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Bettors? ....is anyone interested in an ATS, you pick 'em thread?
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stinkfist Offline
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Post: #1
Bettors? ....is anyone interested in an ATS, you pick 'em thread?
vegasinsider.com would be the source to access before posting - Wynn LV is the only one in play

money lines are in play if one chooses

any amount of games is allowed

any sport is allowed

listing dollar amount wagered is optional

as an example, I have made the following plays with my guy since 9/16....

** Date Time
Accepted Ticket # Taken Status Game Wager Type Risk Win
2015/09/16
06:01:20 PM - CT 14240672 I Win
Baseball - MLB
[957] St. Louis Cardinals 09/16/2015 (07:10 PM) (Win)
Money Line -166 for the Game
J. Garcia(action) W. Peralta(action)
Straight 166.00 100.00

2015/09/16
06:01:20 PM - CT 14240673 I Win
Baseball - MLB
[958] Milwaukee Brewers 09/16/2015 (07:10 PM) (Win)
+1½ Runs -105 for the Game
W. Peralta(must start) J. Garcia(must start)
Straight 105.00 100.00

yeah, I hit that middle (cards won 5-4 that night).....what a lucky bastard I can be....

2015/09/19
09:22:58 AM - CT 14306131 I Win
Football - NCAA
[163] So Mississippi 09/19/2015 (06:00 PM) (Win)
Money Line +135 for the Game
Straight 100.00 135.00

2015/09/20
11:05:58 AM - CT 14375555 I Win
Baseball - MLB
[963] St. Louis Cardinals 09/20/2015 (01:20 PM) (Win)
Money Line +125 for the Game
C. Martinez(action) J. Lester(action)
Straight 100.00 125.00

2015/09/20
11:42:07 AM - CT 14381236 I Loss
Golf - BMW Championship - 4th Round Matchups
[7436] D. Johnson 09/20/2015 (12:30 PM) (Loss)
+½ -145
Straight 72.50 50.00

2015/09/21
05:40:40 PM - CT 14422743 I Win
Baseball - MLB
[906] St. Louis Cardinals 09/21/2015 (07:15 PM) (Win)
Money Line -165 for the Game
J. Garcia(action) J. Lamb(action)
Straight 82.50 50.00

I have pending action on

2015/09/21
05:08:07 PM 14421487 I
Football - NCAA
[317] So Mississippi 09/26/2015 (11:00 AM) (Pending)
+22½ Points -110 for the Game
Straight 110.00 100.00
Total: 110.00

right now I'm eyeballing Tx St vs UH at +17 (wynn has at +16)....I like it either way....

just looking for inside info or trends.....
09-23-2015 10:31 PM
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Blueraidersig Offline
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Post: #2
RE: Bettors? ....is anyone interested in an ATS, you pick 'em thread?
I'm in. Been making 7-10 plays a week this year so far.
09-24-2015 10:53 AM
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Dawgxas Offline
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Post: #3
RE: Bettors? ....is anyone interested in an ATS, you pick 'em thread?
Why do you like the Texas State vs Houston game?

Definitely Southern Miss vs Nebraska seems like a decent possibility ATS.
(This post was last modified: 09-24-2015 01:43 PM by Dawgxas.)
09-24-2015 01:37 PM
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AndreWhere Offline
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Post: #4
RE: Bettors? ....is anyone interested in an ATS, you pick 'em thread?
I am probably wearing gold-tinted glasses but if the Golden Eagles-Huskers line crosses 22 points I'll hop on that. USM has a lot of recent practice chasing athletic QBs around. This could be the week it "clicks" for the defense, and even if it is isn't, 22 is a big number.
(This post was last modified: 09-24-2015 06:04 PM by AndreWhere.)
09-24-2015 06:02 PM
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stinkfist Offline
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Post: #5
RE: Bettors? ....is anyone interested in an ATS, you pick 'em thread?
(09-24-2015 10:53 AM)Blueraidersig Wrote:  I'm in. Been making 7-10 plays a week this year so far.

when I was younger I used to play 10 to 20 on sat, and 4 to 8 on sun....

