Two things really really stick out.
1. Miami is in the bottom 10% of rebounding teams in the nation. That's not good. And it also explains how a team like NIU, who is a good rebounding team, pulled off a W in Oxford a few weeks ago. Seriously, if WMU rebounds like we normally do...this shouldn't be a game unless they decide to hit a bunch of 3's and/or we decide to turn it over at an alarming rate. (both possible)
2. Millett Hall in Oxford has been a house of horrors for WMU. We won there two years ago for the first time in a really really long time, and we needed OT to get it done. To give you an idea, we took both our NIT teams there and LOST. The most recent one was led by Ben Reed and Levi Rost...they got smoked by 25.
Miami has been down in recent years when compared to their tradition in basketball. Freshman sharp shooter Brian Sullivan bolted town when Coles retired and they announced Cooper to replace him. I think he would have stayed if they hired one of Coles' assistants, but oh well. He was their second leading scorer last year.
Their leading scorer is Allen Roberts. He is a 6'3" guard that was injured all of last year. Which partly explains Miami's 6th place finish in the East.
Will Felder is their second leading scorer. He checks in at 6'7" and sat out last year after transferring from St. Francis of Pennsylvania. Both he and Roberts have junior eligibility.
Reggie Johnson is their third leading scorer as a 6'1" freshman guard.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L28vwqjV9ls
Highlights from their loss to NIU. Two things stuck out. They pressed and they went to a half court trap on defense. I would assume they will at least attempt both against WMU. Might as well considering our PG's are a frosh and a soph.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ma4oGzzAM5g
Highlights from their road win at Buffalo. They played some zone on defense, and it doesn't look to be very effective. Had a 20 point lead, only to cough it up in the second half and barely pull out the win.
Looks like Miami employs some good size in their front court. I'm not worried about that as much as their wings and guards creating and getting open looks. Our big men will play physical (too a fault sometimes) and I'm not convinced Miami's front court will do the same. This isn't the prototypical Miami team that locks you down on defense and controls the tempo.
I don't know what Miami team will show up on Wednesday, but I do know that if WMU plays to it's capabilities...we should win this game.
If WMU has legit aspirations of pulling away from the middle of the MAC and solidify it's spot as the 3rd best team in the MAC, this is the type of game that they need to win. You can't afford to drop road games against teams that are inferior. I'm not trying to knock Miami by any means with that comment.
Worst and best fact of this game....WMU has exactly one player (Hutch) who has seen game time at Millett Hall. Not sure how if that translates in our favor or not.
Miami wins if we come out flat and turn the ball over 20+ times...all while shooting horribly from 3 point range (3/20 type stuff).
WMU wins if they come out with energy, play physical, and stay in front of their wings/guards on the perimeter. Also, getting to 70 points would be helpful for the Broncos. Miami hasn't scored more than 63 points in their MAC games yet.
I'll go with my Broncos taking their 5th game in a row.
Dub City 73
Miami 61