ericsaid
Heisman
Posts: 9,233
Joined: May 2013
Reputation: 227
I Root For: App. State/ECU
Location: High Point, NC
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RE: Massey Composite Rankings
(10-09-2015 02:58 PM)Seminole Indian Wrote: (10-09-2015 01:00 PM)ericsaid Wrote: (10-08-2015 03:36 PM)Seminole Indian Wrote: (10-08-2015 01:51 PM)ericsaid Wrote: (10-08-2015 01:20 PM)Seminole Indian Wrote: Based on the roster comparisons I did I would say the top 3-4 sbc teams are all able to put together very comparable 2-deep depth charts with the rosters they have, barring a lot of injuries. A-State just has the talent to have more star players in their 2-deep ( as was evident in the pre-season all sbc selections) than the other sbc teams.
As for performance there is not doubt whatsoever that A-States biggest problem the last several seasons has been coaching..............way to many of them, and that is it.
I realize that people here act like the coaching turnover is a non-issue, but more 'credible' sources than the posters here would disagree because it is a HUGE issue( the ole elephant in the room). In fact they thank it is down right amassing they have done as well as they have, and goes counter to all the conventional wisdom.
How did they manage to do it.............more talent than most of the teams they play.
Toward the end of the Roberts era the University (not just the football coaches) made a concerted effort to upgrade the talent on the football team( wanted to invest the profits from winning with talented players, as opposed to investing too win), and were willing to let the coaches take some chances, and as a result Freeze ( who was a key player in recruiting his one year as their OC) inherited a talented roster of players.
Freeze, Malzahn, Harsin and now Taylor (i mean Anderson), are all cut from the same cloth when it comes to recruiting, they are obsessive recruiters, plus the University has focused on upgrading their program with the focus on what the players want.
Not going to discuss that AppSt win, they won, and it was a major embarrassment (at the time) to the A-State football program, as was the loss to TxSt.
This far this year they have not lost to a team they are more talented than, and if they don't going forward, they will not lose another regular season game. They lost to three such teams last year, and beat one team that was more talented than them.
I understand the flow of the game against Idaho and that Arkansas State likely laid off toward the end of the game, but they only won that game 49-35, at home. A 14 point margin with such a talent gap, as it has been told on here, is a problem. Just because comparing players without seeing the teams play against each other is nearly meaningless, Ga Southern beat that same Idaho team by two more touchdowns after traveling from coast to coast.
Sure the talent is there, but after watching each team against a common opponent, Southern appeared to be the more talented team at almost every level.
I'm sure several of the things you mentioned are part of the reasons AppSt and GaSo are considered by most credible sources to be the two best teams in the SBC right now.
All I know is A-State has the most talented roster of players in the SBC.
I attribute almost all their problems to the fact they are again dealing with the coulda, woulda, and shoulda that comes with breaking in a new coaching staff.
I did not buy the injury excuse.
If you watched their game with Idaho ( actually I prefer to call it a scrimmage, and a rather sloppy one at that) as you imply you did, you know that A-State could have score 70+, or held them to under 20 if they had wanted too. That was the same Idaho team that played GaSo mind you, they were a little short handed and banged up against A-State.
A-State helped by playing the worse qb in FBS football, and running the ball.
Everyone that saw the Mizzo games knows they should have won that game, but not sure what that means either. Well I know the credible sources I mentioned above that are good at ranking teams do agree that they are a lot better than any team ASU will play going forward. A lot better. Don't know what that means either, other than on any Saturday( or Tuesday).........right. That's what I like about college football, and why I only predict overall records.
Again, all I know is A-State has the most talented roster of players in the SBC (and according to those that create such list the most all-sbc caliber players), it's their coaches job to make them the best team.
All Mizzou should've done in that game is run a QB draw, option left, option right. That's all Mauk is good for and the game the week after the State game showed that they aren't a top 25 team. If Knighten finishes the game, State probably wins, but to see the drop-off in play when he went out suggests that the team isn't as "talented" as you claim.
I really don't have a gauge of their talent other than they have the most talented roster of players in the SBC. I was not asked to compare their roster talent to teams outside the SBC.
There has been a huge drop off in performance from their #1 to #2 qb, and it has hurt them that the #2 guy has been the qb for most of the year. If their starter had not been hurt they would probably be 3-2, and I'm not sure they would not have had a good shot at Toledo.
People say USC, and Mizzou are not that good, and that may be true, but they are a lot better, a lot more talented, than any team A-State will play the rest of the year,and you cab probably say the same about Toledo.
If they can get even average production from their qb going forward (and remember many felt going into the season their qb was a strong candidate for POY in the sbc), they should a lot better than they were the first 5 games, and they are currently considered by most to be 3rd best sbc team as is (Sagarin does not have a huge differences in their rating).
That their OL matches up better against sbc defenses than they did against USC, Mizzou, and Toledo ( and they were not bad against these teams) should really help their qb a lot. Not sure they will just be able to line up, and run the ball like they did again Idaho, but i look for their run game to be one of the best in the SBC when all is said and done.
I think they have a good chance of meeting my 8 win +/- 1 prediction, if their qb says healthy.
Mizzou beat Connecticut 9-6. If the Sun Belt's top teams can't be compared to Connecticut then there are problems. The point I was trying to make about the Toledo game is that 21 of Toledo's 37 points can be attributed directly to the quarterback for State. It really is hard to believe that Knighten wouldn't have had an impact on offense that would lead to more than 7 points for State and subtract points for Toledo based on turnovers.
My question to you is whether you watch any other Sun Belt teams play. You can look at previous recruiting rankings and who all is on the roster, but the caliber of a player is more than that. It takes the ability to see and evaluate players based on their performance, and without the knowledge of App State, USA, Georgia Southern, and ULL, I'd say your comments relating to State's roster being the most talented in the SBC are more subjective than anything.
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