stever20
Legend
Posts: 46,413
Joined: Nov 2011
Reputation: 740
I Root For: Sports
Location:
|
RE: Teams looking to become Bowl Eligible Week 12 and those still alive
(11-14-2017 09:27 AM)ken d Wrote: One of either Texas or Texas Tech must become eligible. And Kansas State will be underdog in both its remaining games. Given the win probabilities cited above, it's hard for me to understand how K State has a 58% chance of going to a bowl. Sometimes statistics seem to trump common sense.
Theoretically all three could still get in. Texas could beat West Virginia Saturday, then lose to Texas Tech, getting them both eligible. Wonder what the odds are of that happening?
Only a 14.5% chance that Texas beats WV and then loses to Tech.
more likely 18.6% chance that Tech beats TCU and then loses to Texas.
Kansas St has a 58% chance because they still do have a 16% chance to beat Oklahoma St, and then the Iowa St game is basically 50/50. So their chances have to be greater than 50%.
|
|
11-14-2017 09:38 AM |
|