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Last regular season game of the season, and I think we were all hoping that it would mean a little more than it does. But a win would put us at 7-5...and a bowl win would put us back at 8 wins. So all is not lost...we could still match last year's wins even though the schedule has been much tougher.


But....that will be very hard to do.

Toledo has the best defense in the MAC, and this game is in the Glass Bowl. Toledo allows the fewest points of any team in the MAC, and has arguably the best front 7 in the conference.

Some key stats-

Scoring defense:
Toledo - 19.7
WMU - 27.9

Rushing defense:
Toledo - 112.3
WMU - 185.3

Rushing offense:
Toledo - 214.4
WMU - 201.6

Sacks by:
Toledo - 24
WMU - 13

Sacks against:
Toledo - 3
WMU - 28

Turnover margin:
Toledo - +7
WMU - 0

Red zone offense:
Toledo - 86%
WMU - 80.4%

Red zone defense:
Toledo - 62.5%
WMU - 85.7%


The only statistic that WMU holds a considerable lead in is TOP - WMU averages about 4 minutes more per game.


My fear is that Toledo is going to dominate the trenches, much like BG and NIU did, and just grind out the game on the ground. This is our last shot to prove that we can beat a team of significance in the MAC, but I don't feel good going into it.


Also, can I say just how miraculous it is that Toledo graduated all 5 starting O-lineman last year. Their line at the start of this season had 4 combined career starts. They have allowed 3 sacks and have one of the best rushing attacks in the conference at this point is the season. That's amazing.