http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_c...cking_poll

I'd be very surprised if Romney wins PA. Everything I see and hear indicates that Obama will win in a landslide here. A lot could change for sure.

Those are also skewed polls. So Romney is up by 17 or more!

(10-09-2012 10:49 AM)ClairtonPanther Wrote:  I'd be very surprised if Romney wins PA. Everything I see and hear indicates that Obama will win in a landslide here.

Define "landslide".

I think Pennsylvania-Michigan-Minnesota are all just out if reach for Romney, but I think he will lose by less than 3-4% in each of those three states.

(10-09-2012 10:54 AM)Native Georgian Wrote:  

(10-09-2012 10:49 AM)ClairtonPanther Wrote:  I'd be very surprised if Romney wins PA. Everything I see and hear indicates that Obama will win in a landslide here.

Define "landslide".

I think Pennsylvania-Michigan-Minnesota are all just out if reach for Romney, but I think he will lose by less than 3-4% in each of those three states.

I say Obama 55% Romney 40% other 5%

(10-09-2012 11:00 AM)ClairtonPanther Wrote:  

(10-09-2012 10:54 AM)Native Georgian Wrote:  

(10-09-2012 10:49 AM)ClairtonPanther Wrote:  I'd be very surprised if Romney wins PA. Everything I see and hear indicates that Obama will win in a landslide here.

Define "landslide".

I think Pennsylvania-Michigan-Minnesota are all just out if reach for Romney, but I think he will lose by less than 3-4% in each of those three states.

I say Obama 55% Romney 40% other 5%

First of all, I agree 55-40-5 would definitely qualify as a landslide. But I disagree that Obama has (or will have) that much of an edge in PA. I stand by my earlier prediction of a 3-or-4 point margin in Obama's favor in that state. I could envision that lead stretching out to 8-9 points if the closing weeks of the campaign turns sour for Romney (which could easily happen). But right now, 28 days out, I don't think that's going to happen.

(10-09-2012 11:25 AM)Native Georgian Wrote:  

(10-09-2012 11:00 AM)ClairtonPanther Wrote:  

(10-09-2012 10:54 AM)Native Georgian Wrote:  

(10-09-2012 10:49 AM)ClairtonPanther Wrote:  I'd be very surprised if Romney wins PA. Everything I see and hear indicates that Obama will win in a landslide here.

Define "landslide".

I think Pennsylvania-Michigan-Minnesota are all just out if reach for Romney, but I think he will lose by less than 3-4% in each of those three states.

I say Obama 55% Romney 40% other 5%

First of all, I agree 55-40-5 would definitely qualify as a landslide. But I disagree that Obama has (or will have) that much of an edge in PA. I stand by my earlier prediction of a 3-or-4 point margin in Obama's favor in that state. I could envision that lead stretching out to 8-9 points if the closing weeks of the campaign turns sour for Romney (which could easily happen). But right now, 28 days out, I don't think that's going to happen.

I just don't think there is much enthusiasm for Romney within the T. Outside of the T(Pittsburgh/Philly) Obama will probably have 70-80%(if not more) of the vote. That means that Romney will have to win area's like Wilkes Barre/Scranton, Erie, Altoona/Johnstown in landslides to close the gap. I wouldn't be surprised if the other is 5-10% and cuts into the Romney vote even more than I predicted.

By the way, I typed Minnesota when I meant Wisconsin earlier in the thread. I think Obama is on pace to win Wisconsin by 2-3 but by 8-9 in Minnesota.