(05-31-2015 11:38 AM)ThreeifbyLightning Wrote: (05-31-2015 10:54 AM)BlueRaiderBoy Wrote: Gotta say I am chapped by preseason rankings. When MT is rated low, I "try to ignore it!" When, they get a decent or good preseason rating; "I get "pumped up!" So far, Athlon (owned and managed by a Vandy Grad and sideline radio analyst for VU FB); Lindy's published in Birmingham; and Sporting News all have MT ranked third in CUSA East, behind both Western and Marshall. While all of these !@#$%^ are probably right on the money; it's time for the Stock(still) Exchange to post some BIG GAINS across the board!
Western is a trendy pick, because they have a video game QB that was granted a sixth year, but the issues that plagued Western last year aren't going to go away this year. And this is a team that only went 4-4 in the league last year.
As I have mentioned on several occasions before, there is no doubt that Doughty will put up ridiculous numbers this season, because there are some teams that simply aren't capable of deploying the right strategy to beat them. That strategy or blueprint for how to slow down and even stop Doughty is out there. He buckles under pressure, so the teams that are capable of covering on an island and blitzing the snot out of him can blow up that offense, because their passing game is all based on timing. There are quite a few teams in the league that are very much capable of doing this. And I can't - for the life of me - figure out why in the world Marshall played so soft last year.
As for their defense we would have to be talking about an exponential improvement for that side of their team to make much of a difference, and I personally believe it will be only incrementally improved.
For the teams that try to blitz but don't have the personnel to do it those games are going to get ugly. Western will put up a lot of points again this year because of that but expect a few more teams to get in his grill and knock him off his game. He's going to be blitzed so much this season my biggest fear as a Western fan would be him getting injured.
Correct Western was 4-4 but also 3 plays away from playing Tech in the CUSA championship...
muts won in OT and got there by a 4th down flag that would have ended the game. And by Western getting stopped TWICE (great defense by muts) on 3rd and 4th from the 1/2 yard line. ..
I'm going to guess 1 out of 50 times a team stops the other with 2 tries inside the 1
FAU...Western's Offense stopped playing after half. Very bad coaching decision by a rookie coach that he repeated in a few games (2 losses). Doubt if that happens this year. But even with that Western was 1 play away from winning and had around 8 tries to get the one play. Stop FAU on 1 4th down and it takes the wind out of them. I believe they made 8 of 8...which shows how bad the defense was . But defense did show improvement over the season.
UAB...Western missed 2 extra points and went for two twice and didn't make it...loss by 3. Another game where Western was up by 2 TDS and came out with a ball control offense. And up 2 TDs and went for it on 4th and 1 from our own 30....rookie coaching mistake
Tech beat the dog crap out of Western
So while all 4 are losses...3 of them were winnable in many ways on plays a team makes 85% of the time.
The defense will improve...it can't get worse and a 10 to 15% improvement is something every team should expect with most of the players coming back and the additions of 2 starters from one of the best defenses in CUSA.
So a small increase in defense..getting off the field on 3rd or 4th down and anywhere close to the same offensives numbers (a offense that shut their self down in a few games) is the reason most are picking Western...
With that small increase on defense Western would have played Tech for the championship last year...
Tech
MUTS
Marshall
all road games....home this year. But that's not been a blessing over the last few seasons for Western.