(04-24-2017 02:18 PM)fanhood Wrote: (04-24-2017 01:27 PM)billybobby777 Wrote: (04-24-2017 10:24 AM)fanhood Wrote: (04-24-2017 10:01 AM)KNIGHTTIME Wrote: (04-24-2017 09:59 AM)fanhood Wrote: BillyBob may just be the most objective fan forum poster on the internet.
Because he is wrong on every account? Let's be honest the AAC is light years in front of the mwc in exposure, play, budgets, etc.
Exposure is debatable. Budgets, yes. Play......did you watch Bowl Season in 2015 and 2016? Apparently not.
With that, I am not sure why you think I am some MWC promoter. I don't really care. I just want what is best for SDSU. If SDSU wanted to join the AAC, we would. It would be a simple phone call, followed by negotiations, then we would join. Easy. Fact remains, it would be a bad decision to join the AAC financially. There is no benefit. Also, don't forget that the AAC will eventually lose teams. It is inevitable. We might as well wait for now.
Thank you for the compliment fanhood! I try. Since you gave me credit on being fair:
Exposure: AAC easy. Most games are ESPN channel, where MWC has most games on CBS-SN.
Budgets: The AAC. This used to be very tight, but last year the AAC schools budgets skyrocketed while some MWC schools budgets actually shrunk.
Play: I'd give the AAC the edge. Last year was a big year for the AAC, while the MWC-Mountain division was very good, the MWC-West Division was terrible. I think the MWC-Mountain will be fierce this year though. Colorado St is going to surprise.
Exposure: CBS-SN is in less homes, but is still easily accessible. I just turn the channel. With that, I agree that the "casual viewer" will turn to ESPN, and not CBSSN. Then again, the casual viewer will simply change the channel when Tulsa is playing SMU, or USF is playing UCONN. So......not sure how to determine that.
Budgets: This is a factual statement. A lot will be determined in the next 3 to 5 years regarding the future.
Play: Cyclical, as always. The AAC proved (on the field) that the top of its conference is very similar CUSA, and MW (especially during Bowl Season). The MW West has been bad, but has the best team, and possibly program in SDSU. MW Mountain is very good, and was actually statistically better than the SEC East last year (Admittedly, statistics don't always tell the story though).
This year, literally four of six teams in the MW Mountain could win the conference (BSU, New Mexico, Air Force, Wyoming), and as you guys know, Air Force is still solid and respectable. Look out for New Mexico beating Tulsa this season.
The MW West will be improved with Hawaii on the rise. However, Fresno, SJSU, and Nevada are all rebuilding with new coaches.
For the rest.....See, reasonable posts, get good responses.
Irrational "P6" talk gets you laughed at.
My first thought - you put A LOT of emphasis on the bowl games, which are after all exhibitions. Houston's (and others') coaching change actually matters, as does Navy's injuries. I'll conced that last one as injuries are part of the game. But surely you remember the national narrative that bowl games outside the playoff don't mean anything - Fournette and others skipping them? You go the opposite direction and make them the sole datapoint for on-field performance...how about this: they are official games in the record and the stats do count, but how about we just look at them as one of 12 or 13 or 14 games?
So then we get to some neutral way of looking at the WHOLE season... how about the Massey Composite Rankings? So instead of a single datapoint like the CUSA runnerup holding the ball last to beat the AAC runnerup, we can look at September to December, top to bottom performance of the conferences.
Now I'll reframe your "The AAC proved (on the field) that the top of its conference is very similar CUSA, and MW" to something more true:
"The G4 conferences can have 1 or 2 top performers who rank with the AAC top, but the AAC top is better overall, the AAC middle is better, and the AAC bottom is above the bottom of the others."
MAC's WMU was the highest ranked non-contract-bowl-conference team - ahead of all AAC. Congrats. The MAC #2? Would be #5 in the AAC in rankings.
CUSA #2 beat a depleted Navy team...body of work, that #2CUSA ranked behind the AAC sixth-ranked Navy - below the AAC median.
mwc Boise and SDSU (ranked 32 and 37) comparable to AAC's USF and Temple (23 and 38), but the #3 AF would be #5 in the AAC.
That's at the top, at the bottom, AAC has 3 teams ranked in triple digits (heck, Big10 has 2 andACC/B12 each have one). mwc has 5 triple-digit-ranked teams, as does the MAC, both a worse cellar than the SunBelt (4 triple-digit-ranked teams) and CUSA has SEVEN teams ranked 109 or lower! EVERY G4 has one or more teams ranked below the lowest ranked AAC teams.
So, the mwc comes closest to the AAC of the G4s, especally at the top - congrats. That leads us back to P6. Remember P6 means "closer to the 5 contract-bowl-conferences" than to the G4.
MEAN MASSEY COMPOSITE RANKING
SEC 40.78
ACC 41.75
P12 46.09
B10 51.31
B12 52.02
AAC 68.68
mwc 78.46
SBC 87.04
MAC 88.45
CUSA 94.23
Again, congrats,mwc lifts itself above the other G4s by being WELL below the AAC, but not in fact farther below the AAC than the AAC is below the Big10 and Big12.
Oh, wait though, what about median?
MEDIAN MASSEY COMPOSITE RANKING:
ACC 28
B10 40
SEC 44.5
P12 45.5
B12 52.5
AAC 63.5
mwc 88
MAC 95
SBC 95
CUSA 109
Your "very similar" not actually very true, even at the top. Overall? On-field performance, yearlong body of work, top middle and bottom of conferences. AAC is closer to the five contract bowl conferences than to the G4
P6.
Just like attendance
And ratings/viewers.
P6