Quote:I think 9-3 or 10-2 is still possible. We have played the best two teams on the schedule, except for NIU. The MAC goes through them again. Even if we lose another one of these next two, we will probably be 4-1 going to NIU.
Toledo's dangerous. They Could go 9-3, true. But what unimpressed me is despite being able to put up yards, Cinci was still pouncing on them. Toledo NEEDED that 3rd Q, but it seemed like after that their D set in. I actually thought Toledo was the slight or possible favorite last year against NIU since it was in the Glass.
However, the problem with Toledo is it's D. It can step up, but it can also certain step down. But hey, Missouri looked good after Toledo -- and if Cinci wins the AAC with 0 or 1 loss or whatever, then that game won't look so bad. Either way, Toledo's got to shore up the D to beat:
- @Iowa State [50/50]
- @NIU [40/60]
- Bowling Green [50/50]
When your D isn't as good as it should be, and when you can put up great yards but not have the points follow in many stretches where you do, ya tend to be on the losing side of those 50/50 games. Toledo will need to get their stuff together to go 2-1 there.
Then at least have things rolling with stability (as I see Toledo as a bit too shaky) to win ALL of:
- BSU [60/40]
- CMU [60/40]
- @WMU [65/45] (could be a surprise game; WMU is improved & has weapons)
- UMass [70/30] (they seem improved going to-to-toe with Colorado & Vandy; don't want to play Bad that game)
- @Kent [80/20] (okay, they really suck)
- @EMU [80/20] (by end of year game, improved with new coach? maybe, but they'll still suck)
I see Toledo with 2 more losses, the way they're rolling. A solid surprise if they only lose 1 more (I'd bet $15 against that). A huge shocker if they don't lose any more (I'd bet the farm against that one).