I'm old enough now to not want/need action every day (although I wish I hadn't got off my cards....haven't made a play in three days)

with football, I like picking my moments and only betting the ATS number or the money line on the dog....I almost never tease or parlay...especially in college games

I love betting baseball...especially for my cards or against the braves...

betting golf is new....I almost took the odds on the 5 guys that can win the tour championship outright if they win this weekend at 100 each....as example, if stenson goes on to win (he was at +900) and the bet was 100 on each, the net result would be +500 (w900-L100-L100-L100-L100)...bubba would have returned +1400 (he was +1800)....day yields -150 (he was +250) and the field would have yielded -500 (all bets lose)....was a tad too risky, but interesting nonetheless

I just think it would be neat to see who does what and how they make selections....looking forward to seeing your picks....
09-25-2015 12:31 AM
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stinkfist Offline
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Post: #6
RE: Bettors? ....is anyone interested in an ATS, you pick 'em thread?
(09-24-2015 01:37 PM)Dawgxas Wrote:  Why do you like the Texas State vs Houston game?

Definitely Southern Miss vs Nebraska seems like a decent possibility ATS.

regarding Tx St, I believe the number is too high.....they can score points (and yeah, give up points too), their qb is pretty damn good, and it's freakin' whooston who they beat back in '12....lol...also, both teams appear to have the same style of qb (haven't watched UH) which means a shootout that should be close....but to be honest, I just really don't like those guys....I'll probably pull the trigger at a meager 55/50...still undecided at this point

I also like the over in that game after watching us play them last week....however, I don't usually bet totals....but if I do, I only play over the total in college (b/c of overtime rules)

I like betting g5/g5 or p5/g5 matchups.....screw p5/p5, especially the sec....too hard for me to get a feel....plus, I don't watch those games

I made a decision before the season that southern miss was going to win 6 games this year....what I didn't say then, was that I think we go 9-2 ATS (NL on the austin peay game)

I took southern miss +21.5 against MSU for 600/500 (bought the .5) and bet the money line at 100/135 against Tx St....I've got southern miss +22.5 against NEB for 110/100....will probably take it to 330/300 by kick....depends on how much I drink that morning 03-wink I will update this post when/if I do.

I'm going to bet southern miss every game this year unless our qb or other key players get hurt (or if vegas tosses out a stupid line if we cover 5 consecutive games)...

on offense,our receivers can finally catch the ball....mullens looks solid unless he has to escape the blitz....Ito is almost what I want him to be (marshall faulk) - we have to get him more touches through the air against NEB....richard is average but good enough....and we finally have TEs (that we will need to utilize against NEB)

oh yeah, we've scored 32, 52, and 56....I like getting 22.5

on defense, if our linebackers can stop making poor decisions, we can hold our own against just about anyone on the right night (from what I am seeing at this point)...our D-line is good enough, and the secondary is solid

unfortunately, our special teams could fk up a wet dream....there are other meltdowns by this group so far, but how Tx St recovered that onside kick is just silly stupid planning by the guy that is coaching that crew....how we only had two people in the middle of the field in that situation is beyond stupid....special teams is the intangible that can change a 3 pt loss into a 30 pt loss

...and as so many UAB posters told us over the last handful of months, Zac Woodfin has been HUGE....the conditioning coupled with a full compliment of schollys has yielded what I expected.....can't stress that point enough

also, I've always believed in Monken.....liked him from the time I met him....he's a smart guy and my type of shooter...he knew what he was up against when he got here (and it showed in that presser after the austin peay game).....to paraphrase my favorite redneck sayin', that guy knows tits ain't on a boar hog....ain't no nipple juice in that locker room....shouldn't be none drank by our fan base either....

I haven't made a bet on southern miss football in three years now.....I'm all-in this year....

NEB may pea stomp our arse saturday, but I'm betting they don't.
(This post was last modified: 09-25-2015 02:42 AM by stinkfist.)
09-25-2015 01:56 AM
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stinkfist Offline
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Post: #7
RE: Bettors? ....is anyone interested in an ATS, you pick 'em thread?
(09-24-2015 06:02 PM)AndreWhere Wrote:  I am probably wearing gold-tinted glasses but if the Golden Eagles-Huskers line crosses 22 points I'll hop on that. USM has a lot of recent practice chasing athletic QBs around. This could be the week it "clicks" for the defense, and even if it is isn't, 22 is a big number.

