chance. Losing to Little Rock at home killed us and dropped our RPI about 10 spots.
I just think that if a top 10 league only gets its automatic qualifier in, something is broken...
05-08-2017 04:38 PM
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SkullyMaroo Online
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Post: #11
RE: NCAA baseball tourney
(05-08-2017 04:38 PM)bullitt_60 Wrote:  
(05-08-2017 04:16 PM)SkullyMaroo Wrote:  
(05-08-2017 03:11 PM)bullitt_60 Wrote:  The league is slightly better positioned RPI-wise than it was last year and we sent two teams to the tournament. If USA wins the tournament, it will be whoever can get their RPI in the 40s or get to 40 wins. Otherwise it will be the winner of the tournament plus USA.

I've been frustrated, particularly this year, of the undervaluation of the RPI in this league. There's a homer-hot take for ya.

USA fans are not convinced we would get an at-large bid this year. We have a bad record against good teams. We have a series left against App, Troy, one midweek against LSU tomorrow, and the conference tourney. Even USA might need to reach the finals to have an at-large chance. Losing to Little Rock at home killed us and dropped our RPI about 10 spots.
I just think that if a top 10 league only gets its automatic qualifier in, something is broken...

Hopefully USA can secure a road win in Baton Rouge tomorrow to provide a boost to our RPI heading into the final two weekends of conference play and SBC Tournament. I wouldn't mind adding to our 24-15 series lead we hold over the Tigers. 03-drunk
05-08-2017 04:48 PM
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Tealblood Offline
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Post: #12
RE: NCAA baseball tourney
CCU has 1 RPI booster left we play Clemson next week
05-08-2017 04:57 PM
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msu_bears Offline
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RE: NCAA baseball tourney
Missouri State currently at #17 in RPI, #24 in Coaches Poll.. You know you wanna invite us...
05-08-2017 06:29 PM
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runamuck Offline
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RE: NCAA baseball tourney
(05-08-2017 04:48 PM)SkullyMaroo Wrote:  
(05-08-2017 04:38 PM)bullitt_60 Wrote:  
(05-08-2017 04:16 PM)SkullyMaroo Wrote:  
(05-08-2017 03:11 PM)bullitt_60 Wrote:  The league is slightly better positioned RPI-wise than it was last year and we sent two teams to the tournament. If USA wins the tournament, it will be whoever can get their RPI in the 40s or get to 40 wins. Otherwise it will be the winner of the tournament plus USA.

I've been frustrated, particularly this year, of the undervaluation of the RPI in this league. There's a homer-hot take for ya.

USA fans are not convinced we would get an at-large bid this year. We have a bad record against good teams. We have a series left against App, Troy, one midweek against LSU tomorrow, and the conference tourney. Even USA might need to reach the finals to have an at-large chance. Losing to Little Rock at home killed us and dropped our RPI about 10 spots.
I just think that if a top 10 league only gets its automatic qualifier in, something is broken...

Hopefully USA can secure a road win in Baton Rouge tomorrow to provide a boost to our RPI heading into the final two weekends of conference play and SBC Tournament. I wouldn't mind adding to our 24-15 series lead we hold over the Tigers. 03-drunk

well, uta has 7 games including at #6 tcu tomorrow..we would have to win 6 out of 7 to get to the magical 35 wins that is considered to be the cutoff for an at-large bid and it looks like the jags or coastal or gaso would all be good prospects for bids..uta's rpi is way down in the high 90's I think..
05-08-2017 06:52 PM
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FoUTASportscaster Offline
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Post: #15
RE: NCAA baseball tourney
(05-08-2017 06:52 PM)runamuck Wrote:  
(05-08-2017 04:48 PM)SkullyMaroo Wrote:  
(05-08-2017 04:38 PM)bullitt_60 Wrote:  
(05-08-2017 04:16 PM)SkullyMaroo Wrote:  
(05-08-2017 03:11 PM)bullitt_60 Wrote:  The league is slightly better positioned RPI-wise than it was last year and we sent two teams to the tournament. If USA wins the tournament, it will be whoever can get their RPI in the 40s or get to 40 wins. Otherwise it will be the winner of the tournament plus USA.

I've been frustrated, particularly this year, of the undervaluation of the RPI in this league. There's a homer-hot take for ya.

USA fans are not convinced we would get an at-large bid this year. We have a bad record against good teams. We have a series left against App, Troy, one midweek against LSU tomorrow, and the conference tourney. Even USA might need to reach the finals to have an at-large chance. Losing to Little Rock at home killed us and dropped our RPI about 10 spots.
I just think that if a top 10 league only gets its automatic qualifier in, something is broken...

