Today you must be at least on one or two bubble watches the last month of the season to be an NIT team from a non P5 school.

With the way the NCAA changed the NIT selection after they bought it. It is hard for a non P5 school in the middle of their conference to make the NIT.

We know up front that the first four out of NCAA are in NIT as top four seeds.

Then you have these smaller conferences which normally have only 1 team in post season. If their regular season champ loses the conference tournament then they are guaranteed a spot.

Then almost every P5 school which has 18 or more wins that did not make the NCAA is in the NIT.

We had 12 P5 schools in NIT and 10 regular season champions which did not win conference tournament. Leaving on 10 spots for at large non P5 schools.. Syracuse gets one of those slots for being last four out in NCAA. Leaving only 9 at large spots for non P5 schools.

With only 32 teams it is a reach to see a lot of non P5 conference 4th-5th place teams make it

(04-29-2017 02:48 PM)ncrdbl1 Wrote:  Today you must be at least on one or two bubble watches the last month of the season to be an NIT team from a non P5 school.

With the way the NCAA changed the NIT selection after they bought it. It is hard for a non P5 school in the middle of their conference to make the NIT.

We know up front that the first four out of NCAA are in NIT as top four seeds.

Then you have these smaller conferences which normally have only 1 team in post season. If their regular season champ loses the conference tournament then they are guaranteed a spot.

Then almost every P5 school which has 18 or more wins that did not make the NCAA is in the NIT.

We had 12 P5 schools in NIT and 10 regular season champions which did not win conference tournament. Leaving on 10 spots for at large non P5 schools.. Syracuse gets one of those slots for being last four out in NCAA. Leaving only 9 at large spots for non P5 schools.

With only 32 teams it is a reach to see a lot of non P5 conference 4th-5th place teams make it

Good post

Isn't this the 3rd thread you've started - saying the same thing?

Mods maybe can merge the 3, if you keep losing them.

(04-29-2017 11:56 AM)BuccTiger Wrote:  

(04-29-2017 10:21 AM)Motor City Sam Wrote:  Hmmm. I poster who regularly bashes Coach Smith starts two threads that both begin by inaccurately claiming that Smith predicted the Tigers would make the NCAA tournament next season. I wonder what's the endgame here...

Yes, you know it makes you wonder what the poster thinks the IQ of the readers of his posts are, OR the IQ of the author of the posts. I just don't understand why they all desire the implied cheating required by their stated recovery timeline. They are wanting a turnaround calendar that even the great Cal himself didn't accomplish, and he cheated every chance he got. Even as good as Cal was at cheating, he got caught.

Calipari won 20 games his first year here and had us in the tournament in year three. Turned around doesn't mean all the way to the mountaintop. It doesn't take 4 years to get things turned around.

Bottom line: Tubby said "I know we'll be a very good team". Rejoice, Tiger fans!

(04-29-2017 08:54 AM)Tiger1983 Wrote:  Tubby stated: “I know we’ll be a very good team" next season. Very good teams earn an NCAA Bid and win a game or two (barring upset).

Fulfilling Tubby's prediction, I think, means we can afford no more than four conference defeats, must win at least one quality OCC game (e.g., Louisville), and avoid bad OOC losses.

At first blush, I though Tubby made a bold statement, but then I remembered it is the norm for Tiger coaches to enter the NCAA Tourney two to three years upon hire.

I am skeptical we can do it, but I think Tubby will be named national COY after his prediction is realized.

Fail.

In Tubby we trust...

(04-29-2017 10:21 AM)Motor City Sam Wrote:  Hmmm. I poster who regularly bashes Coach Smith starts two threads that both begin by inaccurately claiming that Smith predicted the Tigers would make the NCAA tournament next season. I wonder what's the endgame here...

Deductive reasoning: a logical process in which a conclusion is based on the concordance of multiple premises that are generally assumed to be true.

Premise 1: "We are going to be a very good team" - Tubby Smith
Premise 2: Very good teams make the NCAA tournament

Therefore...I don't think there's anything illogical about what the OP said.

The Tiger beat writer predicts a 16-15 overall record and 7-11 AAC record next season. It is at odds with Tubby's " very good team" expectation.

There is always 3 ways to look at things: Optimism, Pessimism and Realism.

(05-25-2017 09:58 AM)Tiger1983 Wrote:  The Tiger beat writer predicts a 16-15 overall record and 7-11 AAC record next season. It is at odds with Tubby's " very good team" expectation.

I think they'll do a little bit better than that but not enough to play in the NCAA or NIT.

(04-29-2017 08:54 AM)Tiger1983 Wrote:  Tubby stated: “I know we’ll be a very good team" next season. Very good teams earn an NCAA Bid and win a game or two (barring upset).

Fulfilling Tubby's prediction, I think, means we can afford no more than four conference defeats, must win at least one quality OCC game (e.g., Louisville), and avoid bad OOC losses.

At first blush, I though Tubby made a bold statement, but then I remembered it is the norm for Tiger coaches to enter the NCAA Tourney two to three years upon hire.

I am skeptical we can do it, but I think Tubby will be named national COY after his prediction is realized.

"A 2018 Tourney Bid for "a very good team" - What It Will Take"? a miracle akin to 1980 Olympics hockey team win