RE: MWC Bowl Season
I know it's just my $.02, but I think the AAC is headed in the wrong direction if it just buries its head in the sand and lets Boise St. and the MWC continue to steal the big stage. The AAC must be proactive.
Here's how I would guess the American could lure Boise St. and BYU and ensure that it gets the G5 access bowl bid each year (its rather long, so bear with me):
- Invite Boise St., BYU, CSU, UNLV, Fresno St., and SDSU (I would have said Air Force, because the military connection is a great branding play for the American, but Air Force is pretty adamant about keeping its Olympic sports close by; whereas, CSU will do anything it can to improve its situation - so let the Falcons have New Mexico and Wyoming).
- Simply add a new West division or pod and rename the soon-to-be AAC West to AAC Central.
- Support de-regulation of the conference championship game (w/ Big 12 and ACC), so that the American football championship would take the top-2 teams, not necessarily division winners. So, divisions or pods are for scheduling purposes and bragging rights - but the American championship game participants are the most likely to be ranked and thus finish with a strong ranking.
- Add an unofficial understanding that all AAC teams must play at least one P5 opponent OOC.
This adds:
- the two best available football programs to the American (Boise St. and BYU), making matchups like ECU-BYU and Cincinnati-Boise St. and Boise St.-BYU part of the American's brand. This increases the likelihood that there are more quality AAC matchups for the TV partners each week - which increases the TV partners' willingness to pay more.
- quality strength of schedule and ensures that the conference champ is the top G5 contender.
- minimal disruption to the current American football structure - by simply adding the new West division.
- top-TV markets (by TV households) in #17 Denver (1.5 million), #28 San Diego (1.05 million), #34 Salt Lake City (897K), #41 Las Vegas (718K), #54 Fresno (568K). (for comparison, Cincinnati is #36 with 893K, Memphis is #50 with 653K, New Orleans is #51 with 641K, and Tulsa is #60 with 530K) - which increases TV pay potential.
- likely triggers a re-negotiation of the current American TV deal. The new matchups and new markets will likely lead to an increase in per-team payout.
- two teams in California for recruiting and access to #2 Los Angeles (5.5 million) and #6 Bay Area markets (2.47 million).
- at least 2 or 3 western games each weekend to help TV partners fill out some of the West Coast TV time slots - which increases potential TV payout.
- 6 new members that consistently rank in the top tier of non-P5 programs for home game attendance (30K-60K home game attendance).
- Las Vegas, Poinsettia, and Famous Idaho Potato Bowls to the conference. The AAC would likely also go after the Christmas Bowl (Los Angeles) and perhaps the Heart of Dallas, New Mexico, and Hawai'i Bowls.
- strong basketball competition. Note the following RPIs: #26 Colorado St., #30 San Diego St., #36 Temple, #43 UNLV, #44 Boise St., #51 BYU, #52 SMU....
This leaves the MWC with Utah St., Air Force, Nevada, Wyoming, New Mexico, Hawai'i, and SJSU. The winner from that group, even if undefeated, will not be a serious threat to the American champ for the G5 bid.
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