(03-29-2017 05:52 PM)ken d Wrote: (03-29-2017 02:42 PM)nole Wrote: With the growing revenue gap of SEC/B1G, you are much more likely to see Texas (OU, and other power programs not in those conferences) to join those two conferences.
There will be a P2 and then mid majors. $$$$ gap is getting very real.
Why would Texas care if the SEC and B1G bring in more revenue than other conferences? They don't bring in more than Texas. If closing the gap with the Big XII were that important to the Horns, they could help out on their own. Instead, they choose to capitalize on their huge wealth advantage by continuing to dominate NCAA sports - especially in the big money sports like football and basketball.
1. Because they can earn even more and no matter where they go in their minds they are still the biggest cow on the spread.
2. They need proximity for non revenue sports. Travel kills them on the East Coast and West Coast. If they could take essentially a new division of friends and neighbors with them they might consider one of the two coasts. But the ACC isn't really in position to accommodate that and the PAC has horrible viewing numbers which is why their mean is only 89 million per school. While Texas could help that the Big 12 mean in revenue is 13 million higher than that of the PAC and even their presence can't make up that gap.
3. They discussed independence and decided that having all of their sports in a conference is much more desirable from a scheduling standpoint provided the competition is not too remote.
4. They are having too many no shows at sporting events when they play less than brand name opponents. Like Oklahoma if they ever do move that is one issue they desire to address.
5. I don't see Texas in the ACC either as a full member or as an independent. The ACC needs a solid brand addition and Notre Dame all in to insure their markets and interest in the ACCN. So I wouldn't rule out an addition prior to 2019. If that addition were to come from the Big 12 then I could conceive that the SEC may work in concert with it. But since the chances are remote that the two conferences combined would add the 8 schools required for dissolution I see that likelihood as a very long shot.
There are worse things than Connecticut or Cincinnati should N.D. bite the bullet and go all in, but I don't see you taking both. UConn truly has the better athletic department from a revenue generated position. I could see the Big 12 letting W.V.U. out of the GOR so they could entertain expansion West with B.Y.U., Colorado State, and U.N.L.V. if Texas decides that all other options aren't in their self interest. I think the only reason they haven't expanded beyond 10 is because Texas wanted to keep all of its options open as did Oklahoma. So, I give expansion for the Big 12 the same very long shot status because if they were going to do it they would have gone after Louisville and Cincinnati when they took W.V.U. and they didn't. I think that's a tell.
So the ACC could very well add one and N.D. by 2019. We'll all wait on 2024 to see what the Big 12 does. That is when the pinata gets busted.
Conference Mean Revenue 2015-6:
SEC: $121 million
B1G: $108 million
B12: $102 million
PAC: $ 89 million
ACC: $ 87 million
Ever met a rich guy who didn't want more? Texas is no different!