I'm happy to even say there's a chance for a bowl given our first six games, I'd say it's less than a 1% probability.

76 bowl spots

70 eligible teams, 72 if you count GS and App

NW plays Illinios next week so that gets you to 71 next week.

So we need seven of the following ten to happen.

We need Temple to lose to Tulane

ODU to lose to FAU

UAB to lose to S. miss.

Navy to lose to USA

Ohio to lose to Miami (Oh)

Akron to lose to. Kent St.

Fresno to lose to Nevada tonight

Cal to lose to BYU

UTk to lose to Vandy

Kentucky loss to Louisville

Seven of the ten will be favored to get to six wins.

Again while it is doubtful it is fun to any have the chance to discuss.

Dude... there are 29 threads on this

Unfortunately, it is even more bleak than that:

1. Virginia plays Virginia Tech. The winner will go bowling.
2. Washington is ahead of App and GSU in the pecking order, even if they lose out. 6-7 teams go before 6-6 or better transitional teams. So there are essentially 73 spots taken for our purposes (including App and GSU)

This means that there is essentially 1 spot left that can be taken if you're App, and 2 spots left if you're Georgia Southern (this assumes that Ga So would get selected over App)

More bad news that you didn't mention is that Temple and Navy each have 2 games left and only need to win 1