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+---- Thread: 1/12 games (/thread-839920.html)
1/12 games - stever20 - 01-12-2018 09:43 AM
2 pretty important games tonight
630 pm Marquette 3-2 12-5 39 KP/34 RPI @ Butler 2-3 12-6 43 KP/33 RPI- KP projection Butler 80-77 60% chance of winning
830 pm Providence 2-2 11-6 62 KP/49 RPI @ DePaul 1-3 8-8 101 KP/166 RPI- KP projection DePaul 74-73 51% chance of winning
possible RPI impacts
Marquette- win- RPI projected to go up to 27. Lose- RPI projected to go down to 35
Butler- win- RPI projected to go up to to 27. Lose- RPI projected to drop down to 45.
Providence- win- RPI projected to go up to 46. Lose- RPI projected to drop down to 56.
DePaul- win- RPI projected to go up to 156. Lose- RPI projected to drop down to 179.
So for Marquette a no lose game in RPI terms. A pretty large gap for Butler win or lose- either up 6 or down 12. For Providence- a pretty big no win game in RPI terms. For DePaul a huge gap win or lose- either up 10 or down 13.
(getting these projections from Warren Nolan, if you go to team page and look at impact games- it shows what results would do for that day).
RE: 1/12 games - GoldenWarrior11 - 01-12-2018 11:35 AM
I am going with Marquette and Providence tonight.
RE: 1/12 games - stever20 - 01-12-2018 11:49 AM
I'd say Marquette for sure. DePaul I could see pulling the upset- though PC should be pretty desperate- these are the kind of games that if PC wants to make the tourney- they absolutely have got to have.
RE: 1/12 games - stever20 - 01-12-2018 09:09 PM
so probably better for the league with Butler winning- keeps Butler at 27 and Marquette at 35(just like WN projected- impressive). Probably better for both to be 3-3 than have one be 2-4. It's going to be nip and tuck the entire season with those 2.
RE: 1/12 games - Bogg - 01-12-2018 09:10 PM
Big win by Butler tonight to keep in the tournament conversation. Still feeling good about by prediction of 6 bids, with the last two being Marquette and Butler (in no particular order).
RE: 1/12 games - stever20 - 01-12-2018 09:13 PM
Marquette's next set of games will tell the story- 6 games-
DePaul, @ Xavier, Nova, Providence, Butler, and @ Seton Hall. Anything less than 3-3, and they're in deep trouble I think. 5 of 7 final games on the road for Marquette.
RE: 1/12 games - Bogg - 01-12-2018 09:27 PM
Underrated bonus to Butler's win: Duke transfer Jordan Tucker was in the house on an official visit and got a good look at the kind of player Butler turned Kelan Martin into (who I believe had his career high in tonight's come-from-behind win). With Jordan's early recruiting class basically non-existent while he establishes a track record, that'd be a huge pickup for them.