(01-01-2015 02:32 PM)monarchoptimist Wrote: (01-01-2015 02:01 PM)baruna falls Wrote: (12-31-2014 02:41 PM)monarchoptimist Wrote: (12-31-2014 02:09 PM)johnbragg Wrote: (12-31-2014 01:47 PM)49erlew Wrote: Another thing that leads me to believe 16 is in play is the feeling that geographic conferences is the way of the future. The autobid rules (seven teams together for five years) that restrict new conferences are standing in the way.
That's not the rule anymore. When the WAC was facing extermination, the rule was changed so that an existing conference just had to have seven D-I members (or six and one transitioning?).
That's why the (new) Big East had to get a waiver. Nobody objected to the waiver, since what really matters is tournament bids, and the Big East autobid isn't "stealing" a bid from a BCS conference bubble team.
That said, conditions change and rules change. CUSA could always go to 16 with the vague plan of splitting someday, maybe, when the time is right. But I think the time for reorganizing the CUSA and Suin Belt teams into south-eastern and south-central leagues was before CUSA and teh Sun Belt called up a half-dozen FCS teams.
Can everyone please quit with the Sun Belt-CUSA-AAC calls for reorg? Those leagues are 3 separate entities for a reason. Yes, geography plays a role in conference affiliation and formation but it is not the end all be all. Each of those conferences exists because other factors pertinent to conference affiliation are far more important (and cost effective) than aligning based on the "most logical" geography. Look no further than men's basketball for a prime reason why the conferences will never realign for purely geographic reasons.
I see no difference between the Belt and Conf USA.The sxhools I n these two leagues are essentialy the same in almost every category.A merger between the two makes financial sense.Yes,there was a difference 3 years ago but not anymore.I would think that schools like North Texas,MT and WKU,would lije to renew old rivalries from the Belt.Plus,Conf USA gets to partner with ESPN,something they desperately neef to happen.
What is the downsize of such a full merger?
Then there is no difference between the Sun Belt, CUSA and the AAC. Let's shuffle these three conferences to save $$$ like you said what is the downside? These conferences were different 3 years ago but not anymore. Looking at RPI in football CUSA and the AAC were almost identical this season and the Sun Belt was the best G5 last year. None of the conferences are great in basketball this season.
Or maybe you are blind.
The reality is few conference membership decisions are made in a calm and deliberative manner. They tend to happen in reaction.
But even if someone sat down and tore up the line-ups there wouldn't be wholesale change.
Assembling a conference requires balancing a number of seemingly contradictory things.
You want a wide footprint because you want your brand to have the maximum possible exposure and college fans for the most part have a team and don't care about anyone outside their conference. They usually only watch their league and if they don't have that as choice they will either choose the most relevant or most entertaining game available to them.
You have to balance that against a desire to keep as much of your revenue as possible in your hands spent as you desire to spend money for things you want rather than on travel. That pushes you toward proximity.
You want closer opponents because it is more likely your fans will care more the more you play regional opponents who are easier to dislike.
But you don't want opponents so close that they compete much with you for media attention, fans, and potential players.
CUSA has one instance of close but too close, FIU-FAU. But that pairing appeals because it permits travel saving if so desired and can scheduled to permit an annual trip to recruiting hotbed Florida on an annual basis.
The Sun Belt has one instance of close but too close, Arkansas State and Arkansas-Little Rock but UALR does not play football and AState fans tend to overwhelm the crowd when they meet at UALR.
AAC has one such pair in UCF and USF and the logic is similar to the FIU-FAU situation and in both pairs each is served by its own local media.
There aren't a lot of shifts that can take place among the three leagues where a team can move fit those principles of new territory plus being reasonable to travel to without being too close.