Hopefully USA can secure a road win in Baton Rouge tomorrow to provide a boost to our RPI heading into the final two weekends of conference play and SBC Tournament. I wouldn't mind adding to our 24-15 series lead we hold over the Tigers. 03-drunk

well, uta has 7 games including at #6 tcu tomorrow..we would have to win 6 out of 7 to get to the magical 35 wins that is considered to be the cutoff for an at-large bid and it looks like the jags or coastal or gaso would all be good prospects for bids..uta's rpi is way down in the high 90's I think..

It is at 82, a 16 spot improvement after last week's road loss to Texas-Austin and road sweep of Arkansas St.
05-08-2017 09:54 PM
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BirdofParadise Offline
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RE: NCAA baseball tourney
Okay, I've read some things here. Let me address some of them.

1. Getting an at large team has everything to do with YOUR resume, not the resume of your league. The SBC is #9 because they have five schools in the top 100 and a sixth that's relatively close. And, NONE of those RPI are currently in the top 50.

2. There is no "magic number" to get in the tournament. 35 isn't magic. Neither is 40.

3. Your RPI number isn't as important as how you got to that number. The committee looks heavily on how you did vs. the RPI Top 25, Top 50 and Top 100. They also look at bad losses (to 200+)

Here's why the SBC will (unless something strange happens) be a one bid league.

51. SOUTH ALABAMA: Top 25: 1-7, Top 50: 2-10, Top 100 6-16, two bad losses
60. LOUISIANA Top 25: 2-2, Top 50, 5-4, Top 100 12-13-1, no bad losses
63. COASTAL: Top 25: 0-5, Top 50 0-6, Top 100 5-10-1 1 bad loss
76. GA SOUTHERN: Top 25 0-0 (!) Top 50 2-1, Top 100, 10-8 2 bad losses
81. UTA: Top 25: 1-3, Top 50 2-8, Top 100 6-11 3 bad losses

I know a couple of you have some good midweek games this week which could improve your stock especially if the games are on the road, where victories count for 1.3 wins. But as far as the league is concerned.

USA: Travels to App, Hosts Troy. App will be slightly better than RPI neutral, as will Troy. A win over LSU tonight would help but I can't help but feel that 2-10 mark against the top 50 just isn't going to measure up.

LA: Best record in the Sun Belt among the top 25 and top 50, but still a losing record vs. top 100 Chances for two top 50 wins this week vs. Louisiana Tech and McNeese. But the last six probably will cause the RPI to go down after that, even if they sweep TxSt in Laf and at ULM.

CCU: 0-5 Top 25, 0-6 Top 50, 5-10-1 Top 100 2 bad losses: A sweep at UTA would help the RPI, but not the record against the Top 50. Three at home against App. hurts the RPI even if you sweep.

GS: 0-0 Top 25, 2-1 Top 50, 10-8 Top 100. Two bad losses: The schedule is a killer here. Just three games against the top 50. And the two final series aren't going to do anything for the Eagles in the RPI department.

So now I'm looking at what happens if someone wins out and goes to the finals of the conference tournament: I'm seeing NO ONE in the top 40 of the RPI.

And, that's why I'm calling this a one bid league. And, I think it happens that way no matter what happens the rest of the way.

And no, the regular season champion in the #9 conference isn't a shoo in. ESPECIALLY when going 2-8 against the Top 50.
05-09-2017 08:02 AM
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CoastalAlum2011 Offline
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RE: NCAA baseball tourney
(05-08-2017 06:29 PM)msu_bears Wrote:  Missouri State currently at #17 in RPI, #24 in Coaches Poll.. You know you wanna invite us...

At Coastal we call that an average year.

And before you ask, yes, this year is a below average year for us.

But congrats anyway. 04-cheers
05-09-2017 08:14 AM
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JCGSU Offline
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RE: NCAA baseball tourney
(05-08-2017 06:29 PM)msu_bears Wrote:  Missouri State currently at #17 in RPI, #24 in Coaches Poll.. You know you wanna invite us...

Has always been #1 on my list. New state with only one other FBS team to compete with.
05-09-2017 08:20 AM
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boroeagle2 Offline
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NCAA baseball tourney
Looks to me like the best chance for 2 bids is for GS and UL to win out and then UL lose to us in the conference championship. Let's make it happen!
05-13-2017 07:14 AM
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EigenEagle Offline
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RE: NCAA baseball tourney
What was South's record against the top 50, top 100 last year?

It couldn't have been all that great compared to any of ours now.

And they ended the season with series losses to GS, UL, and Troy.
05-13-2017 08:09 AM
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