(04-14-2014 06:35 AM)Volkmar Wrote: (04-13-2014 10:31 PM)TodgeRodge Wrote: (04-13-2014 07:40 PM)Cnelson203 Wrote: (04-13-2014 06:59 PM)IceJus10 Wrote: We need to improve our Strength of Schedules... limiting the number of games to play against better competition will not help us when the conference average is already so low.
I think my plan accomplishes that goal when we eliminate FCS opposition
not when you add in 6 or 7 more conference losses every season
when you play a D1-AA team even as a CUSA team you have a pretty good chance for a win and if every CUSA team plays 1 D1-AA school that could be as high as 14-0
when you switch that out for a conference game the BEST you will ever get is 7 wins and of course 7 corresponding losses as well
when you need to fill bowl slots that 1 extra win per team can matter for some teams and the conference as well
I have no idea what you're trying to say, dude. Maybe it's too early in the morning or something but I read that 3 times and still don't understand your comment.
when you play an out of conference game your conference has a chance to gain a win without a corresponding loss
when you play an in conference game you have a guaranteed win and a guaranteed loss and no way to get around that
if you have 14 teams playing 12 regular season games that is 168 games
if you have 4 OOC games that is 56 OOC games total
so if your conference went undefeated in those OOC games the best conference record you could have is 112-56
because you have 56 OOC games and you won all of them and you have 112 in conference games and the best you can do in those is 56-56
so 56 OOC wins + 56 in conference wins and 56 in conference losses = 112-56 for a conference record
if you have only 3 OOC games that is 42 OOC games and 126 in conference games
you go 50% wins and 50% losses in the conference games so 63-63
add in 42 OOC wins and you are 105-63
so with 3 OOC games instead of 4 OOC games you have made it so that the best conference record possible for the conference goes from 112-56 to 105-63
you have absolutely guaranteed that your conferences will have 7 more losses and 7 less wins no matter how well you do in the OOC
when you divide 112 wins by 14 teams that is an average of 8 wins
when you divide 105 wins by 14 teams that is an average of 7.5 wins
again the above is working on the idea that you win 100% of your OOC games and it is used as the easiest example, but the idea is pretty simple
when you play an OOC game you have the chance to bring a win (strength and bowl eligibility) back to your conference and you have the chance to bring that win back without a guaranteed loss as well
when you play an in conference game no matter what team wins your conference has 1 win and 1 loss period.........you do not build strength for a conference going .500.......you build strength for a conference by going out and beating way more teams in the OOC than you lose to and you bring that strength and wins back to your conference and you leave some other conference with weakness and a loss
if a conference played 2 OOC games and won all of them still the best that conference could do is 98-70
if a conference played 1 OOC game and won them all the best that conference could do is 91-77
if a conference played 0 OOC games then the best that conference could do is 84-84
so with a reduction in each OOC game you go from having the ability for your conference to have 14 wins and 0 losses to 7 wins and 7 guaranteed losses
so unless your conference is doing less than going .500 in their OOC games there is zero reason to reduce the number of OOC games in favor of an in conference game
the better your conference does in the OOC the dumber the idea is to give up an OOC game
if a team plays 4 OOC games and they go .75 in those games that is 42-14
so the conference would end the season with a 98-70 record
if they instead went with 3 OOC games and still won .75 of the OOC games that is a conference record of 94.5-73.5......of course you don't have half games so the record would be either 95-73 or 94-74
but again with 1 less OOC game you have cost the conference the opportunity to win 3 or 4 more games if the conference was going to go .75 in OOC games
at the end of the day/season 1 less OOC game cost the conference the opportunity to have 7 more wins......if a conference always goes .500 in OOC games it is a wash, but for every % over .500 that a conference goes in OOC games the more wins one less OOC game cost the conference