(09-01-2014 01:54 PM)NothingButKnight Wrote: (08-30-2014 04:57 PM)ohio1317 Wrote: 1 loss in my opinion does not eliminate a team from the access bowl, but it does mean they no longer control their own destiny.
I think Houston is eliminated with their OOC lineup. UCF can still rebound with a win @Mizzou.
ECU, UCF, and Cincy all have scheduled some key games in the next few weeks against credibility building teams that will make or break playoff aspirations.
1.
ECU = 9.6 @ South Carolina, 9.13 @ Va Tech, and 9.20 versus UNC
Need to win 2 of 3 and run the Conference
2.
UCF = 9.13 @ Mizzou, and 10.9 versus BYU (To a lesser extent than the others but still credible if BYU beats Texas before the UCF game)
Need to win both and run the conference.
3.
Cincy = 9.27 @ tOSU, and 10.11 @ Miami (FL)
Need to win 1 of 2 and run the conference.
Also keep in mind
Temple plays @ Penn State in November. If Temple runs the table and beats Penn State I think they would be a popular pick. I'm excited for them, could be the great story of this football season.
These are all good teams. My concern is that another G5 team that plays all G5 competition going undefeated and blocking a one-loss American team that signed up to play tougher P5 competition getting left out. I hope that concern is unfounded, but history shows for us that undefeated trumps stength of schedule.