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Can the Republicans retake the Senate in 2010?
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THE NC Herd Fan Offline
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Post: #1
Can the Republicans retake the Senate in 2010?
Of the 18 Republican Senate seats up for grabs

4 may be competitive (RI, FL, OH, and KY) but I would rate as safe Republican.

Barring scandal or unexpected retirement the other 14 are safe.

Of the 16 Democrat senate seats up for grabs

Lost cause (Republican will likely win)

PA, DE, IN, AR, NV, ND

More competitive than expected (Republicans could win)

CO, WI, IL, NY

Should be safe democrat but could always have another MA miracle

CA, WA, OR, CT, VT, MD

By my count the Republicans should be +6 easily which will make the leftwing agenda extremely difficult. If the democrats continue with heavy handed ram it down our throats tactics +10 is possible.
02-15-2010 06:05 PM
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cb4029 Offline
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RE: Can the Republicans retake the Senate in 2010?
Who cares, they will f*ck the country up just like the other guys.
02-15-2010 07:49 PM
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THE NC Herd Fan Offline
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RE: Can the Republicans retake the Senate in 2010?
(02-15-2010 07:49 PM)cb4029 Wrote:  Who cares, they will f*ck the country up just like the other guys.

You sound like a Liberatian, not a Liberal. 04-jawdrop
02-15-2010 08:15 PM
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smn1256 Offline
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RE: Can the Republicans retake the Senate in 2010?
Well, Rumsfeld took it in the shorts when the republicans didn't do well in the elections and now I'm wondering who Obama might sacrifice if the libs take a beating later this year?
02-15-2010 10:42 PM
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Post: #5
RE: Can the Republicans retake the Senate in 2010?
(02-15-2010 08:15 PM)THE NC Herd Fan Wrote:  
(02-15-2010 07:49 PM)cb4029 Wrote:  Who cares, they will f*ck the country up just like the other guys.

You sound like a Liberatian, not a Liberal. 04-jawdrop

Normally I'd agree with him, but he's an Obama Blower.
02-15-2010 11:09 PM
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Native Georgian Offline
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Post: #6
RE: Can the Republicans retake the Senate in 2010?
(02-15-2010 06:05 PM)THE NC Herd Fan Wrote:  Of the 18 Republican Senate seats up for grabs

4 may be competitive (RI, FL, OH, and KY) but I would rate as safe Republican.
The Democrats already have both Senate seats from Rhode Island. I think you meant to list Missouri in that slot along with FL, OH, and KY.
02-15-2010 11:34 PM
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RobertN Offline
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RE: Can the Republicans retake the Senate in 2010?
(02-15-2010 06:05 PM)THE NC Herd Fan Wrote:  Of the 18 Republican Senate seats up for grabs

4 may be competitive (RI, FL, OH, and KY) but I would rate as safe Republican.

Barring scandal or unexpected retirement the other 14 are safe.

Of the 16 Democrat senate seats up for grabs

Lost cause (Republican will likely win)

PA, DE, IN, AR, NV, ND

More competitive than expected (Republicans could win)

CO, WI, IL, NY

Should be safe democrat but could always have another MA miracle

CA, WA, OR, CT, VT, MD

By my count the Republicans should be +6 easily which will make the leftwing agenda extremely difficult. If the democrats continue with heavy handed ram it down our throats tactics +10 is possible.
Anything is possible but not likely.
02-16-2010 01:50 AM
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Owl 69/70/75 Offline
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RE: Can the Republicans retake the Senate in 2010?
(02-15-2010 10:42 PM)smn1256 Wrote:  Well, Rumsfeld took it in the shorts when the republicans didn't do well in the elections and now I'm wondering who Obama might sacrifice if the libs take a beating later this year?

I don't think anyone will. He's on a mission to convert us to socialism, and true believers will be kept onboard. I could see Rahm redeployed to try to reprise his 2006 role. But the moderate dems that Rahm recruited to win the borderline districts that were key to that effort are precisely the ones hanging by a thread now.

