bitcruncher Wrote:Frankly, the Big Ten and PAC 10 have so screwed up the BCS that I say that the next time playoff talks come around if they don't want to have a playoff, go ahead and have one without them, and forbid all participating schools from scheduling teams that don't participate.
That would fix their wagon. Them and the Rose Bowl. I still get mad thinking about Illinois.
A few points here to be realistic:
(1) What you're advocating is essentially what the old Bowl Alliance in the mid-90s was where all of the major conferences participated except for the Big Ten and Pac-10. Whatever you may think of the Big Ten and Pac-10, the public didn't think it was legit at the time and the Rose Bowl had as much power as ever as a result. Thus, the BCS was created to bring the Big Ten and Pac-10 into the fold so that there would be a "legit" national championship game. Unless you're a delusional SEC fan that believes the SEC Championship Game should determine the national championship every year, a playoff system that doesn't include the Big Ten and Pac-10 will invariably lead even more second-guessing than the current BCS system. Isn't that what a playoff system is supposed to remove in the first place? The general public that sees a playoff system where USC, Ohio State and Michigan aren't participating is going to look at the national championship the same way as the rest of this year's golf majors without Tiger Woods participating - there's a huge asterisk next to the champion's name. So, when the main point of a playoff system is to supposedly remove doubt as to who is a national champion, but then two of the largest and most powerful conferences aren't participating, then that doubt is going to be even worse.
(2) The television networks are the ones that are going to drive any type of playoff system - once the major conferences can confirm without a doubt that they will make significantly more money from a playoff system than the bowl system, then the school presidents will have incentive to switch, plain and simple. TV networks don't do things out of the goodness of their own hearts, though - they are paying for ratings. Well, look at the bowl TV ratings from the past 6 years:
http://www.bcsfootball.org/bcsfb/tvratings
For each of the past six years, the three highest rated bowls involved either a Big Ten team or a Pac-10 team (except for 2006-07, when Notre Dame got an at-large berth in the Sugar Bowl, but note that the two highest-rated non-BCS bowls involved Big Ten teams). In that same time frame, the Big Ten also was involved in the highest rated non-BCS bowl game (except for 2002-03, which once again involved Notre Dame), and even this past year's Michigan-Florida Capital One Bowl handily beat every BCS bowl in the ratings except for the National Championship Game and the Rose Bowl (and those games both involved the Big Ten). In the only year within the past six years where the National Championship Game didn't involve a Big Ten or Pac-10 team, which was LSU-Oklahoma in 2003-04, the USC-Michigan Rose Bowl came within one-tenth of a point in the ratings. Also, Michigan-Ohio State, Michigan-Notre Dame and Notre Dame-USC are historically the three highest-rated regular season games every single year.
So, looking at those numbers, do you think any sane TV executive (i.e. one that wants to keep his or her job) is going to sign up for a playoff system that doesn't involve the Big Ten or Pac-10?
(3) I'm an unabashed Illini fan, but I'll try to keep this discussion at a purely bowl organizer level. The Rose Bowl relationship with the Big Ten and Pac-10 is not just some casual contract - it's the whole freaking reason why it's the most watched college game outside of the national championship game every single year because there's decades of history there. Even if you disregard that long-standing relationship, in this particular year, the Sugar Bowl had first dibs on Georgia and they were without a doubt going to take them since the bowl has a historical relationship with the SEC and they were at a disadvantage in ticket sales with being forced to take Hawaii. The Orange Bowl has a historical relationship with the Big 12, but decided to take Kansas over Mizzou for whatever reason. Oklahoma was the Big 12 champ and obligated to go to the Fiesta Bowl and LSU was placed in the national championship game. As a result, the Big 12 and SEC had their max 2 teams in the BCS even if the Rose Bowl had wanted to take someone other than Illinois. Out of the other BCS-eligible teams that were left out of the ACC and Big East (USC was already the Pac-10 rep, so they obviously wouldn't have an intra-conference matchup), who the heck was even remotely attractive over Illinois when putting together a matchup on the field (much less TV ratings and ticket sales off the field)? I know people always think their own teams or conferences are the greatest ever and most deserving, but the Sugar Bowl will always pick an SEC team or Notre Dame (as it did in 2006-07) over other supposedly "more deserving" teams and you can go down the line with all of the other bowls making similar actions. It's ridiculous that the Rose Bowl is the one that always gets hammered when it's the one bowl that actually keeps its long-standing relationships intact as opposed to being a mercenary free agent every year (i.e. the other bowls picking Notre Dame at every opportunity).