(01-01-2017 11:43 AM)CincyBro Wrote: UC up to#21 in RPI today, hope they don't fall out of twenties after they wax Tulane tonight.
You really can't worry about the RPI as this point in the season or any computer numbers until halfway through league play. Kenpom and Sagarin give you a better idea on how good a team really is as this point. RPI Forecast is probably one of the better RPI sites in terms giving you an idea where a team's RPI might fall if the finish with a certain record.
Temple is more likely to finish with an RPI from 50 to 75 because most forecast have them winning only 9 or 10 conference games. Owls have to get to 11 conference wins to be in the NCAA conversation as their RPI would be in the top 50. Their other computers numbers are awful.
Most computer ranking systems outside the RPI rate the league in this order
1. Cincinnati top 25
2. SMU top 35
3. Houston top 40
4. Central Florida between 60 and 75
5. Memphis between 70 and 80
6. Temple between 80 and 100
7. UConn between 100 and 150
8. Tulsa between 100 and 150
9. ECU around 150 to 200
10. USF worse than 200
11. Tulane closer to 300 than 200.
Outside of flipping Tulsa and UConn I think this is probably the most likely way the league finishes. I see Cincinnati and SMU as single digits seeds and someone else sneaking in as one of the last teams in. Temple can get there based on their non-conference resume with 11 league wins. Everyone else needs at least 12 to 13 conference wins.