one should only buy to win and never buy to tie (in other words, if the line is 7, pay the additional 10% to make it 7.5...if the line is 6.5, suck it up and stick with it or pay the additional 20% to take it to 7.5....reverse it if you bet the fave - take 7 down to 6.5 and lay 120/100 or 7.5 down to 6.5 and lay 130/100....I usually look for the value dog in college).....my experience is to let it lie unless the number is 3, 4, or 7.....buying the 'hook' works better in the NFL

having said that, I bought up on the MSU game when it was +21....I don't always follow my own advice 03-wink

22 or 22.5 or 23 or 23.5.....really not much difference there to be honest....

the country hasn't seen us play and don't know the things we do.....that's what I'm banking on....I think the number is way too high....should be in the 14-17.5 range (and my prediction after the tx st game was open at +24.5 simply b/c I understand vegas and used to book)
(This post was last modified: 09-25-2015 02:38 AM by stinkfist.)
09-25-2015 02:13 AM
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notnow Offline
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Post: #8
RE: Bettors? ....is anyone interested in an ATS, you pick 'em thread?
I'm betting Woodfin comes back to UAB and work with Coach Clark.
09-25-2015 09:06 AM
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Blueraidersig Offline
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Post: #9
RE: Bettors? ....is anyone interested in an ATS, you pick 'em thread?
I took (with some help):

Parlay: UCLA -2.5 Under 66
Texas Tech +6.5
Auburn -2
Vandy +26.5
A&M -7.5
UT/Florida under 47.5
Mizzou/UK under 45
Syracuse +24.5
MT +7
09-25-2015 01:42 PM
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AndreWhere Offline
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Post: #10
RE: Bettors? ....is anyone interested in an ATS, you pick 'em thread?
Man, Sagarin's website *sucks*. That was an emotionally draining experience and I didn't get the information I wanted.

Does anyone know what Sagarin (**** him- he's supposed to be a statistician damnit- you'd think a statistician could set up a web page!) says about SoMiss - Nebraska?
(This post was last modified: 09-25-2015 05:23 PM by AndreWhere.)
09-25-2015 05:21 PM
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stinkfist Offline
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Post: #11
RE: Bettors? ....is anyone interested in an ATS, you pick 'em thread?
(09-25-2015 05:21 PM)AndreWhere Wrote:  Man, Sagarin's website *sucks*. That was an emotionally draining experience and I didn't get the information I wanted.

Does anyone know what Sagarin (**** him- he's supposed to be a statistician damnit- you'd think a statistician could set up a web page!) says about SoMiss - Nebraska?

plenty of trend sites out there....here's one http://www.donbest.com/ncaaf/trends/

and yeah, sagarin is a buffoon....haven't looked at his stuff since I actually held the friday USA Today in my hands (trust me, it's been awhile)
09-25-2015 05:34 PM
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AndreWhere Offline
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Post: #12
RE: Bettors? ....is anyone interested in an ATS, you pick 'em thread?
Thanks Fist I'll take a look.

I used USA Today once to clean fish and five people had explosive diarrhea.
09-25-2015 06:16 PM
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stinkfist Offline
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RE: Bettors? ....is anyone interested in an ATS, you pick 'em thread?
(09-25-2015 06:16 PM)AndreWhere Wrote:  Thanks Fist I'll take a look.

I used USA Today once to clean fish and five people had explosive diarrhea.

lol....it served it's purpose on sat morn' when I ran out of toilet paper during the college years....

something like this...... crumple, crumple, crumple, crumple, crumple, crumple, crumple, crumple, crumple, crumple, crumple, crumple, crumple, crumple, crumple, crumple, crumple, crumple, crumple, crumple, crumple, crumple, crumple, crumple, crumple, crumple, crumple, crumple, crumple, crumple, crumple, crumple.........wipe (repeat using up one from each section) :) ....would usually last until tuesday....
09-25-2015 08:04 PM
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stinkfist Offline
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RE: Bettors? ....is anyone interested in an ATS, you pick 'em thread?
finalized my plays tonight.....bought points I probably should not have...but oh wellzy....

