Quote:As for our chances of beating OU, MIAMI, AND EMU? 100%.
WOW. That's a bold move. You're talking like we're in the WMU/Marshall rivalry days of 99 & 2000... I would see the EMU game at (close to) 100%, since we are geared, mean, and hungry at those green rat ba$tards, for all they did to us in the past couple years while still being the pathetic team that they are.
Ohio? Great D. Their O seems to be better. They put up over 500 yards on BGSU -- we couldn't manage 400, even with all our time soaking things up. Ohio's penalties cost them the game (a ridiculous amt of penalties).
Miami? They have an O. They lack D. We'll score on them. I would say it's 100% that we'll break the 30-pt mark -- but that's the only 100% I'd give. It's at Miami. They were the closest team to beat Marshall this year. They're an up-n-comer. They're asking for trouble. They scored 41 on NIU. If we have no turnovers, keep our penalties down, play solid and our D steps up -- yes, we will win without question. But I can't bank on that to "be what happens". I think we're obviously favored to beat them and should. But I can't put that as a "count it!"
Quote:As for NIU. If Hare sp develops it will be tough, if not it might not be.
He showed good signs against Miami. I think it was a good confidence builder, if anything. He's kinda skitzo -- but we're the last game. By that time, one should expect him to be on par. NIU has some good RBs, too. I think we won't be catching them at the right time (early MAC season).
Quote:CMU? If The Felon is sentenced to jail. 100%
If we're in good shape injury wise, 50%
Thanks to the Enos factor (he can't put anyone away when he has the chance), we'll be in this game late. If we're within 7 in the 4th, 75%.
Rawls is NOT going to jail -- it's already been settled. :) We could leave purses in their end-zone, so maybe we could squeeze out a safety or two...
This is @CMU, remember. I put our chances to win at 25-30%, barring no injuries/issues/peak-motivators/depressing-motivators on their end.
I'm not at all trying to be Debbie-Downer -- just trying to be realistic. We are in feeling-out phase, rebuilding/gelling mode. Thankfully, so is the whole MAC it seems to one degree or another, so it allows to squeeze out some extra wins. But at the same time -- I can't jump on the Excitement Bias. My rational brain tells me No. :)
Quote:FWIW, here are the all-time bowl records of every MAC school (courtesy of Phil Steele; listed in order by total number of bowl appearances):
So, you're basically saying EMU has never lost a bowl game and is the only UNDEFEATED MAC team in post-season play? Wow! :)
Yes, the MAC is not good at bowls. I would rather play a Sun Belt team and win, rather than lose to a 6-6 ACC team that beats us by 6. BUT, at this point? I'll take what I can get.
I would say our chances of going to a bowl (7-5) are about 25%. I think one would be silly to EXPECT it -- but not silly to Hope for it.