(11-10-2013 09:10 AM)Cubanbull Wrote: Actually UCF chances to go to Orange increased dramatically by Oregon's loss. With FSU now looking like it may head to NC game that leaves the OB needing to add another ACC team like Clemson and they would want UCF against them for fan attendance.
Disagree completely. The Big East rep was selected last or second to last every year between 2005 to 2012 (Big East destination is in bold and non-AQ destination is italicized).
January 2005 games: Rose, Fiesta, Sugar,
Fiesta
January 2006 games: Fiesta, Orange, Fiesta,
Sugar
January 2007 games: Sugar,
Orange,
Fiesta (non-AQ qualified)
January 2008 games: Orange,
Fiesta,
Sugar (non-AQ qualified)
January 2009 games: Fiesta,
Sugar,
Orange (non-AQ qualified)
January 2010 games: Orange,
Fiesta,
Sugar (2 non-AQs qualified)
January 2011 games –
Rose, Sugar, Orange,
Fiesta (non-AQ qualified; non-AQ Rose Bowl stipulation enforced)
January 2012 games – Fiesta, Sugar,
Orange
January 2013 games – Fiesta,
Sugar,
Orange (non-AQ qualified)
January 2014 games: - Orange, Sugar, Fiesta
Based on the last 9 years of BCS games, I think it is pretty safe to assume the following. If NIU or Fresno St qualify, then UCF is pretty much a lock to go to the Sugar Bowl. If NIU or Fresno don't qualify, then UCF is a lock to go to the Fiesta Bowl. I simply can't see the Orange Bowl takes the American Champion with the 1st overall rotation pick and passing up on a highly ranked P5 team like Oregon/Texas/Oklahoma/etc.