Ken Pomerory picks his conference tournament favorites and gives his opinion of each teams chances. Scroll down to Sun Belt.
http://basketballprospectus.com/article....icleid=953

Seed Qtrs Semis Final Champ
4 Western Kentucky 94.0 70.7 51.3 33.8
3 Middle Tennessee 100 68.9 43.1 22.3
2 North Texas 100 65.9 30.9 13.6
1 Troy 100 61.6 23.4 10.8
5 Arkansas St. 78.2 25.3 13.1 5.8
6 Denver 80.0 28.7 13.9 5.3
8 Florida Atlantic 67.7 29.7 9.7 3.9
7 La. Lafayette 74.4 29.4 10.9 3.7
9 South Alabama 32.3 8.8 1.7 0.4
10 La. Monroe 25.6 4.7 0.8 0.1
12 Ark. Little Rock 21.8 2.9 0.7 0.1
11 Florida Int'l 20.0 2.4 0.5 0.07
13 New Orleans 6.0 1.1 0.2 0.02

Statistics, talking head predictions are all a bunch of crap. The games will be played on the floor and the best team will win the tournament. That being said I like our chances since we evidently have awakened from our comotose state since Swoosh kerusch has returned to the line up.

If I were assigning probability as he is I'd take some of the points assigned Denver and give them FAU. Hot Springs is 4600 feet lower than Denver.

My picks:

UNT vs WKU in the final.

(03-02-2010 11:48 AM)MeanGreen61 Wrote:  My picks:

UNT vs WKU in the final.

You took the words out of my mouth.

How often is the Championship Game in the SBC the predicted teams ? I'm not so sure very often, although WKU has had a good run.

MT beating USA in Mobile a couple of years ago was a surprise. We ran out of gas in the second half vs. Western, and WKU beat both our men and women in the championship games ('twas a long ride home from Mobile).

(03-02-2010 03:56 PM)untgeorge Wrote:  

(03-02-2010 11:48 AM)MeanGreen61 Wrote:  My picks:

UNT vs WKU in the final.

You took the words out of my mouth.

The only sure thing is the woments tournament will be UALR and MTSU with a slight chance of WKU. the Mens tournament is wide open. North Texas and Western are playing the best right now, but neither has an easy draw by any means outside of WKU's first game

(03-03-2010 12:36 AM)chiefsfan Wrote:  The only sure thing is the woments tournament will be UALR and MTSU with a slight chance of WKU.

And I think if it IS UALR v. MT, the loser still has a shot at the NCAAs. A slim one, but substantial enough.

I think WKU has a lot to play for. We've beaten their brains in the last few time, and they'll be out for blood. WKU vs. MT women in the semis will be a barnburner-- Arnika "Fake Benjamin" Brown has been playing very well.

(03-02-2010 04:11 PM)KAjunRaider Wrote:  MT beating USA in Mobile a couple of years ago was a surprise. We ran out of gas in the second half vs. Western, and WKU beat both our men and women in the championship games ('twas a long ride home from Mobile).

i don't know that i'd say THAT. 'twas a glorious ride home from mobile for me dahbicito and k-top....

Where you been my friend ? Was getting worried you "kilt over".

Will you be making your presence known in HS ?

(03-05-2010 12:26 PM)dahbeed Wrote:  

(03-02-2010 04:11 PM)KAjunRaider Wrote:  MT beating USA in Mobile a couple of years ago was a surprise. We ran out of gas in the second half vs. Western, and WKU beat both our men and women in the championship games ('twas a long ride home from Mobile).

i don't know that i'd say THAT. 'twas a glorious ride home from mobile for me dahbicito and k-top....

(03-05-2010 02:07 PM)KAjunRaider Wrote:  Where you been my friend ? Was getting worried you "kilt over".

Will you be making your presence known in HS ?

i had full intentions of being in h.s. with my crew this year but an opportunity arose for me to go on a med/dental mission trip to nicaragua and it pretty much cleaned me out. i haven't even filed for my ghetto christmas check yet. if it was in i woulda thought about making it but i used up a lot of vacation days to go down souf.

our crew of college crazies are still going so if you see whiteboy 'fro ricker, you keep him in line. i think we have as good a shot as anyone to win this tourney. i couldn't say that a month ago but feel we can now with sergio kerusch back.

(03-05-2010 04:17 PM)dahbeed Wrote:  

(03-05-2010 02:07 PM)KAjunRaider Wrote:  Where you been my friend ? Was getting worried you "kilt over".

