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Muh Nate! - We have a breach
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UofMstateU Offline
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Post: #1
Muh Nate! - We have a breach
There’s been a potential breach of Hillary Clinton’s electoral firewall. And it’s come in New Hampshire, a state that we said a couple of weeks ago could be a good indicator of a Donald Trump comeback because of its large number of swing voters. Three new
polls of New Hampshire released today showed a tied race, Trump ahead by 1 percentage point and Trump up by 5.



http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/elec...an-obamas/
11-04-2016 10:58 AM
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boroeagle2 Offline
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RE: Muh Nate! - We have a breach
Quote:There are some qualifications here: The poll showing Trump with a 5-point lead is from American Research Group, a pollster that’s had its issues over the years. And other recent polls of New Hampshire still show a Clinton ahead. But the race has clearly tightened in New Hampshire, with Clinton leading by only 2 to 3 percentage points in our forecast.

Don't forget this part!
11-04-2016 11:03 AM
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UofMstateU Offline
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RE: Muh Nate! - We have a breach
(11-04-2016 11:03 AM)boroeagle2 Wrote:  
Quote:There are some qualifications here: The poll showing Trump with a 5-point lead is from American Research Group, a pollster that’s had its issues over the years. And other recent polls of New Hampshire still show a Clinton ahead. But the race has clearly tightened in New Hampshire, with Clinton leading by only 2 to 3 percentage points in our forecast.

Don't forget this part!

Dont forget this part!

The Cubs Have A Smaller Chance Of Winning Than Trump Does - Nate Silver
11-04-2016 11:07 AM
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WalkThePlank Offline
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Post: #4
RE: Muh Nate! - We have a breach
NH is his key to the White House. He wouldn't need to pull an upset in Pennsylvania or Michigan. Nevada + the big 3 (NC, OH, FL).
11-04-2016 11:08 AM
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rath v2.0 Offline
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Post: #5
RE: Muh Nate! - We have a breach
And he keeps inching Trump's chances up 4% a day. From 13% last week up to 34% this morning.

It will end up close to a toss up come Sunday or Monday.
11-04-2016 11:09 AM
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boroeagle2 Offline
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RE: Muh Nate! - We have a breach
(11-04-2016 11:08 AM)WalkThePlank Wrote:  NH is his key to the White House. He wouldn't need to pull an upset in Pennsylvania or Michigan. Nevada + the big 3 (NC, OH, FL).
yep

[Image: G6mWl.png]
11-04-2016 11:20 AM
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WalkThePlank Offline
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RE: Muh Nate! - We have a breach
(11-04-2016 11:20 AM)boroeagle2 Wrote:  
(11-04-2016 11:08 AM)WalkThePlank Wrote:  NH is his key to the White House. He wouldn't need to pull an upset in Pennsylvania or Michigan. Nevada + the big 3 (NC, OH, FL).
yep

[Image: G6mWl.png]

That's the map.
11-04-2016 11:27 AM
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Fo Shizzle Offline
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Post: #8
RE: Muh Nate! - We have a breach
NH is a weird place. It has Massholes that have invaded it with their Lib nonsense and still has a pretty large Liberty movement. Should be interesting to watch on election day.
11-04-2016 12:00 PM
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HarmonOliphantOberlanderDevine Offline
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Post: #9
RE: Muh Nate! - We have a breach
I hope my state of Pennsylvania chooses the right side. We blew it with our governor.
11-04-2016 12:25 PM
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olliebaba Offline
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Post: #10
RE: Muh Nate! - We have a breach
(11-04-2016 12:25 PM)HarmonOliphantOberlanderDevine Wrote:  I hope my state of Pennsylvania chooses the right side. We blew it with our governor.

The "right" side as in the "correct" side as in the "good" guys?
11-04-2016 12:27 PM
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MplsBison Offline
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Post: #11
RE: Muh Nate! - We have a breach
Polls are like the pre-game shows.

They need to just shut up.


Wait for the game to start in like 2 mins, and then watch the game!
11-04-2016 12:30 PM
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olliebaba Offline
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Post: #12
RE: Muh Nate! - We have a breach
(11-04-2016 12:30 PM)MplsBison Wrote:  Polls are like the pre-game shows.

They need to just shut up.


Wait for the game to start in like 2 mins, and then watch the game!

What?! You're changing your story now? That's not what you were preaching to us earlier.
11-04-2016 12:33 PM
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