Why schools are in the conference they are in...and where they might end up
I thought this would go well as a companion with the What school is far better than the conference they are currently in ? thread.
I'll do New York.
Buffalo - was a private school playing college division football, then went public, then dropped football, then went to D-III, then moved to D-I. Wanted to join the America East, but the AEC decided Buffalo was too far away. Then the MAC called. Highly unlikely it goes anywhere else anytime soon.
St. Bonaventure - was really good when the Atlantic-10 formed. Probably would be in the MAAC if not for its good stretch in the 1970s. Highly unlikely it ever goes anywhere else.
Canisius, Niagara, Siena, Marist, Iona, Manhattan - All Catholic (or formerly Catholic in Marist's case) all about the same size and all located in or near cities. If Siena were as good now as they were five years ago, I'd say it would have a chance at the C7 league or A-10, but it's highly unlikely any of these schools go anywhere else.
Cornell, Columbia - Ivy (obvious)
Syracuse - In the 1970's, it had to decide whether to de-emphasize sports like other northeastern privates or go all-in. It chose to go all-in. It doesn't plan to leave the ACC any time soon, but it's now subject to any future major conference shuffling.
Colgate - Wanna-be Ivy playing other wanna-be Ivies. Stability of the Patriot League in question as some members push for increased athletic scholarships.
Binghamton, Albany, Stony Brook - The America East needed members. Albany and Stony Brook would gladly accept membership in a better conference such as the CAA and also could make a conference change for football purposes. Binghamton likely is not going anywhere.
Army - Was in the MAAC, but decided it fit better with the wanna-be Ivies. Highly unlikely it goes anywhere else. Football tried playing in a conference (C-USA) but it didn't go well, so it probably won't join a conference for football again any time soon.
Fordham - I have no idea why it's in the A-10. It was in the MAAC, then left with Army to form the Patriot League. Really belongs in the MAAC or Patriot. Full scholarship in football and could move to another league as a football-only, but highly unlikely it finds a better situation for basketball.
St. John's - original Big East member, joining the C7 league, highly unlikely it ever leaves that league.
Long Island, St. Francis, Wagner - all small, private schools in New York City. Wagner thought about joining the MAAC, but apparently was concerned about what would happen to its football team. LIU and SFC highly unlikely to ever leave the NEC.
Hofstra - Was in the East Coast Conference until it broke up then went to the America East. When the stronger members went to the CAA, it followed them. Wants to be in the A-10, but the A-10 doesn't want it. It's hard to say a team that's changed conferences as often as Hofstra has won't change conferences again, but it's hard to see them moving to a better conference. Hofstra may make what appears to be a backwards move in order to get into a conference where it's a better fit.
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