Of course, that beatdown hasn't happened yet, and may not. Somehow the economy might come back, but I don't expect that. The republicans are still dumb enough to blow the chance.
02-16-2010 04:59 AM
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RobertN Offline
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RE: Can the Republicans retake the Senate in 2010?
(02-16-2010 04:59 AM)Owl 69/70/75 Wrote:  
(02-15-2010 10:42 PM)smn1256 Wrote:  Well, Rumsfeld took it in the shorts when the republicans didn't do well in the elections and now I'm wondering who Obama might sacrifice if the libs take a beating later this year?

I don't think anyone will. He's on a mission to convert us to socialism, and true believers will be kept onboard. I could see Rahm redeployed to try to reprise his 2006 role. But the moderate dems that Rahm recruited to win the borderline districts that were key to that effort are precisely the ones hanging by a thread now.

Of course, that beatdown hasn't happened yet, and may not. Somehow the economy might come back, but I don't expect that. The republicans are still dumb enough to blow the chance.
03-lmfao
02-16-2010 01:16 PM
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NIU05 Offline
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RE: Can the Republicans retake the Senate in 2010?
IL will probably go Repub. Nominating a crooked banker is not a good idea in 2010.

Wildcard? Bin Laden will be put down by Nov. I see they just picked up the Taliban's most senior military commander. Taliban Military leader

There has been notice that US military is not capturing as many terrorists as possible. Since the Obama admin wants to close Guantonamo and not "interrogate" to get useful information they are popping these guys. They have no plan or real system in place to handle these bast$rds. Washington Post - More kills than captures - Counterterrorism
02-16-2010 01:53 PM
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smn1256 Offline
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RE: Can the Republicans retake the Senate in 2010?
(02-16-2010 01:53 PM)NIU05 Wrote:  Washington Post - More kills than captures - Counterterrorism

To liberals, killing terrorists along with any innocent people around them is good. Just from the libs on this board you would think this is something right wing war mongers would want.

But capturing them and then sending them off to Gitmo without reading them their rights is bad. Just from the libs on this board you would think this is something liberals would prefer to them being killed.
02-16-2010 02:50 PM
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Machiavelli Offline
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Post: #12
RE: Can the Republicans retake the Senate in 2010?
Myself, I always thought the Bush Administration wanted it both ways. We should of tried the guys and if found guilty they should of been put to death. I was always uncomfortable with people being locked up without a charge. Jose Padilla was an American citizen that was locked up without charges being brought up against him. It was wrong. Just sayin'.
(This post was last modified: 02-16-2010 02:55 PM by Machiavelli.)
02-16-2010 02:54 PM
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smn1256 Offline
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RE: Can the Republicans retake the Senate in 2010?
Mach, do we give all Taliban and AQ prisoners we capture overseas trials?
02-16-2010 03:06 PM
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Hambone10 Offline
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RE: Can the Republicans retake the Senate in 2010?
(02-16-2010 02:54 PM)Machiavelli Wrote:  Myself, I always thought the Bush Administration wanted it both ways. We should of tried the guys and if found guilty they should of been put to death. I was always uncomfortable with people being locked up without a charge. Jose Padilla was an American citizen that was locked up without charges being brought up against him. It was wrong. Just sayin'.

Tough call. If someone were a citizen fighting for a foriegn power, could we renounce his citizenship?? He's certainly an enemy combatant??

Serious hypothetical.

Do you have to actually "renounce" your citizenship to lose it?? Al-Quaeda isn't a country...

The rules of engagement for the military aren't in any way ready to address enemy combatatants at home... and I don't want them to be. just about everything identifying him as an enemy combatant would be thrown out of a US court... No Miranda

so what do we do?
(This post was last modified: 02-16-2010 10:18 PM by Hambone10.)
02-16-2010 10:17 PM
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Machiavelli Offline
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RE: Can the Republicans retake the Senate in 2010?
I'm not a lawyer but I think under the Geneva Conventions they have a section for non uniformed enemy combatants. I would follow those rules. It shouldn't be that damn hard folks. Have it go through the world courts. Anything but that Cowboy Diplomacy we had for 8 years. Civilized societies have ways of dealing with thugs. These guys are criminal elements. I think Cheney and that group had it wrong with the war on terror route. Just my humble opinion.
02-16-2010 10:32 PM
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flyingswoosh Offline
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RE: Can the Republicans retake the Senate in 2010?
(02-16-2010 02:54 PM)Machiavelli Wrote:  Myself, I always thought the Bush Administration wanted it both ways. We should of tried the guys and if found guilty they should of been put to death. I was always uncomfortable with people being locked up without a charge. Jose Padilla was an American citizen that was locked up without charges being brought up against him. It was wrong. Just sayin'.

