(07-12-2013 11:02 AM)adcorbett Wrote: (07-12-2013 04:43 AM)Melky Cabrera Wrote: Not at all. When everyone is back, that means everyone is a year older, a year more experienced, a year better. While other teams have lost veteran players, UConn has retained all of its veterans and they have added new players from a good recruiting class.
You do realize this statement kills the argument you made earlier about Louisville, right? Louisville has seven of it's nine rotation players back, including both the top scorer, and the tournament MVP, 70% of the minutes, rebounding, scoring, etc from last year, all who as you said, are another year older and more experience, and a top ten class that is higher than any conference member but Memphis (note I don't see UConn's class on the top 25 list but I'll take your word for it).
So you can't logically say UConn will be better because of experience maturity and a great class, then knock another team who returns a near equal amount from a more accomplished team, plus bring in higher regarded players. Especially when a team who likes to wear people down can now extend it's rotation from 9 to 11 or 12. See what I mean?
AD, I wasn't knocking Louisville with my earlier comments. I have the utmost respect for the program, the coach, and what they accomplished last year.
I see a team building on returning experience whenever they return most of what made them successful the year before. If you re-read my earlier comment you'll see that I said that the exception is that when they lose one key player who made everyone else better, i.e. Peyton Siva.
I've learned from sad experience in overrating teams that when one player who is the key to a team's success is subtracted a team loses more than just the sum of his numbers. In other words, the whole is greater than the sum of the parts.
Just my opinion, Peyton Siva is one of the best college players I've ever seen. And I've been watching this game for a very long time. His impact on a game went far beyond his numbers last year. Losing him means that the whole character of the team will change. It will be a completely different team without him.
I'm not saying that the team will even necessarily be worse. Just that it will be different. The change from a Siva-led team will take time to become whatever it is going to be. I have no idea how long that reshaping of the team will take. It can be quick or it can take more than one season. It all depends on how quickly this group of kids learns.
I think you also have to factor in the loss of Dieng, the team's best big man. That's not a small loss. someone may be able to step in and pick up with what he did. But again that is an unknown. And again, it will take time.
I'm not in the business of making predictions, so I won't project anything other than to say that I will adopt a wait-and-see attitude with Louisville 2013-14.
As for UConn, nothing is unknown except their ceiling. Every single key piece is back. So, projecting them forward is not difficult. They will again be a very good team. Just how good remains to be seen.