Will you be making your presence known in HS ?

i had full intentions of being in h.s. with my crew this year but an opportunity arose for me to go on a med/dental mission trip to nicaragua and it pretty much cleaned me out. i haven't even filed for my ghetto christmas check yet. if it was in i woulda thought about making it but i used up a lot of vacation days to go down souf.

our crew of college crazies are still going so if you see whiteboy 'fro ricker, you keep him in line. i think we have as good a shot as anyone to win this tourney. i couldn't say that a month ago but feel we can now with sergio kerusch back.

What?!?

Man... Sorry to hear you're not going to make it.

(03-05-2010 04:58 PM)thetastygreek Wrote:  

(03-05-2010 04:17 PM)dahbeed Wrote:  

(03-05-2010 02:07 PM)KAjunRaider Wrote:  Where you been my friend ? Was getting worried you "kilt over".

Will you be making your presence known in HS ?

i had full intentions of being in h.s. with my crew this year but an opportunity arose for me to go on a med/dental mission trip to nicaragua and it pretty much cleaned me out. i haven't even filed for my ghetto christmas check yet. if it was in i woulda thought about making it but i used up a lot of vacation days to go down souf.

our crew of college crazies are still going so if you see whiteboy 'fro ricker, you keep him in line. i think we have as good a shot as anyone to win this tourney. i couldn't say that a month ago but feel we can now with sergio kerusch back.

What?!?

Man... Sorry to hear you're not going to make it.

you're just mad because i won't be there for you to stick it in my face if we meet in the finals and the mean green are mean to the toppahs.....lol.

i hate it my brutha but i just couldn't afford both trips. my boy 'dray started his own bidness and he couldn't make it either. without us k-top wasn't even gonna try to keep our college crew in line.

there's a part of me that says, screw it, put it on plastic but i have too many other things going on as well. i hate that i won't get to see my toppahs on the the telly unless we make the semis.

go ahead and pull for us both to make the finals then we can respectfully part ways until the end of the game.

maybe i can make it next year. until then i'll have to follow long distance.

(03-05-2010 05:46 PM)dahbeed Wrote:  you're just mad because i won't be there for you to stick it in my face if we meet in the finals and the mean green are mean to the toppahs.....lol.

i hate it my brutha but i just couldn't afford both trips. my boy 'dray started his own bidness and he couldn't make it either. without us k-top wasn't even gonna try to keep our college crew in line.

there's a part of me that says, screw it, put it on plastic but i have too many other things going on as well. i hate that i won't get to see my toppahs on the the telly unless we make the semis.

go ahead and pull for us both to make the finals then we can respectfully part ways until the end of the game.

maybe i can make it next year. until then i'll have to follow long distance.

I wasn't going to gloat or rub it in your face. But I'd be lying if I said I wasn't hoping to catch you guys in the finals and beat you, just so that I could very politely and sincerely tell you about how talented your team is and how much we were all worried about the matchup.

Y'know... Politeness payback for the good sportsmanship you guys showed the past two years.

I hear you about not being able to make the dollars work on both trips. Not trying to give you a hard time about it or anything. You'll be missed, and hopefully I'll catch you next year.

(03-05-2010 06:33 PM)thetastygreek Wrote:  

(03-05-2010 05:46 PM)dahbeed Wrote:  you're just mad because i won't be there for you to stick it in my face if we meet in the finals and the mean green are mean to the toppahs.....lol.

i hate it my brutha but i just couldn't afford both trips. my boy 'dray started his own bidness and he couldn't make it either. without us k-top wasn't even gonna try to keep our college crew in line.

there's a part of me that says, screw it, put it on plastic but i have too many other things going on as well. i hate that i won't get to see my toppahs on the the telly unless we make the semis.

go ahead and pull for us both to make the finals then we can respectfully part ways until the end of the game.

maybe i can make it next year. until then i'll have to follow long distance.

I wasn't going to gloat or rub it in your face. But I'd be lying if I said I wasn't hoping to catch you guys in the finals and beat you, just so that I could very politely and sincerely tell you about how talented your team is and how much we were all worried about the matchup.

Y'know... Politeness payback for the good sportsmanship you guys showed the past two years.

I hear you about not being able to make the dollars work on both trips. Not trying to give you a hard time about it or anything. You'll be missed, and hopefully I'll catch you next year.

now that's just funny as hell and one of the reasons i always read your stuff. we're scot-irish stock up here in the commonwealth and as mr. webb said we're "born fighting" so i don't know if me or dray could handle it as 'sportmanlike' as you guys have.

at least you guys know your hoops and i look forwards to your reports.....i'll still never get over the description of sergio's dad's tee-shirt that was airbrushed by one of the omv clan (of 50+) at 'where was it' in san antonio??? (i honestly don't remember the name)

see.....i do read and remember (most of it)....lol.