aren't you a teacher?
02-16-2010 11:07 PM
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Owl 69/70/75 Offline
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RE: Can the Republicans retake the Senate in 2010?
(02-16-2010 10:32 PM)Machiavelli Wrote:  I'm not a lawyer but I think under the Geneva Conventions they have a section for non uniformed enemy combatants. I would follow those rules. It shouldn't be that damn hard folks. Have it go through the world courts. Anything but that Cowboy Diplomacy we had for 8 years. Civilized societies have ways of dealing with thugs. These guys are criminal elements. I think Cheney and that group had it wrong with the war on terror route. Just my humble opinion.

I am a lawyer, and there is no explicit provision under the Conventions for irregular combatants. If they are injured, they fall under GC 1 or 2. If they are uniformed enemy combatants they fall under GC 3. If they are unarmed civilians they fall under GC 4. There is dicta arising out of the Yugoslavia cases suggesting that everyone has to fit under one of the categories, but the Conventions on their face do not provide this.

Moreover, section 2 of the conventions all provide that they shall apply to signatories fighting other signatories, and to signatories fighting non-signatories, so long as the non-signatory abides by them. Thus even if you close the GC 3/GC 4 gap, you still have a jurisdiction issue because al-Qaeda and the Taliban were non-signatories who obviously did not abide.

Also, the rules don't provide what I think you believe they do. They certainly don't provide that they must be taken to any courts--ours or international. They can be tried for war crimes--which means military tribunal to me. They can also be confined indefinitely, for the duration of the conflict, a provision that simply codifies centuries-old international common law.

Now, here's where the Shrubbies got it all cocked up.
1. They went to war without a declaration of war. That doesn't make it an illegal war, but it does mean that there are no bright-line rules.
2. They decided unilaterally to extend GC protections to our captives. This creates a legal limbo where nobody really knows what the rules are.
3. They set up Gitmo based on the assumption that precedent would be observed and US constitutional protections would not apply there. Then the Supreme Court overturned precedent and applied US constitutional rights to prisoners held there. As an aside, I recall a bunch of you stating so indignantly that the court should never reverse precedent when talking about the campaign finance ruling; I'm guessing all of you in that group would totally support the reversal of precedent here--so you are hypocrites.

Anyway, the Shrubbies so confused the legal landscape that nobody really knew what the rules were. We needed a declared war--against al-Qaeda, against the Taliban, whomever--in order to define what law to invoke. Not some ill-defined "war on terror." Unilaterally applying the Geneva conventions was a mistake. I know what the Shrubbies wanted--a politically correct war, to minimize political opposition. But war isn't politically correct, and trying to fight it that way is a pretty good way to end up in a no-win quagmire. Finally, we should never have brought them to Gitmo. Keep them in the desert, if you want to try them, do it in military tribunals there, convict them, and kill them. Everybody incarcerated in Gitmo should have been dead five years ago.

Treating them as criminals under US or international law is neither required nor appropriate. The DA has a whole bunch of procedures available to him--warrants, seizures, interrogation, etc.--that cannot be availed of in a military context; that's why the rules are different.
(This post was last modified: 02-17-2010 12:01 AM by Owl 69/70/75.)
02-17-2010 12:00 AM
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THE NC Herd Fan Offline
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Post: #18
RE: Can the Republicans retake the Senate in 2010?
Indiana Makes Senate Winnable For GOP

Quote:North Dakota Sen. Byron Dorgan is retiring and his seat is considered the GOP's for the taking, while Pennsylvania Sen. Arlen Specter, Colorado Sen. Michael Bennet and Arkansas Sen. Blanche Lincoln are in bad shape as well. Throw in the longer shot chances of scoring two upsets in the blue state trio of California, Wisconsin, and Washington, and Republicans can now visualize a path - albeit still a very difficult one - to recapturing a 51-49 majority in the upper chamber.

What would Barry do if he had to govern from the center, not the far left for the last two years? Clearly the DUMBocrats are scared that's why they are trying to ram Healthcare DEform down our throats before November.
02-17-2010 06:34 AM
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