(07-27-2011 11:24 AM)SidJag Wrote: Everyone that reads and posts on this board knows exactly how you feel on South Alabama starting football and about how you feel that the scheduling changes doesn't please you (blah...blah...blah) etc., how sad
How I feel about South Alabama starting football? You mean that I'm excited for you guys and happy to have you in the conference and look forward to taking trips to Mobile?
How the scheduling changes don't please me? You mean how I misunderstood and thought we'd be playing you in place of an OOC game and it pissed me off, only to find out that we're playing you in place of another conference game, which doesn't bother me at all?
(07-27-2011 11:24 AM)SidJag Wrote: but you can bank on the fact that USA vs. Troy will out draw MTSU and any other team that plays at Floyd Stadium. We also know you don't won't to admit it, but believe me it is going to happen, like it or not.
This is where you're wrong. MT drew 28,010 for Troy in 2010. I think that Troy vs USA the first two years has a good chance at breaking that number, but that won't be an annual thing. I don't know why you got your panties in a wad, all I pointed out was the high improbability of South Alabama vs Troy being an annual sell-out. Look we've been playing Sun Belt football for ten years now and the attendance record for all those hundreds of games is 29,031, if you cannot recognize that it's beyond improbable that Troy vs South Alabama outdraws that number year in and year out, I just don't know what to tell you.
It will not happen, period, end of story. As I've said before, I give Troy @ USA the first time a long shot at a sell out and USA @ Troy the first time a good shot at a sell out. Unless both games are highly competitive(they won't be) those numbers will start declining the 2nd time around at each school. Within five years the game will be drawing somewhere around 23,000, which is very respectable for a conference game, but obviously nowhere near a sell out.
(07-27-2011 11:24 AM)SidJag Wrote: South Alabama has already sold over 8,000 tickets, to date for 2011 and is way ahead of last year's ticket drive. It is quite possible (let me add, probable) that USA will lead the conference THIS year in season ticket sales and we're still playing basically a FCS schedule. To me you are really hilarious because you are in denial of the University of South Alabama's future success in FBS/SBC football. Sorry for your apparent displeasure, but USA will be a successful fixture in the Belt.
As I've said all along, it is a common misconception to believe that what you're drawing now against lower competition is any indicator of what you'll draw at the FBS level. You're attendance will continue to go up...for a few years. It will level off and even decline slightly in the first five years. USA is in a football hotbed and has an excellent fanbase, but South Alabama is not different than the rest of the conference. Within five years at the FBS level, you'll be averaging around 20,000 +/- 3,000 depending on how attractive the schedule is and how well the season is going. There's no reason that South Alabama won't be successful in the Sun Belt, both in the stands and on the field, but past results are the best indicator of future results and South Alabama is no different than every other school that has ever started up or moved up to the FBS level. Is it possible that South Alabama is the next Boise State? Yes, it's absolutely possible, but for every Boise there are five UAB/Buffalo/ULM/WKU/etc. South Alabama would be
extremely lucky to duplicate the success that Troy has had and Troy is certainly no Boise. So while it is entirely possible that USA will be the next Boise, it's much more likely you'll be the next UAB.
(07-27-2011 11:24 AM)SidJag Wrote: In 2012, we welcome you to Mobile's Ladd-Peebles Stadium to enjoy Jaguar football, Mr. MTPiK. Oh, and let me say that I do doubt you. Carry on.
I look forward to making the trip if I'm able to. I had a blast in Mobile for the conference basketball tournament a few years back and I had a blast in Mobile for the Godaddy.com bowl back in January, I'm sure I'll have a blast again if I'm able to make it in 2012 and I'm confident I'll enjoy Jaguar football as the visitors will win with relative ease, no disrespect, but USA will not be quite ready in 2012, but I think that the games will get closer fast and USA will have more success out of the gate than WKU has.
I don't care that you doubt me one bit, all you have to go off is your own myopic optimism, I'm going off of 100's of Sun Belt games to compare USA vs Troy to, plenty of former startups/moveups to compare USA to, and unbiased common sense.
Feel free to save this thread any way you choose, but be prepared to eat a big plate of crow when I'm right, because I am, and please let me be clear that none of this is meant as disrespect to South Alabama. If anything this is simply in defense of the preposterous notion that South Alabama vs Troy is somehow that much better than any other Sun Belt game. I actually find it disrespectful to every other member of the conference to suggest that Troy vs South Alabama would break the previous attendance record year in and year out.