StraightsBets 9/25/2015 7:49:09 PM - CT Risk Win Ticket #
Selection 1:
Football - NCAA
[317] So Mississippi 09/26/2015 (11:00 AM)
+21½ Points -120 for the Game
(Buy +½)
240.00 200.00 14509871
Selection 2:
Football - NCAA
[317] So Mississippi - Nebraska 09/26/2015 (11:00 AM)
Over 68 Points -110 for the Game
110.00 100.00 14509872
Selection 3:
Football - NCAA
[321] Texas State 09/26/2015 (07:00 PM)
+17½ Points -130 for the Game
(Buy +1)
130.00 100.00 14509873
Selection 4:
Football - NCAA
[321] Texas State - Houston U 09/26/2015 (07:00 PM)
Over 73½ Points -110 for the Game
Current Balance: 1,042.50
Available: 3,542.50
Pending: 0.00
edit: here's why I'm getting a tad bolder...a positive running tally can be a dangerous thing when I'm drinking gentleman jack 03-wink

Current Balance: 937.50
Available: 2,792.50
Pending: 645.00

completely wrong on both the totals and tx st.....however, the big play on southern miss gave me the following....

Current Balance: 1,042.50
Available: 3,542.50
Pending: 0.00

....could've lost 'em all today....

now I remember why I quit gambling....

playing with house money.....hard to let go.....
(This post was last modified: 09-27-2015 12:24 AM by stinkfist.)
09-25-2015 08:10 PM
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stinkfist Offline
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Post: #15
RE: Bettors? ....is anyone interested in an ATS, you pick 'em thread?
had to bet the half of this one.....

StraightsBets 9/25/2015 8:55:39 PM - CT Risk Win Ticket #
Selection 1:
Football - NCAA
[305] Boise State 09/25/2015 (07:00 PM)
Money Line -105 for the 2nd Half
52.50 50.00 14512639
Selection 2:
Football - NCAA
[305] Boise State - Virginia 09/25/2015 (07:00 PM)
Over 25 Points -110 for the 2nd Half
55.00 50.00 14512640
2 Selections Risking 107.50 To Win 100.00 US
09-25-2015 09:00 PM
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stinkfist Offline
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RE: Bettors? ....is anyone interested in an ATS, you pick 'em thread?
(09-25-2015 09:00 PM)stinkfist Wrote:  had to bet the half of this one.....

StraightsBets 9/25/2015 8:55:39 PM - CT Risk Win Ticket #
Selection 1:
Football - NCAA
[305] Boise State 09/25/2015 (07:00 PM)
Money Line -105 for the 2nd Half
52.50 50.00 14512639
Selection 2:
Football - NCAA
[305] Boise State - Virginia 09/25/2015 (07:00 PM)
Over 25 Points -110 for the 2nd Half
55.00 50.00 14512640
2 Selections Risking 107.50 To Win 100.00 US

well, that was easy.....lmao at winning a couple of drunk bets.....how bad is uva? man, do they suck the fat one...
09-25-2015 10:11 PM
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AndreWhere Offline
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Post: #17
RE: Bettors? ....is anyone interested in an ATS, you pick 'em thread?
I feel like over 68 is a pretty good bet for Southern Miss-Nebraska.

Line's been bet down to 21.5 from 23.5 according to this morning's paper.
(This post was last modified: 09-26-2015 08:40 AM by AndreWhere.)
09-26-2015 08:40 AM
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AndreWhere Offline
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Post: #18
RE: Bettors? ....is anyone interested in an ATS, you pick 'em thread?
I was right about USM covering at 21.5, wrong about taking the over. Good day for So Miss D.
09-26-2015 05:04 PM
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stinkfist Offline
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Post: #19
RE: Bettors? ....is anyone interested in an ATS, you pick 'em thread?
(09-26-2015 05:04 PM)AndreWhere Wrote:  I was right about USM covering at 21.5, wrong about taking the over. Good day for So Miss D.

now you know why I bet 300 on the game and 100 over.....and the over should have hit...but I'm not cryin'

have tx state and over tonight as listed above.....the worst I do is lose a pittance...

no plays until pirates vs cards next week

Current Balance: 1,227.50
Available: 3,542.50
Pending: 185.00
09-26-2015 05:26 PM
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stinkfist Offline
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RE: Bettors? ....is anyone interested in an ATS, you pick 'em thread?
(09-25-2015 01:42 PM)Blueraidersig Wrote:  I took (with some help):

Parlay: UCLA -2.5 Under 66
Texas Tech +6.5
Auburn -2
Vandy +26.5
A&M -7.5
UT/Florida under 47.5
Mizzou/UK under 45
Syracuse +24.5
MT +7

well done....assuming you bet the same dollar amount on each, 6-3 made you a tidy profit...

are you playing anything today?
09-27-2015 09:02 AM
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